For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. Existing r-mobility points used, future r-mobility points not yet simulated (assigned randomly for drawn results).
eloAdvantage = 140.859 and eloDraw = 261.489 updated on 2022-03-15 based on 300 Season 21 and 22 DivP games. Scale=0.617564 based on rating list 2022-03-27

Pos Name 1. 2. 3. 1-3. 4. 5. 6.
1. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 99.992% 0.008% 100.000%
2. Ethereal 14.40-frc 0.008% 99.882% 0.110% 100.000%
3. akimbo 1.1.0-dev 0.110% 66.014% 66.124% 33.876%
4. Stoofvlees II d5 33.876% 33.876% 66.124%
5. Marvin 6.3.0 100.000%
6. Winter 3.1415926 100.000%

Top promotions

Pos 1. 2. 3.
1. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.40-frc akimbo 1.1.0-dev 66.006%
2. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Ethereal 14.40-frc Stoofvlees II d5 33.876%
3. LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 akimbo 1.1.0-dev Ethereal 14.40-frc 0.110%
4. Ethereal 14.40-frc LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 akimbo 1.1.0-dev 0.008%

Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical

1. Ethereal 14.40-frc LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 akimbo 1.1.0-dev 66.124%
2. Ethereal 14.40-frc LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Stoofvlees II d5 33.876%

Expected start time based on estimate of 0.99h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2024-06-24 09:47 57 Marvin 6.3.0 Ethereal 14.40-frc
2024-06-24 10:47 58 Stoofvlees II d5 Marvin 6.3.0
2024-06-24 11:47 59 Ethereal 14.40-frc akimbo 1.1.0-dev
2024-06-24 12:46 60 LCZero 0.31-dag-5350a2e-BT4-6147500 Winter 3.1415926