For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
3.0 |
16.58 |
2.33 |
2.62 |
28 |
28 |
19 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
3.0 |
16.03 |
3.36 |
3.22 |
29 |
19 |
14 |
11 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
Laser 181205 |
3.0 |
15.86 |
3.37 |
3.32 |
27 |
18 |
14 |
11 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
4 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
3.5 |
14.69 |
2.21 |
3.94 |
7 |
15 |
21 |
21 |
17 |
11 |
6 |
5 |
Fizbo 2 |
3.5 |
13.87 |
2.13 |
4.58 |
3 |
9 |
15 |
20 |
21 |
17 |
10 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2.5 |
12.60 |
2.10 |
5.57 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
13 |
19 |
24 |
21 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
2.0 |
11.53 |
3.56 |
5.97 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
10 |
12 |
17 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.5 |
10.82 |
2.15 |
6.77 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
9 |
16 |
31 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.910% |
19.035% |
|
46.945% |
|
13.951% |
10.773% |
9.096% |
7.615% |
|
11.620% |
|
6.563% |
5.057% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.184% |
18.075% |
|
45.259% |
|
13.930% |
11.130% |
9.444% |
7.997% |
|
12.240% |
|
6.871% |
5.369% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
27.156% |
27.287% |
|
54.443% |
|
19.634% |
12.082% |
7.218% |
4.125% |
|
2.498% |
|
1.869% |
0.629% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
7.462% |
15.120% |
|
22.582% |
|
20.040% |
20.146% |
16.535% |
11.710% |
|
8.987% |
|
6.581% |
2.406% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.113% |
6.129% |
|
11.242% |
|
6.882% |
8.098% |
9.477% |
12.087% |
|
52.214% |
|
17.303% |
34.911% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.853% |
9.501% |
|
13.354% |
|
15.253% |
19.536% |
20.301% |
16.646% |
|
14.910% |
|
10.462% |
4.448% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.094% |
3.937% |
|
5.031% |
|
8.009% |
13.293% |
18.575% |
23.098% |
|
31.994% |
|
20.484% |
11.510% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.228% |
0.916% |
|
1.144% |
|
2.301% |
4.942% |
9.354% |
16.722% |
|
65.537% |
|
29.867% |
35.670% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Laser 181205 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
38.784% |
28.675% |
|
67.459% |
|
15.782% |
8.768% |
4.594% |
2.250% |
|
1.147% |
|
0.924% |
0.223% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.435% |
18.622% |
|
46.057% |
|
13.937% |
10.843% |
9.155% |
7.886% |
|
12.122% |
|
6.692% |
5.430% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
15.072% |
15.333% |
|
30.405% |
|
14.731% |
13.157% |
11.939% |
11.034% |
|
18.734% |
|
10.184% |
8.550% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
8.103% |
15.915% |
|
24.018% |
|
21.311% |
20.063% |
15.586% |
10.798% |
|
8.224% |
|
6.091% |
2.133% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.305% |
6.406% |
|
11.711% |
|
7.401% |
8.321% |
9.789% |
12.204% |
|
50.574% |
|
16.766% |
33.808% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.939% |
10.083% |
|
14.022% |
|
15.936% |
19.967% |
20.135% |
15.879% |
|
14.061% |
|
10.023% |
4.038% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.121% |
3.970% |
|
5.091% |
|
8.433% |
13.670% |
18.878% |
22.706% |
|
31.222% |
|
19.970% |
11.252% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.241% |
0.996% |
|
1.237% |
|
2.469% |
5.211% |
9.924% |
17.243% |
|
63.916% |
|
29.350% |
34.566% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Laser 181205 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
29.079% |
20.187% |
|
49.266% |
|
14.700% |
11.318% |
8.922% |
6.992% |
|
8.802% |
|
5.293% |
3.509% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.947% |
18.458% |
|
47.405% |
|
13.610% |
10.839% |
9.066% |
7.689% |
|
11.391% |
|
6.330% |
5.061% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
24.565% |
27.198% |
|
51.763% |
|
20.856% |
12.791% |
7.857% |
4.160% |
|
2.573% |
|
1.961% |
0.612% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
7.278% |
14.754% |
|
22.032% |
|
19.391% |
20.422% |
16.852% |
11.859% |
|
9.444% |
|
6.904% |
2.540% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.119% |
6.065% |
|
11.184% |
|
6.820% |
7.906% |
9.379% |
12.037% |
|
52.674% |
|
17.339% |
35.335% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.731% |
8.856% |
|
12.587% |
|
14.935% |
19.239% |
20.529% |
17.131% |
|
15.579% |
|
11.111% |
4.468% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.089% |
3.618% |
|
4.707% |
|
7.497% |
12.827% |
18.477% |
23.478% |
|
33.014% |
|
21.098% |
11.916% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.192% |
0.864% |
|
1.056% |
|
2.191% |
4.658% |
8.918% |
16.654% |
|
66.523% |
|
29.964% |
36.559% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Laser 181205 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
45.141% |
21.229% |
|
66.370% |
|
11.910% |
7.847% |
5.627% |
3.953% |
|
4.293% |
|
2.717% |
1.576% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
26.843% |
21.596% |
|
48.439% |
|
14.036% |
10.608% |
8.976% |
7.191% |
|
10.750% |
|
6.121% |
4.629% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
13.836% |
24.283% |
|
38.119% |
|
23.335% |
16.577% |
11.005% |
6.598% |
|
4.366% |
|
3.229% |
1.137% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
5.749% |
14.021% |
|
19.770% |
|
19.548% |
20.674% |
17.094% |
12.697% |
|
10.217% |
|
7.372% |
2.845% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
4.248% |
5.707% |
|
9.955% |
|
6.744% |
7.613% |
9.225% |
12.045% |
|
54.418% |
|
17.611% |
36.807% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.124% |
8.833% |
|
11.957% |
|
14.777% |
19.461% |
20.719% |
17.276% |
|
15.810% |
|
11.385% |
4.425% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.871% |
3.479% |
|
4.350% |
|
7.492% |
12.474% |
18.491% |
23.795% |
|
33.398% |
|
21.325% |
12.073% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.188% |
0.852% |
|
1.040% |
|
2.158% |
4.746% |
8.863% |
16.445% |
|
66.748% |
|
30.240% |
36.508% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.97h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-16 12:20 |
24 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-16 14:18 |
25 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 16:16 |
26 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-16 18:15 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 20:13 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 22:11 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 00:09 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 02:07 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 04:05 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 06:03 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 08:01 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 09:59 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 11:57 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 13:55 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 15:54 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 17:52 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 19:50 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 21:48 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 23:46 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 01:44 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 03:42 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 05:40 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 07:38 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 09:36 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 11:34 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 13:32 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 15:31 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 17:29 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 19:27 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 21:25 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 23:23 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 01:21 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 03:19 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 05:17 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 07:15 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 09:13 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 11:11 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 13:10 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 15:08 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 17:06 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 19:04 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 21:02 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 23:00 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 00:58 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 02:56 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 04:54 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 06:52 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 08:50 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 10:48 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 12:47 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:45 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 16:43 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 18:41 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 20:39 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 22:37 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 00:35 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 02:33 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 04:31 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:29 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 08:27 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 10:26 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 12:24 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 14:22 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 16:20 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 18:18 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 20:16 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 22:14 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 00:12 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 02:10 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 04:08 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 06:06 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 08:04 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 10:03 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 12:01 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 13:59 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 15:57 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 17:55 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 19:53 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 21:51 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 23:49 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 01:47 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 03:45 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 05:43 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 07:42 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 09:40 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 11:38 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 13:36 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 15:34 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 17:32 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |