For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | |||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 50.844% | 35.246% | 86.090% | 12.097% | 1.549% | 0.219% | 0.040% | 0.005% | ||||
2. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 39.775% | 41.304% | 81.079% | 16.049% | 2.482% | 0.343% | 0.044% | 0.003% | ||||
3. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 8.708% | 19.858% | 28.566% | 50.345% | 15.109% | 4.168% | 1.274% | 0.429% | 0.109% | |||
4. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | 0.586% | 2.864% | 3.450% | 14.216% | 40.906% | 21.259% | 11.482% | 6.172% | 2.515% | |||
5. | Stoofvlees II b4 | 0.043% | 0.309% | 0.352% | 2.601% | 13.545% | 22.137% | 22.748% | 21.196% | 17.421% | |||
6. | Berserk 20230311 | 0.021% | 0.210% | 0.231% | 2.169% | 10.925% | 20.938% | 23.888% | 23.148% | 18.701% | |||
7. | RubiChess 20230419 | 0.017% | 0.165% | 0.182% | 1.706% | 10.409% | 18.994% | 22.714% | 24.208% | 21.787% | |||
8. | Revenge 20230515 | 0.006% | 0.044% | 0.050% | 0.817% | 5.075% | 11.942% | 17.810% | 24.839% | 39.467% |
Top promotions
Pos | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|
1. | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 37.075% |
2. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 30.414% |
3. | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 11.760% |
4. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 8.001% |
5. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 4.527% |
6. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 3.969% |
7. | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Ethereal 14.15-frc | 1.609% |
8. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | 1.081% |
9. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 0.267% |
10. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 0.228% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 67.489% |
2. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 16.287% |
3. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 11.970% |
4. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 1.876% |
5. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | 1.309% |
6. | Ethereal 14.15-frc | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 0.255% |
7. | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Stoofvlees II b4 | 0.194% |
8. | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stoofvlees II b4 | 0.126% |
9. | Berserk 20230311 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 0.122% |
10. | RubiChess 20230419 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | 0.094% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.02h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC | No | White | Black |
---|---|---|---|
2023-06-08 09:38 | 11 | Berserk 20230311 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-08 10:39 | 12 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-08 11:40 | 13 | Revenge 20230515 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-08 12:41 | 14 | RubiChess 20230419 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-08 13:42 | 15 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-08 14:43 | 16 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-08 15:44 | 17 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-08 16:45 | 18 | Berserk 20230311 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-08 17:46 | 19 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-08 18:47 | 20 | Stoofvlees II b4 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-08 19:48 | 21 | Revenge 20230515 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-08 20:49 | 22 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-08 21:50 | 23 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-08 22:51 | 24 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-08 23:53 | 25 | Berserk 20230311 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-09 00:54 | 26 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-09 01:55 | 27 | Stoofvlees II b4 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-09 02:56 | 28 | RubiChess 20230419 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-09 03:57 | 29 | Revenge 20230515 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-09 04:58 | 30 | RubiChess 20230419 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-09 05:59 | 31 | Stoofvlees II b4 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-09 07:00 | 32 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-09 08:01 | 33 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-09 09:02 | 34 | Berserk 20230311 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-09 10:03 | 35 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-09 11:04 | 36 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-09 12:05 | 37 | Revenge 20230515 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-09 13:06 | 38 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-09 14:07 | 39 | RubiChess 20230419 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-09 15:08 | 40 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-09 16:09 | 41 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-09 17:10 | 42 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-09 18:11 | 43 | Berserk 20230311 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-09 19:12 | 44 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-09 20:13 | 45 | Revenge 20230515 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-09 21:14 | 46 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-09 22:15 | 47 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-09 23:16 | 48 | RubiChess 20230419 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-10 00:17 | 49 | RubiChess 20230419 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-10 01:18 | 50 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-10 02:19 | 51 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-10 03:20 | 52 | Berserk 20230311 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-10 04:21 | 53 | Revenge 20230515 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-10 05:22 | 54 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-10 06:23 | 55 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-10 07:25 | 56 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-10 08:26 | 57 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-10 09:27 | 58 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-10 10:28 | 59 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-10 11:29 | 60 | Berserk 20230311 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-10 12:30 | 61 | Revenge 20230515 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-10 13:31 | 62 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-10 14:32 | 63 | RubiChess 20230419 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-10 15:33 | 64 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-10 16:34 | 65 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-10 17:35 | 66 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-10 18:36 | 67 | Berserk 20230311 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-10 19:37 | 68 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-10 20:38 | 69 | Revenge 20230515 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-10 21:39 | 70 | RubiChess 20230419 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-10 22:40 | 71 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-10 23:41 | 72 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-11 00:42 | 73 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-11 01:43 | 74 | Berserk 20230311 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-11 02:44 | 75 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-11 03:45 | 76 | Stoofvlees II b4 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-11 04:46 | 77 | Revenge 20230515 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-11 05:47 | 78 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-11 06:48 | 79 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-11 07:49 | 80 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-11 08:50 | 81 | Berserk 20230311 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-11 09:51 | 82 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-11 10:52 | 83 | Stoofvlees II b4 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-11 11:53 | 84 | RubiChess 20230419 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-11 12:54 | 85 | Revenge 20230515 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-11 13:55 | 86 | RubiChess 20230419 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-11 14:57 | 87 | Stoofvlees II b4 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-11 15:58 | 88 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-11 16:59 | 89 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-11 18:00 | 90 | Berserk 20230311 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-11 19:01 | 91 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-11 20:02 | 92 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-11 21:03 | 93 | Revenge 20230515 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-11 22:04 | 94 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-11 23:05 | 95 | RubiChess 20230419 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-12 00:06 | 96 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-12 01:07 | 97 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-12 02:08 | 98 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | RubiChess 20230419 |
2023-06-12 03:09 | 99 | Berserk 20230311 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-12 04:10 | 100 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-12 05:11 | 101 | Revenge 20230515 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-12 06:12 | 102 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-12 07:13 | 103 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-12 08:14 | 104 | RubiChess 20230419 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-12 09:15 | 105 | RubiChess 20230419 | Revenge 20230515 |
2023-06-12 10:16 | 106 | Stoofvlees II b4 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e |
2023-06-12 11:17 | 107 | Ethereal 14.15-frc | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 |
2023-06-12 12:18 | 108 | Berserk 20230311 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
2023-06-12 13:19 | 109 | Revenge 20230515 | Berserk 20230311 |
2023-06-12 14:20 | 110 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.15-frc |
2023-06-12 15:21 | 111 | LCZero 0.31-dag-590cd9ba-T1-4000000 | Stoofvlees II b4 |
2023-06-12 16:22 | 112 | Stockfish dev-20230528-7e9b131e | RubiChess 20230419 |