For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | 51.424% | 36.904% | 88.328% | 11.672% | |||||||||||
| 2. | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | 42.363% | 43.972% | 86.335% | 13.664% | 0.001% | ||||||||||
| 3. | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | 6.213% | 19.124% | 25.337% | 74.653% | 0.010% | ||||||||||
| 4. | rofChade 2.321 | 0.008% | 60.149% | 27.995% | 8.835% | 3.013% | 2.627% | 0.386% | ||||||||
| 5. | Stoofvlees II a19 | 0.003% | 29.844% | 37.587% | 19.445% | 13.121% | 9.935% | 3.186% | ||||||||
| 6. | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | 4.814% | 17.458% | 36.613% | 41.115% | 29.051% | 12.064% | |||||||||
| 7. | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | 4.676% | 13.917% | 26.138% | 55.269% | 36.371% | 18.898% | |||||||||
| 8. | Igel 3.0.10 | 0.506% | 3.043% | 8.969% | 87.482% | 22.016% | 65.466% |
Top promotions
| Pos | 1. | 2. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | 41.218% |
| 2. | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | 33.445% |
| 3. | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | 10.206% |
| 4. | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | 8.918% |
| 5. | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | 3.459% |
| 6. | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | 2.754% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | 74.663% |
| 2. | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | 13.665% |
| 3. | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | 11.672% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-21 04:41 | 144 | Igel 3.0.10 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-21 06:47 | 145 | Igel 3.0.10 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-21 08:52 | 146 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-21 10:58 | 147 | Stoofvlees II a19 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-21 13:04 | 148 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-21 15:09 | 149 | rofChade 2.321 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-21 17:15 | 150 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-21 19:21 | 151 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-21 21:27 | 152 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-21 23:32 | 153 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-22 01:38 | 154 | Igel 3.0.10 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-22 03:44 | 155 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-22 05:50 | 156 | Stoofvlees II a19 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-22 07:55 | 157 | rofChade 2.321 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-22 10:01 | 158 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-22 12:07 | 159 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-22 14:13 | 160 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-22 16:18 | 161 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-22 18:24 | 162 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-22 20:30 | 163 | Igel 3.0.10 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-22 22:36 | 164 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-23 00:41 | 165 | rofChade 2.321 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-23 02:47 | 166 | Stoofvlees II a19 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-23 04:53 | 167 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-23 06:59 | 168 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-23 09:04 | 169 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-23 11:10 | 170 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-23 13:16 | 171 | Stoofvlees II a19 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-23 15:22 | 172 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-23 17:27 | 173 | rofChade 2.321 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-23 19:33 | 174 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-23 21:39 | 175 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-23 23:45 | 176 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-24 01:50 | 177 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-24 03:56 | 178 | Stoofvlees II a19 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-24 06:02 | 179 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-24 08:08 | 180 | Igel 3.0.10 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-24 10:13 | 181 | rofChade 2.321 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-24 12:19 | 182 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-24 14:25 | 183 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-24 16:31 | 184 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-24 18:36 | 185 | Stoofvlees II a19 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-24 20:42 | 186 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-24 22:48 | 187 | Igel 3.0.10 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-25 00:53 | 188 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-25 02:59 | 189 | rofChade 2.321 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-25 05:05 | 190 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-25 07:11 | 191 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-25 09:16 | 192 | Stoofvlees II a19 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-25 11:22 | 193 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-25 13:28 | 194 | Igel 3.0.10 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-25 15:34 | 195 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-25 17:39 | 196 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-25 19:45 | 197 | rofChade 2.321 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-25 21:51 | 198 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-25 23:57 | 199 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-26 02:02 | 200 | Igel 3.0.10 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-26 04:08 | 201 | Igel 3.0.10 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-26 06:14 | 202 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-26 08:20 | 203 | Stoofvlees II a19 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-26 10:25 | 204 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-26 12:31 | 205 | rofChade 2.321 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-26 14:37 | 206 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-26 16:43 | 207 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-26 18:48 | 208 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-26 20:54 | 209 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-26 23:00 | 210 | Igel 3.0.10 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |
| 2022-03-27 01:06 | 211 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-27 03:11 | 212 | Stoofvlees II a19 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-27 05:17 | 213 | rofChade 2.321 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-27 07:23 | 214 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-27 09:29 | 215 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-27 11:34 | 216 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-27 13:40 | 217 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 | rofChade 2.321 |
| 2022-03-27 15:46 | 218 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 |
| 2022-03-27 17:52 | 219 | Igel 3.0.10 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 |
| 2022-03-27 19:57 | 220 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 | Stoofvlees II a19 |
| 2022-03-27 22:03 | 221 | rofChade 2.321 | LCZero 0.29-dev+_781561 |
| 2022-03-28 00:09 | 222 | Stoofvlees II a19 | Igel 3.0.10 |
| 2022-03-28 02:14 | 223 | KomodoDragon 2885.00 | Stockfish dev15_20220302 |
| 2022-03-28 04:20 | 224 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.83 avx2 |