For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
6.5 |
17.57 |
1.95 |
1.81 |
57 |
22 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
6.0 |
15.68 |
1.93 |
3.12 |
15 |
26 |
23 |
17 |
11 |
6 |
2 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
6.0 |
14.85 |
1.89 |
3.81 |
7 |
17 |
22 |
21 |
17 |
10 |
5 |
4 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
5.0 |
13.86 |
2.48 |
4.61 |
7 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
5 |
Chiron S14 |
5.0 |
13.82 |
2.53 |
4.65 |
7 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
16 |
16 |
14 |
6 |
Laser 181205 |
5.0 |
13.71 |
2.42 |
4.75 |
6 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
4.0 |
12.41 |
1.86 |
5.88 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
17 |
25 |
27 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2.5 |
10.09 |
1.88 |
7.38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
22 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
53.592% |
22.979% |
|
76.571% |
|
12.085% |
6.282% |
3.116% |
1.373% |
|
0.573% |
|
0.481% |
0.092% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.345% |
24.682% |
|
40.027% |
|
22.052% |
16.570% |
11.122% |
6.476% |
|
3.753% |
|
3.042% |
0.711% |
3. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.112% |
11.381% |
|
19.493% |
|
12.787% |
14.541% |
15.840% |
15.889% |
|
21.450% |
|
13.775% |
7.675% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
8.065% |
11.251% |
|
19.316% |
|
13.122% |
14.715% |
15.629% |
15.371% |
|
21.847% |
|
13.758% |
8.089% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.783% |
16.704% |
|
24.487% |
|
21.088% |
20.622% |
16.139% |
10.672% |
|
6.992% |
|
5.358% |
1.634% |
6. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.472% |
10.261% |
|
16.733% |
|
12.483% |
14.928% |
16.476% |
16.153% |
|
23.227% |
|
14.926% |
8.301% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.596% |
2.509% |
|
3.105% |
|
5.665% |
10.357% |
16.978% |
23.788% |
|
40.107% |
|
25.912% |
14.195% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.035% |
0.233% |
|
0.268% |
|
0.718% |
1.985% |
4.700% |
10.278% |
|
82.051% |
|
22.748% |
59.303% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
55.264% |
22.755% |
|
78.019% |
|
11.445% |
5.866% |
2.859% |
1.271% |
|
0.540% |
|
0.448% |
0.092% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.909% |
26.020% |
|
41.929% |
|
21.883% |
15.660% |
10.503% |
6.111% |
|
3.914% |
|
3.023% |
0.891% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
8.382% |
11.973% |
|
20.355% |
|
13.621% |
14.462% |
14.815% |
14.123% |
|
22.624% |
|
12.840% |
9.784% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
8.178% |
12.022% |
|
20.200% |
|
13.306% |
14.172% |
15.307% |
14.750% |
|
22.265% |
|
13.083% |
9.182% |
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.729% |
10.990% |
|
17.719% |
|
13.297% |
14.930% |
15.462% |
14.991% |
|
23.601% |
|
13.708% |
9.893% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.829% |
12.938% |
|
17.767% |
|
19.153% |
20.936% |
18.078% |
13.206% |
|
10.860% |
|
7.842% |
3.018% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.641% |
2.850% |
|
3.491% |
|
6.015% |
10.815% |
16.356% |
22.249% |
|
41.074% |
|
24.215% |
16.859% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.068% |
0.452% |
|
0.520% |
|
1.280% |
3.159% |
6.620% |
13.299% |
|
75.122% |
|
24.841% |
50.281% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
54.308% |
22.754% |
|
77.062% |
|
11.723% |
6.266% |
3.051% |
1.374% |
|
0.524% |
|
0.474% |
0.050% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.354% |
25.235% |
|
40.589% |
|
21.962% |
16.475% |
10.984% |
6.397% |
|
3.593% |
|
2.861% |
0.732% |
3. |
Chiron S14 |
|
8.148% |
11.030% |
|
19.178% |
|
13.087% |
14.682% |
15.647% |
15.582% |
|
21.824% |
|
13.774% |
8.050% |
4. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.948% |
11.275% |
|
19.223% |
|
12.883% |
14.721% |
16.066% |
15.898% |
|
21.209% |
|
13.548% |
7.661% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.202% |
16.537% |
|
23.739% |
|
21.423% |
21.008% |
16.547% |
10.612% |
|
6.671% |
|
5.304% |
1.367% |
6. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.425% |
10.466% |
|
16.891% |
|
12.719% |
14.674% |
16.314% |
16.060% |
|
23.342% |
|
14.994% |
8.348% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.585% |
2.540% |
|
3.125% |
|
5.578% |
10.377% |
16.934% |
23.659% |
|
40.327% |
|
26.038% |
14.289% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.030% |
0.163% |
|
0.193% |
|
0.625% |
1.797% |
4.457% |
10.418% |
|
82.510% |
|
23.007% |
59.503% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – Fizbo 2 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
52.653% |
22.793% |
|
75.446% |
|
12.188% |
6.890% |
3.441% |
1.510% |
|
0.525% |
|
0.465% |
0.060% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
14.740% |
23.416% |
|
38.156% |
|
21.946% |
17.572% |
11.990% |
6.720% |
|
3.616% |
|
3.062% |
0.554% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
10.643% |
20.539% |
|
31.182% |
|
23.208% |
19.848% |
13.958% |
7.921% |
|
3.883% |
|
3.446% |
0.437% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
7.659% |
10.512% |
|
18.171% |
|
12.482% |
15.024% |
16.245% |
16.383% |
|
21.695% |
|
14.941% |
6.754% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
7.555% |
10.612% |
|
18.167% |
|
12.544% |
14.713% |
16.916% |
17.021% |
|
20.639% |
|
14.507% |
6.132% |
6. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.178% |
9.755% |
|
15.933% |
|
12.177% |
14.964% |
17.231% |
17.437% |
|
22.258% |
|
15.623% |
6.635% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.567% |
2.314% |
|
2.881% |
|
5.203% |
10.094% |
17.490% |
25.420% |
|
38.912% |
|
27.572% |
11.340% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.005% |
0.059% |
|
0.064% |
|
0.252% |
0.895% |
2.729% |
7.588% |
|
88.472% |
|
20.384% |
68.088% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.01h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-18 01:31 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 03:32 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 05:32 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 07:33 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 09:33 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 11:34 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 13:35 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 15:35 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 17:36 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 19:37 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 21:37 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 23:38 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 01:39 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 03:39 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 05:40 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 07:41 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 09:41 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 11:42 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 13:43 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 15:43 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 17:44 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 19:44 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 21:45 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 23:46 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 01:46 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 03:47 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 05:48 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 07:48 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 09:49 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 11:50 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 13:50 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 15:51 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 17:52 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 19:52 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 21:53 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 23:54 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 01:54 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 03:55 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 05:55 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 07:56 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 09:57 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 11:57 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 13:58 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 15:59 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 17:59 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 20:00 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 22:01 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 00:01 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 02:02 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 04:03 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 06:03 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:04 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:05 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 12:05 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 14:06 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 16:07 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 18:07 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 20:08 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 22:08 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 00:09 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 02:10 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 04:10 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 06:11 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 08:12 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:12 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 12:13 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 14:14 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 16:14 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 18:15 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 20:16 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 22:16 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |