For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27
| Pos | Name | 1. | 2. | 3. | 4. | 1-4. | 5. | 6. | 7-8. | 7. | 8. | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 99.798% | 0.202% | 100.000% | ||||||||||||
| 2. | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | 0.202% | 94.241% | 5.548% | 0.009% | 100.000% | ||||||||||
| 3. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 5.553% | 92.179% | 2.188% | 99.920% | 0.079% | 0.001% | |||||||||
| 4. | Ethereal 14.24 | 0.004% | 1.938% | 70.610% | 72.552% | 24.972% | 2.344% | 0.132% | 0.132% | |||||||
| 5. | RubiChess 20230823 | 0.333% | 25.702% | 26.035% | 62.575% | 10.042% | 1.348% | 1.348% | ||||||||
| 6. | Stoofvlees II b5 | 0.002% | 1.345% | 1.347% | 10.005% | 65.998% | 22.650% | 22.631% | 0.019% | |||||||
| 7. | Igel 3.5.5 | 0.146% | 0.146% | 2.369% | 21.612% | 75.873% | 75.669% | 0.204% | ||||||||
| 8. | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | 0.003% | 99.997% | 0.220% | 99.777% |
Top promotions
| Pos | 1. | 2. | 3. | 4. | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.24 | 66.366% |
| 2. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230823 | 24.190% |
| 3. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Ethereal 14.24 | 4.063% |
| 4. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Ethereal 14.24 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 1.880% |
| 5. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 | 1.419% |
| 6. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stoofvlees II b5 | 1.282% |
| 7. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | 0.303% |
| 8. | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.24 | 0.151% |
| 9. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Igel 3.5.5 | 0.138% |
| 10. | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stoofvlees II b5 | 0.057% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
| 1. | Ethereal 14.24 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 72.472% |
| 2. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 25.956% |
| 3. | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Stoofvlees II b5 | 1.347% |
| 4. | Igel 3.5.5 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 0.145% |
| 5. | Ethereal 14.24 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 0.079% |
| 6. | Ethereal 14.24 | Igel 3.5.5 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | 0.001% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.04h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
| UTC | No | White | Black |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023-09-21 17:55 | 190 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-21 19:57 | 191 | Ethereal 14.24 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-21 22:00 | 192 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-22 00:02 | 193 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-22 02:04 | 194 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-22 04:06 | 195 | RubiChess 20230823 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-22 06:08 | 196 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-22 08:11 | 197 | Igel 3.5.5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-22 10:13 | 198 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-22 12:15 | 199 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-22 14:17 | 200 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-22 16:19 | 201 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-22 18:22 | 202 | Stoofvlees II b5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-22 20:24 | 203 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-22 22:26 | 204 | Ethereal 14.24 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-23 00:28 | 205 | Igel 3.5.5 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-23 02:30 | 206 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-23 04:33 | 207 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-23 06:35 | 208 | RubiChess 20230823 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-23 08:37 | 209 | RubiChess 20230823 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-23 10:39 | 210 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-23 12:41 | 211 | Stoofvlees II b5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-23 14:44 | 212 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-23 16:46 | 213 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-23 18:48 | 214 | Ethereal 14.24 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-23 20:50 | 215 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-23 22:52 | 216 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-24 00:55 | 217 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-24 02:57 | 218 | RubiChess 20230823 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-24 04:59 | 219 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-24 07:01 | 220 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-24 09:03 | 221 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-24 11:06 | 222 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-24 13:08 | 223 | Ethereal 14.24 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-24 15:10 | 224 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-24 17:12 | 225 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-24 19:14 | 226 | Ethereal 14.24 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-24 21:17 | 227 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-24 23:19 | 228 | Stoofvlees II b5 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-25 01:21 | 229 | Igel 3.5.5 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-25 03:23 | 230 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-25 05:25 | 231 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-25 07:28 | 232 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-25 09:30 | 233 | Ethereal 14.24 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-25 11:32 | 234 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-25 13:34 | 235 | Stoofvlees II b5 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-25 15:36 | 236 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-25 17:39 | 237 | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-25 19:41 | 238 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-25 21:43 | 239 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-25 23:45 | 240 | Ethereal 14.24 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-26 01:47 | 241 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-26 03:50 | 242 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-26 05:52 | 243 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-26 07:54 | 244 | RubiChess 20230823 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-26 09:56 | 245 | Igel 3.5.5 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-26 11:58 | 246 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-26 14:01 | 247 | Ethereal 14.24 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-26 16:03 | 248 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-26 18:05 | 249 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-26 20:07 | 250 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-26 22:09 | 251 | RubiChess 20230823 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-27 00:11 | 252 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-27 02:14 | 253 | Igel 3.5.5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-27 04:16 | 254 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-27 06:18 | 255 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-27 08:20 | 256 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-27 10:22 | 257 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-27 12:25 | 258 | Stoofvlees II b5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-27 14:27 | 259 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-27 16:29 | 260 | Ethereal 14.24 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-27 18:31 | 261 | Igel 3.5.5 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-27 20:33 | 262 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-27 22:36 | 263 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-28 00:38 | 264 | RubiChess 20230823 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-28 02:40 | 265 | RubiChess 20230823 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-28 04:42 | 266 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-28 06:44 | 267 | Stoofvlees II b5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-28 08:47 | 268 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-28 10:49 | 269 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-28 12:51 | 270 | Ethereal 14.24 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-28 14:53 | 271 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-28 16:55 | 272 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-28 18:58 | 273 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-28 21:00 | 274 | RubiChess 20230823 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-28 23:02 | 275 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-29 01:04 | 276 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-29 03:06 | 277 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-29 05:09 | 278 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-29 07:11 | 279 | Ethereal 14.24 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-29 09:13 | 280 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-29 11:15 | 281 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-29 13:17 | 282 | Ethereal 14.24 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-29 15:20 | 283 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-29 17:22 | 284 | Stoofvlees II b5 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-29 19:24 | 285 | Igel 3.5.5 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-29 21:26 | 286 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-29 23:28 | 287 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-30 01:31 | 288 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-30 03:33 | 289 | Ethereal 14.24 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-30 05:35 | 290 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-09-30 07:37 | 291 | Stoofvlees II b5 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-09-30 09:39 | 292 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-30 11:42 | 293 | Igel 3.5.5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-09-30 13:44 | 294 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-09-30 15:46 | 295 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-09-30 17:48 | 296 | Ethereal 14.24 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-09-30 19:50 | 297 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-09-30 21:53 | 298 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-09-30 23:55 | 299 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-01 01:57 | 300 | RubiChess 20230823 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-10-01 03:59 | 301 | Igel 3.5.5 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-10-01 06:01 | 302 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-10-01 08:04 | 303 | Ethereal 14.24 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-10-01 10:06 | 304 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-10-01 12:08 | 305 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-10-01 14:10 | 306 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-10-01 16:12 | 307 | RubiChess 20230823 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-10-01 18:15 | 308 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-01 20:17 | 309 | Igel 3.5.5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-01 22:19 | 310 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-10-02 00:21 | 311 | RubiChess 20230823 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-10-02 02:23 | 312 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-10-02 04:26 | 313 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-10-02 06:28 | 314 | Stoofvlees II b5 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-10-02 08:30 | 315 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-10-02 10:32 | 316 | Ethereal 14.24 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-02 12:34 | 317 | Igel 3.5.5 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-10-02 14:37 | 318 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-10-02 16:39 | 319 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-10-02 18:41 | 320 | RubiChess 20230823 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-10-02 20:43 | 321 | RubiChess 20230823 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-10-02 22:45 | 322 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |
| 2023-10-03 00:48 | 323 | Stoofvlees II b5 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-03 02:50 | 324 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-10-03 04:52 | 325 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-10-03 06:54 | 326 | Ethereal 14.24 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-10-03 08:56 | 327 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-10-03 10:59 | 328 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-10-03 13:01 | 329 | KomodoDragon 3.2 | Igel 3.5.5 |
| 2023-10-03 15:03 | 330 | RubiChess 20230823 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 |
| 2023-10-03 17:05 | 331 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 | Ethereal 14.24 |
| 2023-10-03 19:07 | 332 | Stoofvlees II b5 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 |
| 2023-10-03 21:10 | 333 | Igel 3.5.5 | Stoofvlees II b5 |
| 2023-10-03 23:12 | 334 | Stockfish dev-20230903-b25d68f6 | LCZero 0.31-dag-5107404-T2-5230000 |
| 2023-10-04 01:14 | 335 | Ethereal 14.24 | RubiChess 20230823 |
| 2023-10-04 03:16 | 336 | SlowChess Blitz 2.9 avx2 | KomodoDragon 3.2 |