For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 82.610% 15.150% 97.760% 2.170% 0.070%
2. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 15.067% 64.016% 79.083% 19.117% 1.702% 0.092% 0.006%
3. KomodoDragon 2970.00 2.250% 19.460% 21.710% 66.215% 10.602% 1.271% 0.175% 0.027% 0.021% 0.006%
4. Ethereal 13.89_NNUE 0.073% 1.299% 1.372% 10.459% 60.559% 18.755% 6.415% 2.440% 1.974% 0.466%
5. Stoofvlees II b1 0.051% 0.051% 1.319% 15.001% 37.058% 26.149% 20.422% 13.855% 6.567%
6. Berserk dev10_20220912 0.024% 0.024% 0.601% 8.682% 26.274% 31.642% 32.777% 20.776% 12.001%
7. SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 0.063% 2.071% 9.496% 19.541% 68.829% 32.568% 36.261%
8. rofChade 3.0 0.056% 1.313% 7.054% 16.072% 75.505% 30.806% 44.699%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 63.352%
2. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 KomodoDragon 2970.00 17.976%
3. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 13.512%
4. KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 1.599%
5. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 KomodoDragon 2970.00 1.476%
6. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE 1.212%
7. KomodoDragon 2970.00 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 0.638%
8. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE 0.076%
9. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Stoofvlees II b1 0.047%
10. Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stockfish dev16_202209170930 0.039%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 76.864%
2. KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 19.575%
3. KomodoDragon 2970.00 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 2.114%
4. Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stockfish dev16_202209170930 1.251%
5. Ethereal 13.89_NNUE LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 0.102%
6. Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Stoofvlees II b1 0.047%
7. Berserk dev10_20220912 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 0.023%
8. Ethereal 13.89_NNUE KomodoDragon 2970.00 0.019%
9. LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stoofvlees II b1 0.003%
10. KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stoofvlees II b1 0.001%

Expected start time based on estimate of 2.03h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2022-10-05 11:07 69 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-05 13:09 70 Stoofvlees II b1 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-05 15:11 71 rofChade 3.0 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-05 17:12 72 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-05 19:14 73 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-05 21:16 74 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-05 23:18 75 KomodoDragon 2970.00 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-06 01:20 76 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-06 03:22 77 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-06 05:24 78 rofChade 3.0 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-06 07:26 79 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-06 09:27 80 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-06 11:29 81 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-06 13:31 82 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-06 15:33 83 Berserk dev10_20220912 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-06 17:35 84 Stoofvlees II b1 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-06 19:37 85 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-06 21:39 86 Stoofvlees II b1 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-06 23:41 87 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-07 01:42 88 KomodoDragon 2970.00 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-07 03:44 89 KomodoDragon 2970.00 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-07 05:46 90 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-07 07:48 91 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-07 09:50 92 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE rofChade 3.0
2022-10-07 11:52 93 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-07 13:54 94 rofChade 3.0 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-07 15:55 95 Stoofvlees II b1 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-07 17:57 96 Berserk dev10_20220912 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-07 19:59 97 Berserk dev10_20220912 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-07 22:01 98 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-08 00:03 99 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-08 02:05 100 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-08 04:07 101 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-08 06:09 102 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-08 08:10 103 rofChade 3.0 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-08 10:12 104 Stoofvlees II b1 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-08 12:14 105 Stoofvlees II b1 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-08 14:16 106 Berserk dev10_20220912 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-08 16:18 107 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-08 18:20 108 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-08 20:22 109 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-08 22:24 110 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-09 00:25 111 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-09 02:27 112 rofChade 3.0 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-09 04:29 113 rofChade 3.0 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-09 06:31 114 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-09 08:33 115 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-09 10:35 116 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-09 12:37 117 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-09 14:39 118 Berserk dev10_20220912 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-09 16:40 119 Stoofvlees II b1 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-09 18:42 120 rofChade 3.0 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-09 20:44 121 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-09 22:46 122 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-10 00:48 123 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-10 02:50 124 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-10 04:52 125 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-10 06:54 126 Stoofvlees II b1 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-10 08:55 127 rofChade 3.0 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-10 10:57 128 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-10 12:59 129 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-10 15:01 130 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-10 17:03 131 KomodoDragon 2970.00 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-10 19:05 132 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-10 21:07 133 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-10 23:09 134 rofChade 3.0 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-11 01:10 135 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-11 03:12 136 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-11 05:14 137 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-11 07:16 138 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-11 09:18 139 Berserk dev10_20220912 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-11 11:20 140 Stoofvlees II b1 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-11 13:22 141 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-11 15:23 142 Stoofvlees II b1 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-11 17:25 143 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-11 19:27 144 KomodoDragon 2970.00 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-11 21:29 145 KomodoDragon 2970.00 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-11 23:31 146 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-12 01:33 147 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-12 03:35 148 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE rofChade 3.0
2022-10-12 05:37 149 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-12 07:38 150 rofChade 3.0 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-12 09:40 151 Stoofvlees II b1 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-12 11:42 152 Berserk dev10_20220912 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-12 13:44 153 Berserk dev10_20220912 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-12 15:46 154 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-12 17:48 155 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-12 19:50 156 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-12 21:52 157 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-12 23:53 158 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-13 01:55 159 rofChade 3.0 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-13 03:57 160 Stoofvlees II b1 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-13 05:59 161 Stoofvlees II b1 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-13 08:01 162 Berserk dev10_20220912 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-13 10:03 163 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-13 12:05 164 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-13 14:07 165 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-13 16:08 166 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-13 18:10 167 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-13 20:12 168 rofChade 3.0 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-13 22:14 169 rofChade 3.0 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-14 00:16 170 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-14 02:18 171 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-14 04:20 172 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-14 06:22 173 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-14 08:23 174 Berserk dev10_20220912 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-14 10:25 175 Stoofvlees II b1 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-14 12:27 176 rofChade 3.0 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-14 14:29 177 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-14 16:31 178 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-14 18:33 179 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-14 20:35 180 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-14 22:37 181 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-15 00:38 182 Stoofvlees II b1 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-15 02:40 183 rofChade 3.0 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-15 04:42 184 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-15 06:44 185 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-15 08:46 186 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-15 10:48 187 KomodoDragon 2970.00 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-15 12:50 188 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-15 14:51 189 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-15 16:53 190 rofChade 3.0 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-15 18:55 191 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-15 20:57 192 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-15 22:59 193 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-16 01:01 194 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-16 03:03 195 Berserk dev10_20220912 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-16 05:05 196 Stoofvlees II b1 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-16 07:06 197 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-16 09:08 198 Stoofvlees II b1 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-16 11:10 199 Berserk dev10_20220912 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-16 13:12 200 KomodoDragon 2970.00 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-16 15:14 201 KomodoDragon 2970.00 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-16 17:16 202 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-16 19:18 203 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-16 21:20 204 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE rofChade 3.0
2022-10-16 23:21 205 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-17 01:23 206 rofChade 3.0 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-17 03:25 207 Stoofvlees II b1 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-17 05:27 208 Berserk dev10_20220912 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-17 07:29 209 Berserk dev10_20220912 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-17 09:31 210 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Stoofvlees II b1
2022-10-17 11:33 211 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-17 13:35 212 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-17 15:36 213 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-17 17:38 214 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-17 19:40 215 rofChade 3.0 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-17 21:42 216 Stoofvlees II b1 Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-17 23:44 217 Stoofvlees II b1 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2
2022-10-18 01:46 218 Berserk dev10_20220912 rofChade 3.0
2022-10-18 03:48 219 KomodoDragon 2970.00 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE
2022-10-18 05:50 220 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 Stockfish dev16_202209170930
2022-10-18 07:51 221 SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968
2022-10-18 09:53 222 Stockfish dev16_202209170930 KomodoDragon 2970.00
2022-10-18 11:55 223 Ethereal 13.89_NNUE Berserk dev10_20220912
2022-10-18 13:57 224 rofChade 3.0 Stoofvlees II b1