For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
| Pos | Name | 1. | 1-2. | 2. | 1-2. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | 93.871% | 6.129% | 100.000% | ||||||
| 2. | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | 6.129% | 93.871% | 100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos | 1. | 2. | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | 93.871% |
| 2. | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | 6.129% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | 100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 4.31h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-04 00:21 | 25 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-04 04:39 | 26 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-04 08:57 | 27 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-04 13:16 | 28 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-04 17:34 | 29 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-04 21:52 | 30 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-05 02:11 | 31 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-05 06:29 | 32 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-05 10:48 | 33 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-05 15:06 | 34 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-05 19:24 | 35 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-05 23:43 | 36 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-06 04:01 | 37 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-06 08:20 | 38 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-06 12:38 | 39 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-06 16:56 | 40 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-06 21:15 | 41 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-07 01:33 | 42 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-07 05:51 | 43 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-07 10:10 | 44 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-07 14:28 | 45 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-07 18:47 | 46 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-07 23:05 | 47 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-08 03:23 | 48 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-08 07:42 | 49 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-08 12:00 | 50 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-08 16:18 | 51 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-08 20:37 | 52 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-09 00:55 | 53 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-09 05:14 | 54 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-09 09:32 | 55 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-09 13:50 | 56 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-09 18:09 | 57 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-09 22:27 | 58 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-10 02:45 | 59 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-10 07:04 | 60 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-10 11:22 | 61 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-10 15:41 | 62 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-10 19:59 | 63 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-11 00:17 | 64 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-11 04:36 | 65 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-11 08:54 | 66 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-11 13:12 | 67 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-11 17:31 | 68 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-11 21:49 | 69 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-12 02:08 | 70 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-12 06:26 | 71 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-12 10:44 | 72 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-12 15:03 | 73 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-12 19:21 | 74 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-12 23:40 | 75 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-13 03:58 | 76 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-13 08:16 | 77 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-13 12:35 | 78 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-13 16:53 | 79 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-13 21:11 | 80 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-14 01:30 | 81 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-14 05:48 | 82 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-14 10:07 | 83 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-14 14:25 | 84 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-14 18:43 | 85 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-14 23:02 | 86 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-15 03:20 | 87 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-15 07:38 | 88 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-15 11:57 | 89 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-15 16:15 | 90 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-15 20:34 | 91 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-16 00:52 | 92 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-16 05:10 | 93 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-16 09:29 | 94 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-16 13:47 | 95 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-16 18:05 | 96 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-16 22:24 | 97 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-17 02:42 | 98 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |
| 2022-11-17 07:01 | 99 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 |
| 2022-11-17 11:19 | 100 | Stockfish dev16_20221027 | LCZero 0.30-dag-9a9c42d_784968 |