For
standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see
previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
| 1. |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
|
94.610% |
4.808% |
|
99.418% |
|
0.582% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
|
4.002% |
61.953% |
|
65.955% |
|
34.045% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
|
1.388% |
33.239% |
|
34.627% |
|
65.373% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
99.593% |
0.394% |
0.013% |
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.228% |
66.446% |
29.682% |
|
3.644% |
|
3.240% |
0.404% |
| 6. |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.179% |
31.572% |
57.040% |
|
11.209% |
|
9.673% |
1.536% |
| 7. |
rofChade 3.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.872% |
7.340% |
|
91.788% |
|
44.238% |
47.550% |
| 8. |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.716% |
5.925% |
|
93.359% |
|
42.849% |
50.510% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
| 1. |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
61.719% |
| 2. |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
32.891% |
| 3. |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
3.654% |
| 4. |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
1.154% |
| 5. |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
0.348% |
| 6. |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
0.234% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
65.373% |
| 2. |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
34.045% |
| 3. |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
0.582% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2022-10-15 09:08 |
186 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-15 11:10 |
187 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-15 13:12 |
188 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
| 2022-10-15 15:14 |
189 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
| 2022-10-15 17:16 |
190 |
rofChade 3.0 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
| 2022-10-15 19:18 |
191 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
| 2022-10-15 21:20 |
192 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
| 2022-10-15 23:22 |
193 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2022-10-16 01:24 |
194 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
| 2022-10-16 03:26 |
195 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-16 05:28 |
196 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-16 07:30 |
197 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-16 09:32 |
198 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-16 11:34 |
199 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
| 2022-10-16 13:36 |
200 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
| 2022-10-16 15:38 |
201 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2022-10-16 17:40 |
202 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
| 2022-10-16 19:42 |
203 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
| 2022-10-16 21:44 |
204 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-16 23:46 |
205 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-17 01:48 |
206 |
rofChade 3.0 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
| 2022-10-17 03:50 |
207 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
| 2022-10-17 05:52 |
208 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
| 2022-10-17 07:54 |
209 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2022-10-17 09:56 |
210 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
| 2022-10-17 11:58 |
211 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-17 14:00 |
212 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-17 16:02 |
213 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
| 2022-10-17 18:04 |
214 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
| 2022-10-17 20:06 |
215 |
rofChade 3.0 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
| 2022-10-17 22:08 |
216 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
| 2022-10-18 00:10 |
217 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2022-10-18 02:12 |
218 |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
rofChade 3.0 |
| 2022-10-18 04:14 |
219 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
| 2022-10-18 06:16 |
220 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
| 2022-10-18 08:18 |
221 |
SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
LCZero 0.30-dag-bord-lf_784968 |
| 2022-10-18 10:20 |
222 |
Stockfish dev16_202209170930 |
KomodoDragon 2970.00 |
| 2022-10-18 12:22 |
223 |
Ethereal 13.89_NNUE |
Berserk dev10_20220912 |
| 2022-10-18 14:24 |
224 |
rofChade 3.0 |
Stoofvlees II b1 |