For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post


Including CPU-CPU games from previous DivP to form Classical only DivP

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 4. 1-4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-12. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. Igel 3.4.0 100.000% 100.000%
2. BlackMarlin 8.0dev 82.478% 17.522% 100.000%
3. Marvin 6.2.0-a7 17.522% 63.198% 80.720% 19.280%
4. Fritz 18_Vienna 19.280% 80.720% 100.000%
5. Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 19.280% 19.280% 80.720%
6. Arasan 3e6e243 100.000%
7. Wasp 6.11 88.126% 11.874%
8. Halogen 11.4.1 11.874% 88.126%
9. Velvet 5.1.0 100.000% 100.000%
10. Tucano 10.10_dev 100.000% 100.000%
11. Nemorino 6.11 100.000% 100.000%
12. Expositor TCEC24.L 100.000% 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3. 4.
1. Igel 3.4.0 BlackMarlin 8.0dev Marvin 6.2.0-a7 Fritz 18_Vienna 63.198%
2. Igel 3.4.0 BlackMarlin 8.0dev Fritz 18_Vienna Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 19.280%
3. Igel 3.4.0 Marvin 6.2.0-a7 BlackMarlin 8.0dev Fritz 18_Vienna 17.522%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. BlackMarlin 8.0dev Fritz 18_Vienna Igel 3.4.0 Marvin 6.2.0-a7 80.720%
2. BlackMarlin 8.0dev Fritz 18_Vienna Igel 3.4.0 Uralochka v3.39g-avx512 19.280%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.02h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2023-03-01 14:05 41 Igel 3.4.0 Expositor TCEC24.L
2023-03-01 15:06 42 Expositor TCEC24.L Igel 3.4.0
2023-03-01 16:07 43 Igel 3.4.0 Wasp 6.11
2023-03-01 17:09 44 Wasp 6.11 Igel 3.4.0