For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
14.5 |
15.81 |
0.57 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
13.0 |
14.20 |
0.59 |
1.99 |
1 |
99 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Chiron S14 |
11.5 |
12.06 |
0.43 |
3.72 |
0 |
0 |
59 |
17 |
19 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
12.0 |
12.00 |
0.00 |
3.69 |
0 |
0 |
31 |
69 |
0 |
5 |
Jonny 8.1 |
11.0 |
11.38 |
0.41 |
5.39 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
51 |
6 |
Laser 181205 |
10.5 |
11.34 |
0.60 |
5.20 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
9 |
30 |
7 |
Fritz 16.10 |
6.5 |
7.20 |
0.57 |
7.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
95.280% |
4.720% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.720% |
95.280% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.781% |
52.219% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.212% |
18.438% |
30.806% |
7.544% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
9.007% |
25.912% |
28.688% |
36.393% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.431% |
40.506% |
56.063% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
47.602% |
52.398% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.448% |
18.636% |
30.113% |
7.803% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.950% |
25.491% |
28.627% |
36.932% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.475% |
41.260% |
55.265% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
97.595% |
2.405% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
2.405% |
97.595% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
48.043% |
51.957% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.066% |
18.759% |
30.488% |
7.687% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.891% |
25.792% |
28.754% |
36.563% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.492% |
40.758% |
55.750% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Speculate Fritz 16.10 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-7. |
|
7. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
91.214% |
8.786% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
8.786% |
91.214% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
48.013% |
51.987% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
43.196% |
18.733% |
30.466% |
7.605% |
|
|
|
|
5. |
Laser 181205 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
8.791% |
25.878% |
28.760% |
36.571% |
|
|
|
|
6. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.402% |
40.774% |
55.824% |
|
|
|
|
7. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
100.000% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.09h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-23 20:42 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 22:48 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 00:53 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 02:59 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 05:04 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 07:10 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |