For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9-12. 9. 10. 11. 12.
1. RubiChess 20230823 100.000% 100.000%
2. Igel 3.5.5 85.592% 85.592% 14.408%
3. rofChade 3.033 14.408% 14.408% 85.592%
4. Seer 20230703 73.135% 22.500% 4.365%
5. Clover 6.0.7 26.011% 71.523% 2.466%
6. Caissa 1.11.15 0.854% 5.977% 93.169%
7. Revenge 20230815 99.772% 0.228%
8. Minic 3.38 0.228% 69.601% 30.171% 30.171%
9. Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2 30.171% 69.829% 69.829%
10. ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 100.000% 78.700% 21.300%
11. Fritz Valencia_1.01 100.000% 21.300% 68.458% 10.242%
12. DeepSjeng 3.6 a24 100.000% 10.242% 89.758%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. RubiChess 20230823 Igel 3.5.5 85.592%
2. RubiChess 20230823 rofChade 3.033 14.408%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Igel 3.5.5 RubiChess 20230823 85.592%
2. RubiChess 20230823 rofChade 3.033 14.408%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.07h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2023-09-04 10:54 258 Seer 20230703 RubiChess 20230823
2023-09-04 11:58 259 Igel 3.5.5 Seer 20230703
2023-09-04 13:03 260 RubiChess 20230823 Viridithas 11.0.0-dev2
2023-09-04 14:07 261 Minic 3.38 Clover 6.0.7
2023-09-04 15:11 262 Revenge 20230815 Caissa 1.11.15
2023-09-04 16:15 263 Fritz Valencia_1.01 DeepSjeng 3.6 a24
2023-09-04 17:20 264 ScorpioNN 3.0.15.11 rofChade 3.033