For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 3.
1. Stockfish dev16_20220504 84.751% 14.401% 0.848%
2. LCZero 0.30-dev+_783085 14.758% 75.437% 9.805%
3. KomodoDragon 3 0.491% 10.162% 89.347%

Expected start time based on estimate of 15.16h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2022-05-09 10:23 7 KomodoDragon 3 Stockfish dev16_20220504
2022-05-10 01:33 8 LCZero 0.30-dev+_783085 KomodoDragon 3
2022-05-10 16:43 9 Stockfish dev16_20220504 LCZero 0.30-dev+_783085
2022-05-11 07:53 10 Stockfish dev16_20220504 KomodoDragon 3
2022-05-11 23:02 11 KomodoDragon 3 LCZero 0.30-dev+_783085
2022-05-12 14:12 12 LCZero 0.30-dev+_783085 Stockfish dev16_20220504