For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Including CPU-CPU games from previous DivP to form Classical only DivP
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position. R-mobility not yet used in simulations except as biased random().
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
|
4-5. |
|
4. |
5. |
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
|
71.799% |
11.389% |
|
83.188% |
|
9.263% |
|
7.549% |
|
5.060% |
2.489% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
20.728% |
64.732% |
|
85.460% |
|
13.592% |
|
0.948% |
|
0.869% |
0.079% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
6.868% |
17.125% |
|
23.993% |
|
61.654% |
|
14.353% |
|
12.361% |
1.992% |
4. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
0.454% |
2.426% |
|
2.880% |
|
6.999% |
|
90.121% |
|
45.980% |
44.141% |
5. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
|
0.151% |
4.328% |
|
4.479% |
|
8.492% |
|
87.029% |
|
35.730% |
51.299% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
59.283% |
2. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Fire 8_beta |
11.494% |
3. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
9.623% |
4. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Fire 8_beta |
5.613% |
5. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
5.044% |
6. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
4.010% |
7. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
1.589% |
8. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
1.482% |
9. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
0.723% |
10. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
0.369% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
68.906% |
2. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
13.083% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
10.657% |
4. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
4.046% |
5. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
1.851% |
6. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.806% |
7. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.393% |
8. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.218% |
9. |
Fire 8_beta |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
0.035% |
10. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
0.005% |
Speculate StockfishClassical 202007311012 – LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
|
4-5. |
|
4. |
5. |
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
|
83.588% |
12.916% |
|
96.504% |
|
2.058% |
|
1.438% |
|
1.357% |
0.081% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
11.621% |
65.874% |
|
77.495% |
|
21.857% |
|
0.648% |
|
0.648% |
|
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
4.451% |
20.131% |
|
24.582% |
|
68.854% |
|
6.564% |
|
6.158% |
0.406% |
4. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
0.340% |
1.079% |
|
1.419% |
|
6.300% |
|
92.281% |
|
77.302% |
14.979% |
5. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.931% |
|
99.069% |
|
14.535% |
84.534% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
64.054% |
2. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Fire 8_beta |
18.663% |
3. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
10.008% |
4. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
2.845% |
5. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
1.545% |
6. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Fire 8_beta |
1.466% |
7. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
0.871% |
8. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
0.275% |
9. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
0.147% |
10. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.063% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
74.062% |
2. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
21.508% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
3.011% |
4. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.934% |
5. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
0.422% |
6. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.063% |
Speculate StockfishClassical 202007311012 – LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
|
4-5. |
|
4. |
5. |
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
|
70.572% |
12.182% |
|
82.754% |
|
10.192% |
|
7.054% |
|
4.936% |
2.118% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
21.658% |
65.303% |
|
86.961% |
|
12.153% |
|
0.886% |
|
0.810% |
0.076% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
7.324% |
16.629% |
|
23.953% |
|
63.328% |
|
12.719% |
|
10.636% |
2.083% |
4. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
|
|
3.120% |
|
3.120% |
|
6.889% |
|
89.991% |
|
42.186% |
47.805% |
5. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
0.446% |
2.766% |
|
3.212% |
|
7.438% |
|
89.350% |
|
41.432% |
47.918% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
59.218% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
10.757% |
3. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Fire 8_beta |
10.463% |
4. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Fire 8_beta |
6.166% |
5. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
5.737% |
6. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
2.917% |
7. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
1.818% |
8. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
1.327% |
9. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
0.690% |
10. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
0.348% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
69.975% |
2. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
11.903% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
11.790% |
4. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
2.917% |
5. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
2.166% |
6. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.788% |
7. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.258% |
8. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.201% |
9. |
Fire 8_beta |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
0.002% |
Speculate StockfishClassical 202007311012 – LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
|
4-5. |
|
4. |
5. |
1. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
|
45.799% |
45.925% |
|
91.724% |
|
5.245% |
|
3.031% |
|
2.519% |
0.512% |
2. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
|
42.194% |
5.355% |
|
47.549% |
|
23.524% |
|
28.927% |
|
15.920% |
13.007% |
3. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
|
2.407% |
29.542% |
|
31.949% |
|
45.645% |
|
22.406% |
|
20.853% |
1.553% |
4. |
Fire 8_beta |
|
9.106% |
16.717% |
|
25.823% |
|
22.307% |
|
51.870% |
|
47.186% |
4.684% |
5. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
|
0.494% |
2.461% |
|
2.955% |
|
3.279% |
|
93.766% |
|
13.522% |
80.244% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
37.366% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
27.334% |
3. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Fire 8_beta |
13.875% |
4. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
7.583% |
5. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
2.624% |
6. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Fire 8_beta |
2.560% |
7. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
1.966% |
8. |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
1.899% |
9. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
1.536% |
10. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
1.161% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
39.990% |
2. |
Komodo 2576.00 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
27.864% |
3. |
Fire 8_beta |
Komodo 2576.00 |
21.458% |
4. |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
3.721% |
5. |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
3.435% |
6. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
2.412% |
7. |
Fire 8_beta |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
0.577% |
8. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
0.403% |
9. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
0.073% |
10. |
Ethereal 12.43 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.067% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
1 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
4.5 |
9.21 |
1.38 |
2.01 |
43 |
29 |
17 |
9 |
2 |
Komodo 2570.00/2576.00 |
1.0 |
8.17 |
1.69 |
2.89 |
20 |
22 |
22 |
20 |
3 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.0-n703596/Latest/v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
1.0 |
8.00 |
1.71 |
3.02 |
18 |
21 |
22 |
21 |
4 |
Ethereal 12.28/12.42/12.43 |
1.0 |
7.55 |
1.69 |
3.36 |
12 |
17 |
21 |
25 |
5 |
Fire 8_beta |
0.5 |
7.08 |
1.67 |
3.71 |
7 |
12 |
18 |
26 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.79h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-09-29 00:11 |
10 |
LCZeroCPU v0.26.2-rc1_n703810 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
2020-09-29 02:58 |
11 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
2020-09-29 05:46 |
12 |
Komodo 2576.00 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
2020-09-29 08:33 |
13 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Fire 8_beta |
2020-09-29 11:20 |
14 |
Fire 8_beta |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
2020-09-29 14:08 |
15 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
2020-09-29 16:55 |
16 |
Ethereal 12.43 |
StockfishClassical 202007311012 |