For
standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see
previous post
Including CPU-CPU games from previous DivP to form Classical only DivP
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
| Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-12. |
|
9. |
10. |
11. |
12. |
| 1. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
|
98.017% |
1.043% |
0.469% |
0.295% |
|
99.824% |
|
0.146% |
0.023% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 2. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
|
0.781% |
49.994% |
28.930% |
15.541% |
|
95.246% |
|
4.704% |
0.050% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 3. |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
|
0.600% |
20.362% |
38.562% |
31.414% |
|
90.938% |
|
8.985% |
0.077% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 4. |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
|
0.585% |
27.046% |
27.830% |
39.184% |
|
94.645% |
|
5.355% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 5. |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
|
0.017% |
1.555% |
4.206% |
13.411% |
|
19.189% |
|
68.481% |
12.321% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 6. |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.153% |
|
0.156% |
|
12.316% |
86.424% |
1.104% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| 7. |
Wasp 6.11 |
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.013% |
1.076% |
73.931% |
24.968% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
|
|
| 8. |
Halogen 11.4.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.029% |
24.896% |
73.561% |
|
1.514% |
|
1.509% |
0.005% |
|
|
| 9. |
Velvet 5.1.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.053% |
1.461% |
|
98.486% |
|
68.835% |
29.651% |
|
|
| 10. |
Tucano 10.10_dev |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
|
99.990% |
|
29.646% |
70.290% |
0.054% |
|
| 11. |
Nemorino 6.11 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.054% |
99.946% |
|
| 12. |
Expositor TCEC24.L |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
| Pos |
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
| 1. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
26.626% |
| 2. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
15.158% |
| 3. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
14.475% |
| 4. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
9.817% |
| 5. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
6.623% |
| 6. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
6.478% |
| 7. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
3.538% |
| 8. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
2.527% |
| 9. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
2.356% |
| 10. |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
1.713% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
80.660% |
| 2. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
8.997% |
| 3. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
5.354% |
| 4. |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
4.667% |
| 5. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
0.164% |
| 6. |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
0.080% |
| 7. |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
0.058% |
| 8. |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
0.011% |
| 9. |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
0.007% |
| 10. |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Wasp 6.11 |
0.001% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
| 2023-02-28 16:47 |
20 |
Expositor TCEC24.L |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-02-28 17:49 |
21 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Wasp 6.11 |
| 2023-02-28 18:50 |
22 |
Wasp 6.11 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-02-28 19:52 |
23 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
| 2023-02-28 20:53 |
24 |
BlackMarlin 8.0dev |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-02-28 21:55 |
25 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
| 2023-02-28 22:57 |
26 |
Nemorino 6.11 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-02-28 23:58 |
27 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Velvet 5.1.0 |
| 2023-03-01 01:00 |
28 |
Velvet 5.1.0 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 02:01 |
29 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
| 2023-03-01 03:03 |
30 |
Arasan 3e6e243 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 04:04 |
31 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
| 2023-03-01 05:06 |
32 |
Fritz 18_Vienna |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 06:07 |
33 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Tucano 10.10_dev |
| 2023-03-01 07:09 |
34 |
Tucano 10.10_dev |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 08:10 |
35 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Halogen 11.4.1 |
| 2023-03-01 09:12 |
36 |
Halogen 11.4.1 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 10:13 |
37 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
| 2023-03-01 11:15 |
38 |
Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 12:16 |
39 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
| 2023-03-01 13:18 |
40 |
Marvin 6.2.0-a7 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 14:19 |
41 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Expositor TCEC24.L |
| 2023-03-01 15:21 |
42 |
Expositor TCEC24.L |
Igel 3.4.0 |
| 2023-03-01 16:22 |
43 |
Igel 3.4.0 |
Wasp 6.11 |
| 2023-03-01 17:24 |
44 |
Wasp 6.11 |
Igel 3.4.0 |