For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5. 6. 7-8. 7. 8.
1. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 76.616% 20.510% 97.126% 2.720% 0.141% 0.012% 0.001%
2. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 20.614% 61.625% 82.239% 15.832% 1.658% 0.235% 0.028% 0.008% 0.008%
3. KomodoDragon 3.3 2.672% 16.015% 18.687% 60.702% 14.362% 4.377% 1.503% 0.369% 0.325% 0.044%
4. Berserk 13 0.070% 1.137% 1.207% 10.299% 34.076% 25.622% 17.184% 11.612% 9.148% 2.464%
5. RubiChess 20240420 0.017% 0.379% 0.396% 5.120% 22.664% 27.856% 24.666% 19.298% 14.734% 4.564%
6. Ethereal 14.35 0.010% 0.284% 0.294% 4.118% 19.142% 25.295% 26.610% 24.541% 18.284% 6.257%
7. Seer 2.8.0 0.001% 0.047% 0.048% 1.087% 6.914% 13.394% 22.261% 56.296% 37.206% 19.090%
8. Stoofvlees II d2 0.003% 0.003% 0.122% 1.043% 3.209% 7.747% 87.876% 20.295% 67.581%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2.
1. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 60.750%
2. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 18.642%
3. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 KomodoDragon 3.3 14.190%
4. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 KomodoDragon 3.3 1.814%
5. KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 1.809%
6. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Berserk 13 1.033%
7. KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 0.848%
8. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 RubiChess 20240420 0.338%
9. Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Ethereal 14.35 0.258%
10. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Berserk 13 0.096%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 79.392%
2. KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 15.999%
3. KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 2.662%
4. Berserk 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 1.077%
5. RubiChess 20240420 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 0.346%
6. Ethereal 14.35 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 0.265%
7. Berserk 13 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 0.115%
8. Seer 2.8.0 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 0.045%
9. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 RubiChess 20240420 0.042%
10. Ethereal 14.35 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 0.024%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.89h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2024-04-22 02:28 6 Stoofvlees II d2 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-22 04:21 7 Berserk 13 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-22 06:15 8 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-22 08:09 9 RubiChess 20240420 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-22 10:02 10 Seer 2.8.0 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-22 11:56 11 KomodoDragon 3.3 Berserk 13
2024-04-22 13:50 12 Ethereal 14.35 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-22 15:43 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-22 17:37 14 Berserk 13 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-22 19:31 15 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-22 21:24 16 RubiChess 20240420 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-22 23:18 17 Seer 2.8.0 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-23 01:11 18 KomodoDragon 3.3 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-23 03:05 19 Ethereal 14.35 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-23 04:59 20 Stoofvlees II d2 Berserk 13
2024-04-23 06:52 21 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Berserk 13
2024-04-23 08:46 22 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-23 10:40 23 RubiChess 20240420 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-23 12:33 24 Seer 2.8.0 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-23 14:27 25 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-23 16:21 26 Ethereal 14.35 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-23 18:14 27 Stoofvlees II d2 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-23 20:08 28 Berserk 13 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-23 22:02 29 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-23 23:55 30 Berserk 13 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-24 01:49 31 Stoofvlees II d2 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-24 03:43 32 Ethereal 14.35 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-24 05:36 33 Ethereal 14.35 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-24 07:30 34 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-24 09:23 35 Seer 2.8.0 Berserk 13
2024-04-24 11:17 36 RubiChess 20240420 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-24 13:11 37 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-24 15:04 38 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-24 16:58 39 Berserk 13 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-24 18:52 40 Stoofvlees II d2 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-24 20:45 41 Stoofvlees II d2 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-24 22:39 42 Ethereal 14.35 Berserk 13
2024-04-25 00:33 43 KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-25 02:26 44 Seer 2.8.0 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-25 04:20 45 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-25 06:14 46 RubiChess 20240420 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-25 08:07 47 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-25 10:01 48 Berserk 13 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-25 11:54 49 Berserk 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-25 13:48 50 Stoofvlees II d2 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-25 15:42 51 Ethereal 14.35 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-25 17:35 52 KomodoDragon 3.3 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-25 19:29 53 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-25 21:23 54 Seer 2.8.0 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-25 23:16 55 RubiChess 20240420 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-26 01:10 56 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Berserk 13
2024-04-26 03:04 57 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-26 04:57 58 RubiChess 20240420 Berserk 13
2024-04-26 06:51 59 Seer 2.8.0 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-26 08:45 60 KomodoDragon 3.3 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-26 10:38 61 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-26 12:32 62 Stoofvlees II d2 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-26 14:26 63 Berserk 13 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-26 16:19 64 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-26 18:13 65 RubiChess 20240420 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-26 20:06 66 Seer 2.8.0 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-26 22:00 67 KomodoDragon 3.3 Berserk 13
2024-04-26 23:54 68 Ethereal 14.35 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-27 01:47 69 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-27 03:41 70 Berserk 13 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-27 05:35 71 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-27 07:28 72 RubiChess 20240420 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-27 09:22 73 Seer 2.8.0 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-27 11:16 74 KomodoDragon 3.3 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-27 13:09 75 Ethereal 14.35 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-27 15:03 76 Stoofvlees II d2 Berserk 13
2024-04-27 16:57 77 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Berserk 13
2024-04-27 18:50 78 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-27 20:44 79 RubiChess 20240420 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-27 22:38 80 Seer 2.8.0 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-28 00:31 81 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-28 02:25 82 Ethereal 14.35 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-28 04:18 83 Stoofvlees II d2 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-28 06:12 84 Berserk 13 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-28 08:06 85 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-28 09:59 86 Berserk 13 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-28 11:53 87 Stoofvlees II d2 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-28 13:47 88 Ethereal 14.35 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-28 15:40 89 Ethereal 14.35 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-28 17:34 90 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-28 19:28 91 Seer 2.8.0 Berserk 13
2024-04-28 21:21 92 RubiChess 20240420 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-28 23:15 93 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-29 01:09 94 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-29 03:02 95 Berserk 13 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-29 04:56 96 Stoofvlees II d2 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-29 06:49 97 Stoofvlees II d2 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-29 08:43 98 Ethereal 14.35 Berserk 13
2024-04-29 10:37 99 KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-29 12:30 100 Seer 2.8.0 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-29 14:24 101 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-29 16:18 102 RubiChess 20240420 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-29 18:11 103 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-29 20:05 104 Berserk 13 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-29 21:59 105 Berserk 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-29 23:52 106 Stoofvlees II d2 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-04-30 01:46 107 Ethereal 14.35 RubiChess 20240420
2024-04-30 03:40 108 KomodoDragon 3.3 Seer 2.8.0
2024-04-30 05:33 109 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-04-30 07:27 110 Seer 2.8.0 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-30 09:21 111 RubiChess 20240420 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-30 11:14 112 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Berserk 13
2024-04-30 13:08 113 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-04-30 15:01 114 RubiChess 20240420 Berserk 13
2024-04-30 16:55 115 Seer 2.8.0 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-04-30 18:49 116 KomodoDragon 3.3 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-30 20:42 117 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Ethereal 14.35
2024-04-30 22:36 118 Stoofvlees II d2 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-01 00:30 119 Berserk 13 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-01 02:23 120 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-01 04:17 121 RubiChess 20240420 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-01 06:11 122 Seer 2.8.0 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-01 08:04 123 KomodoDragon 3.3 Berserk 13
2024-05-01 09:58 124 Ethereal 14.35 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-01 11:52 125 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-01 13:45 126 Berserk 13 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-01 15:39 127 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-01 17:33 128 RubiChess 20240420 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-01 19:26 129 Seer 2.8.0 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-01 21:20 130 KomodoDragon 3.3 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-01 23:13 131 Ethereal 14.35 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-02 01:07 132 Stoofvlees II d2 Berserk 13
2024-05-02 03:01 133 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Berserk 13
2024-05-02 04:54 134 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-02 06:48 135 RubiChess 20240420 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-02 08:42 136 Seer 2.8.0 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-02 10:35 137 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-02 12:29 138 Ethereal 14.35 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-02 14:23 139 Stoofvlees II d2 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-02 16:16 140 Berserk 13 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-02 18:10 141 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-02 20:04 142 Berserk 13 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-02 21:57 143 Stoofvlees II d2 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-02 23:51 144 Ethereal 14.35 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-03 01:44 145 Ethereal 14.35 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-03 03:38 146 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-03 05:32 147 Seer 2.8.0 Berserk 13
2024-05-03 07:25 148 RubiChess 20240420 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-03 09:19 149 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-03 11:13 150 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-03 13:06 151 Berserk 13 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-03 15:00 152 Stoofvlees II d2 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-03 16:54 153 Stoofvlees II d2 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-03 18:47 154 Ethereal 14.35 Berserk 13
2024-05-03 20:41 155 KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-03 22:35 156 Seer 2.8.0 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-04 00:28 157 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-04 02:22 158 RubiChess 20240420 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-04 04:16 159 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-04 06:09 160 Berserk 13 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-04 08:03 161 Berserk 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-04 09:56 162 Stoofvlees II d2 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-04 11:50 163 Ethereal 14.35 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-04 13:44 164 KomodoDragon 3.3 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-04 15:37 165 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-04 17:31 166 Seer 2.8.0 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-04 19:25 167 RubiChess 20240420 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-04 21:18 168 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Berserk 13
2024-05-04 23:12 169 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-05 01:06 170 RubiChess 20240420 Berserk 13
2024-05-05 02:59 171 Seer 2.8.0 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-05 04:53 172 KomodoDragon 3.3 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-05 06:47 173 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-05 08:40 174 Stoofvlees II d2 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-05 10:34 175 Berserk 13 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-05 12:28 176 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-05 14:21 177 RubiChess 20240420 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-05 16:15 178 Seer 2.8.0 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-05 18:08 179 KomodoDragon 3.3 Berserk 13
2024-05-05 20:02 180 Ethereal 14.35 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-05 21:56 181 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-05 23:49 182 Berserk 13 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-06 01:43 183 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-06 03:37 184 RubiChess 20240420 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-06 05:30 185 Seer 2.8.0 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-06 07:24 186 KomodoDragon 3.3 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-06 09:18 187 Ethereal 14.35 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-06 11:11 188 Stoofvlees II d2 Berserk 13
2024-05-06 13:05 189 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Berserk 13
2024-05-06 14:59 190 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-06 16:52 191 RubiChess 20240420 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-06 18:46 192 Seer 2.8.0 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-06 20:39 193 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-06 22:33 194 Ethereal 14.35 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-07 00:27 195 Stoofvlees II d2 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-07 02:20 196 Berserk 13 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-07 04:14 197 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-07 06:08 198 Berserk 13 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-07 08:01 199 Stoofvlees II d2 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-07 09:55 200 Ethereal 14.35 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-07 11:49 201 Ethereal 14.35 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-07 13:42 202 KomodoDragon 3.3 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-07 15:36 203 Seer 2.8.0 Berserk 13
2024-05-07 17:30 204 RubiChess 20240420 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-07 19:23 205 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-07 21:17 206 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-07 23:11 207 Berserk 13 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-08 01:04 208 Stoofvlees II d2 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-08 02:58 209 Stoofvlees II d2 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-08 04:51 210 Ethereal 14.35 Berserk 13
2024-05-08 06:45 211 KomodoDragon 3.3 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-08 08:39 212 Seer 2.8.0 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-08 10:32 213 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-08 12:26 214 RubiChess 20240420 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-08 14:20 215 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-08 16:13 216 Berserk 13 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-08 18:07 217 Berserk 13 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376
2024-05-08 20:01 218 Stoofvlees II d2 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500
2024-05-08 21:54 219 Ethereal 14.35 RubiChess 20240420
2024-05-08 23:48 220 KomodoDragon 3.3 Seer 2.8.0
2024-05-09 01:42 221 Stockfish dev-20240413-c55ae376 KomodoDragon 3.3
2024-05-09 03:35 222 Seer 2.8.0 Ethereal 14.35
2024-05-09 05:29 223 RubiChess 20240420 Stoofvlees II d2
2024-05-09 07:23 224 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Berserk 13