For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 1-2. | 3. | 4. | 5. | 6. | 7. | 8. | 9-12. | 9. | 10. | 11. | 12. | |||||
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1. | RubiChess 20230823 | 67.482% | 22.551% | 90.033% | 6.435% | 2.273% | 0.790% | 0.300% | 0.124% | 0.033% | 0.012% | 0.012% | ||||||||
2. | Igel 3.5.5 | 23.802% | 42.038% | 65.840% | 18.869% | 8.461% | 3.861% | 1.745% | 0.847% | 0.293% | 0.084% | 0.076% | 0.008% | |||||||
3. | rofChade 3.033 | 5.226% | 18.085% | 23.311% | 28.178% | 18.823% | 12.715% | 8.080% | 4.914% | 2.741% | 1.238% | 0.967% | 0.246% | 0.024% | 0.001% | |||||
4. | Revenge 20230815 | 1.175% | 5.129% | 6.304% | 12.216% | 17.012% | 17.195% | 15.688% | 13.197% | 10.461% | 7.927% | 5.544% | 1.940% | 0.385% | 0.058% | |||||
5. | Clover 6.0.7 | 0.733% | 3.965% | 4.698% | 10.989% | 15.465% | 17.223% | 16.489% | 14.771% | 11.497% | 8.868% | 6.006% | 2.275% | 0.492% | 0.095% | |||||
6. | Seer 20230703 | 0.883% | 4.168% | 5.051% | 10.640% | 15.181% | 16.675% | 16.904% | 15.223% | 11.545% | 8.781% | 5.957% | 2.241% | 0.503% | 0.080% | |||||
7. | Minic 3.38 | 0.426% | 2.218% | 2.644% | 6.418% | 10.818% | 13.802% | 16.544% | 17.959% | 17.158% | 14.657% | 9.971% | 3.578% | 0.920% | 0.188% | |||||
8. | Caissa 1.11.15 | 0.256% | 1.728% | 1.984% | 5.622% | 10.172% | 13.694% | 16.612% | 18.240% | 17.471% | 16.205% | 10.392% | 4.322% | 1.229% | 0.262% | |||||
9. | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | 0.016% | 0.103% | 0.119% | 0.526% | 1.325% | 2.887% | 5.123% | 9.269% | 16.361% | 64.390% | 29.869% | 21.362% | 9.614% | 3.545% | |||||
10. | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | 0.001% | 0.015% | 0.016% | 0.101% | 0.434% | 1.010% | 2.108% | 4.294% | 8.933% | 83.104% | 19.552% | 32.611% | 20.704% | 10.237% | |||||
11. | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | 0.002% | 0.018% | 0.069% | 0.211% | 0.547% | 1.746% | 97.407% | 5.762% | 15.897% | 35.060% | 40.688% | ||||||||
12. | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | 0.004% | 0.018% | 0.079% | 0.196% | 0.615% | 1.761% | 97.327% | 5.892% | 15.520% | 31.069% | 44.846% |
Top promotions
Pos | 1. | 2. | |
---|---|---|---|
1. | RubiChess 20230823 | Igel 3.5.5 | 39.425% |
2. | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 | 17.731% |
3. | RubiChess 20230823 | rofChade 3.033 | 14.876% |
4. | RubiChess 20230823 | Revenge 20230815 | 3.893% |
5. | RubiChess 20230823 | Seer 20230703 | 3.187% |
6. | RubiChess 20230823 | Clover 6.0.7 | 2.971% |
7. | rofChade 3.033 | RubiChess 20230823 | 2.959% |
8. | Igel 3.5.5 | rofChade 3.033 | 2.808% |
9. | rofChade 3.033 | Igel 3.5.5 | 1.682% |
10. | RubiChess 20230823 | Minic 3.38 | 1.658% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 | 57.156% |
2. | RubiChess 20230823 | rofChade 3.033 | 17.835% |
3. | Revenge 20230815 | RubiChess 20230823 | 4.527% |
4. | Igel 3.5.5 | rofChade 3.033 | 4.490% |
5. | RubiChess 20230823 | Seer 20230703 | 3.655% |
6. | Clover 6.0.7 | RubiChess 20230823 | 3.371% |
7. | Minic 3.38 | RubiChess 20230823 | 1.892% |
8. | Caissa 1.11.15 | RubiChess 20230823 | 1.502% |
9. | Igel 3.5.5 | Revenge 20230815 | 1.293% |
10. | Clover 6.0.7 | Igel 3.5.5 | 1.002% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC | No | White | Black |
---|---|---|---|
2023-08-28 00:01 | 91 | Igel 3.5.5 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-28 01:06 | 92 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-28 02:10 | 93 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-28 03:14 | 94 | rofChade 3.033 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-28 04:18 | 95 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-28 05:22 | 96 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-28 06:26 | 97 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-28 07:31 | 98 | Clover 6.0.7 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-28 08:35 | 99 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-28 09:39 | 100 | Seer 20230703 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-28 10:43 | 101 | RubiChess 20230823 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-28 11:47 | 102 | Minic 3.38 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-28 12:52 | 103 | Igel 3.5.5 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-28 13:56 | 104 | Revenge 20230815 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-28 15:00 | 105 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-28 16:04 | 106 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-28 17:08 | 107 | rofChade 3.033 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-28 18:12 | 108 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-28 19:17 | 109 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-28 20:21 | 110 | Caissa 1.11.15 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-28 21:25 | 111 | Clover 6.0.7 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-28 22:29 | 112 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-28 23:33 | 113 | Seer 20230703 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-29 00:38 | 114 | RubiChess 20230823 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-29 01:42 | 115 | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-29 02:46 | 116 | Minic 3.38 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-29 03:50 | 117 | Revenge 20230815 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-29 04:54 | 118 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-29 05:58 | 119 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-29 07:03 | 120 | rofChade 3.033 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-29 08:07 | 121 | rofChade 3.033 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-29 09:11 | 122 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-29 10:15 | 123 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-29 11:19 | 124 | Clover 6.0.7 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-29 12:24 | 125 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-29 13:28 | 126 | Seer 20230703 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-29 14:32 | 127 | Igel 3.5.5 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-29 15:36 | 128 | RubiChess 20230823 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-29 16:40 | 129 | Minic 3.38 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-29 17:45 | 130 | Revenge 20230815 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-29 18:49 | 131 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-29 19:53 | 132 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-29 20:57 | 133 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-29 22:01 | 134 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-29 23:05 | 135 | Revenge 20230815 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-30 00:10 | 136 | Minic 3.38 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-30 01:14 | 137 | RubiChess 20230823 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-30 02:18 | 138 | Seer 20230703 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-30 03:22 | 139 | Igel 3.5.5 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-30 04:26 | 140 | Clover 6.0.7 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-30 05:31 | 141 | Caissa 1.11.15 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-30 06:35 | 142 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-30 07:39 | 143 | rofChade 3.033 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-30 08:43 | 144 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-30 09:47 | 145 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-30 10:51 | 146 | Revenge 20230815 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-30 11:56 | 147 | Minic 3.38 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-30 13:00 | 148 | RubiChess 20230823 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-30 14:04 | 149 | Seer 20230703 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-30 15:08 | 150 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-30 16:12 | 151 | Igel 3.5.5 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-30 17:17 | 152 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-30 18:21 | 153 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-30 19:25 | 154 | rofChade 3.033 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-30 20:29 | 155 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-30 21:33 | 156 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-30 22:37 | 157 | Revenge 20230815 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-30 23:42 | 158 | Minic 3.38 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-31 00:46 | 159 | RubiChess 20230823 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-31 01:50 | 160 | Seer 20230703 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-31 02:54 | 161 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-31 03:58 | 162 | Clover 6.0.7 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-31 05:03 | 163 | Igel 3.5.5 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-31 06:07 | 164 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-31 07:11 | 165 | rofChade 3.033 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-31 08:15 | 166 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-31 09:19 | 167 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-08-31 10:23 | 168 | Revenge 20230815 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-08-31 11:28 | 169 | Minic 3.38 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-08-31 12:32 | 170 | RubiChess 20230823 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-08-31 13:36 | 171 | Seer 20230703 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-08-31 14:40 | 172 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-08-31 15:44 | 173 | Clover 6.0.7 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-08-31 16:49 | 174 | Caissa 1.11.15 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-31 17:53 | 175 | Igel 3.5.5 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-08-31 18:57 | 176 | rofChade 3.033 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-08-31 20:01 | 177 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-08-31 21:05 | 178 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-08-31 22:09 | 179 | Revenge 20230815 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-08-31 23:14 | 180 | Minic 3.38 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-01 00:18 | 181 | RubiChess 20230823 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-01 01:22 | 182 | Seer 20230703 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-01 02:26 | 183 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-01 03:30 | 184 | Clover 6.0.7 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-01 04:35 | 185 | Caissa 1.11.15 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-01 05:39 | 186 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-01 06:43 | 187 | Igel 3.5.5 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-01 07:47 | 188 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-01 08:51 | 189 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-01 09:56 | 190 | Revenge 20230815 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-01 11:00 | 191 | Minic 3.38 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-01 12:04 | 192 | RubiChess 20230823 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-01 13:08 | 193 | Seer 20230703 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-01 14:12 | 194 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-01 15:16 | 195 | Clover 6.0.7 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-01 16:21 | 196 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-01 17:25 | 197 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-01 18:29 | 198 | rofChade 3.033 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-01 19:33 | 199 | Igel 3.5.5 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-01 20:37 | 200 | rofChade 3.033 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-01 21:42 | 201 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-01 22:46 | 202 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-01 23:50 | 203 | Clover 6.0.7 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-02 00:54 | 204 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-02 01:58 | 205 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-02 03:02 | 206 | Seer 20230703 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-02 04:07 | 207 | RubiChess 20230823 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-02 05:11 | 208 | Minic 3.38 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-02 06:15 | 209 | Revenge 20230815 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-02 07:19 | 210 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-02 08:23 | 211 | Igel 3.5.5 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-02 09:28 | 212 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-02 10:32 | 213 | rofChade 3.033 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-02 11:36 | 214 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-02 12:40 | 215 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-02 13:44 | 216 | Clover 6.0.7 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-02 14:48 | 217 | Clover 6.0.7 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-02 15:53 | 218 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-02 16:57 | 219 | Seer 20230703 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-02 18:01 | 220 | RubiChess 20230823 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-02 19:05 | 221 | Minic 3.38 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-02 20:09 | 222 | Revenge 20230815 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-02 21:14 | 223 | Igel 3.5.5 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-02 22:18 | 224 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-02 23:22 | 225 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-03 00:26 | 226 | rofChade 3.033 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-03 01:30 | 227 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-03 02:34 | 228 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-03 03:39 | 229 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-03 04:43 | 230 | Clover 6.0.7 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-03 05:47 | 231 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-03 06:51 | 232 | Seer 20230703 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-03 07:55 | 233 | RubiChess 20230823 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-03 09:00 | 234 | Minic 3.38 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-03 10:04 | 235 | Igel 3.5.5 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-03 11:08 | 236 | Revenge 20230815 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-03 12:12 | 237 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-03 13:16 | 238 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-03 14:20 | 239 | rofChade 3.033 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-03 15:25 | 240 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-03 16:29 | 241 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-03 17:33 | 242 | Caissa 1.11.15 | rofChade 3.033 |
2023-09-03 18:37 | 243 | Clover 6.0.7 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-03 19:41 | 244 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-03 20:46 | 245 | Seer 20230703 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-03 21:50 | 246 | RubiChess 20230823 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-03 22:54 | 247 | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-03 23:58 | 248 | Minic 3.38 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-04 01:02 | 249 | Revenge 20230815 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-04 02:06 | 250 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-04 03:11 | 251 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-04 04:15 | 252 | rofChade 3.033 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-04 05:19 | 253 | rofChade 3.033 | Igel 3.5.5 |
2023-09-04 06:23 | 254 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 |
2023-09-04 07:27 | 255 | Caissa 1.11.15 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 |
2023-09-04 08:32 | 256 | Clover 6.0.7 | Revenge 20230815 |
2023-09-04 09:36 | 257 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 | Minic 3.38 |
2023-09-04 10:40 | 258 | Seer 20230703 | RubiChess 20230823 |
2023-09-04 11:44 | 259 | Igel 3.5.5 | Seer 20230703 |
2023-09-04 12:48 | 260 | RubiChess 20230823 | Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 |
2023-09-04 13:53 | 261 | Minic 3.38 | Clover 6.0.7 |
2023-09-04 14:57 | 262 | Revenge 20230815 | Caissa 1.11.15 |
2023-09-04 16:01 | 263 | Fritz Valencia_1.01 | DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 |
2023-09-04 17:05 | 264 | ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 | rofChade 3.033 |