For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
10.5 |
18.64 |
1.58 |
1.32 |
77 |
16 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
9.5 |
16.57 |
1.59 |
2.48 |
16 |
46 |
22 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
0 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
9.5 |
15.40 |
1.50 |
3.39 |
4 |
20 |
35 |
22 |
12 |
5 |
1 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
8.0 |
14.12 |
1.71 |
4.51 |
1 |
8 |
16 |
25 |
23 |
16 |
10 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
8.0 |
13.99 |
1.72 |
4.61 |
1 |
7 |
15 |
23 |
25 |
17 |
11 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
7.0 |
12.62 |
1.49 |
5.79 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
10 |
19 |
33 |
30 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
7.0 |
12.27 |
1.74 |
5.98 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
9 |
15 |
26 |
41 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.5 |
8.40 |
1.48 |
7.92 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
74.961% |
17.388% |
|
92.349% |
|
5.456% |
1.590% |
0.491% |
0.100% |
|
0.014% |
|
0.014% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.869% |
43.431% |
|
60.300% |
|
21.405% |
10.819% |
5.099% |
1.851% |
|
0.526% |
|
0.521% |
0.005% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.842% |
20.350% |
|
25.192% |
|
34.051% |
21.503% |
11.950% |
5.387% |
|
1.917% |
|
1.895% |
0.022% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.778% |
8.798% |
|
10.576% |
|
15.608% |
24.517% |
22.574% |
15.905% |
|
10.820% |
|
10.255% |
0.565% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.249% |
6.754% |
|
8.003% |
|
13.461% |
20.401% |
23.705% |
19.185% |
|
15.245% |
|
14.450% |
0.795% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.220% |
1.839% |
|
2.059% |
|
5.076% |
9.976% |
16.230% |
25.653% |
|
41.006% |
|
37.250% |
3.756% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.081% |
1.440% |
|
1.521% |
|
4.938% |
11.166% |
19.781% |
30.959% |
|
31.635% |
|
29.718% |
1.917% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.028% |
0.170% |
0.960% |
|
98.837% |
|
5.897% |
92.940% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
58.625% |
27.755% |
|
86.380% |
|
9.390% |
3.098% |
0.906% |
0.201% |
|
0.025% |
|
0.025% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
31.422% |
41.478% |
|
72.900% |
|
16.504% |
6.816% |
2.808% |
0.810% |
|
0.162% |
|
0.161% |
0.001% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.729% |
16.315% |
|
22.044% |
|
36.104% |
22.339% |
12.225% |
5.486% |
|
1.802% |
|
1.776% |
0.026% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
2.270% |
6.927% |
|
9.197% |
|
15.411% |
25.504% |
22.999% |
16.010% |
|
10.879% |
|
10.365% |
0.514% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.548% |
5.082% |
|
6.630% |
|
13.152% |
21.097% |
24.395% |
19.317% |
|
15.409% |
|
14.580% |
0.829% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.280% |
1.388% |
|
1.668% |
|
4.888% |
10.122% |
16.511% |
25.749% |
|
41.062% |
|
37.329% |
3.733% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.126% |
1.055% |
|
1.181% |
|
4.546% |
10.999% |
20.010% |
31.416% |
|
31.848% |
|
29.890% |
1.958% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.025% |
0.146% |
1.011% |
|
98.813% |
|
5.874% |
92.939% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – LCZero v19.1-11248 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
75.507% |
17.256% |
|
92.763% |
|
5.147% |
1.597% |
0.402% |
0.084% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
15.672% |
45.141% |
|
60.813% |
|
21.793% |
10.485% |
4.799% |
1.683% |
|
0.427% |
|
0.425% |
0.002% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.309% |
19.582% |
|
24.891% |
|
34.234% |
21.477% |
12.091% |
5.452% |
|
1.855% |
|
1.826% |
0.029% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.847% |
8.423% |
|
10.270% |
|
15.661% |
24.631% |
22.400% |
16.201% |
|
10.837% |
|
10.281% |
0.556% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
1.364% |
6.394% |
|
7.758% |
|
13.286% |
20.427% |
23.831% |
19.256% |
|
15.442% |
|
14.672% |
0.770% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.221% |
1.780% |
|
2.001% |
|
4.983% |
10.197% |
16.331% |
25.244% |
|
41.244% |
|
37.509% |
3.735% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.080% |
1.424% |
|
1.504% |
|
4.893% |
11.163% |
19.972% |
31.060% |
|
31.408% |
|
29.404% |
2.004% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.023% |
0.174% |
1.020% |
|
98.780% |
|
5.876% |
92.904% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – LCZero v19.1-11248 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
87.493% |
9.266% |
|
96.759% |
|
2.450% |
0.637% |
0.132% |
0.021% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
6.108% |
44.077% |
|
50.185% |
|
25.119% |
13.687% |
7.188% |
2.939% |
|
0.882% |
|
0.868% |
0.014% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.943% |
24.336% |
|
28.279% |
|
32.134% |
20.694% |
11.656% |
5.398% |
|
1.839% |
|
1.815% |
0.024% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
1.331% |
10.289% |
|
11.620% |
|
16.292% |
23.762% |
21.898% |
15.642% |
|
10.786% |
|
10.211% |
0.575% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
0.927% |
7.980% |
|
8.907% |
|
13.473% |
19.866% |
23.449% |
19.148% |
|
15.157% |
|
14.366% |
0.791% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.147% |
2.196% |
|
2.343% |
|
5.275% |
10.123% |
15.963% |
24.961% |
|
41.335% |
|
37.528% |
3.807% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.051% |
1.856% |
|
1.907% |
|
5.257% |
11.195% |
19.566% |
30.919% |
|
31.156% |
|
29.244% |
1.912% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.036% |
0.148% |
0.972% |
|
98.844% |
|
5.967% |
92.877% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.18h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-20 10:30 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 12:41 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 14:52 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 17:02 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 19:13 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 21:24 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 23:35 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 01:45 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 03:56 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 06:07 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 08:17 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 10:28 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 12:39 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:50 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 17:00 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 19:11 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:22 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 23:32 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 01:43 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 03:54 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 06:05 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:15 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 10:26 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 12:37 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 14:47 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 16:58 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 19:09 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 21:20 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 23:30 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 01:41 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 03:52 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 06:02 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 08:13 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 10:24 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 12:35 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 14:45 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 16:56 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 19:07 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 21:18 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 23:28 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 01:39 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 03:50 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 06:00 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 08:11 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 10:22 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 12:33 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 14:43 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 16:54 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |