For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
22.0 |
29.20 |
1.47 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
18.0 |
24.18 |
1.52 |
2.67 |
1 |
52 |
28 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
17.5 |
23.44 |
1.44 |
3.10 |
0 |
26 |
38 |
34 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
17.0 |
23.15 |
1.40 |
3.27 |
0 |
21 |
33 |
43 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
14.0 |
18.96 |
1.44 |
5.37 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
63 |
26 |
6 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.0 |
17.90 |
1.43 |
5.95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
28 |
51 |
16 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
11.5 |
15.93 |
1.49 |
7.13 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
15 |
47 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.0 |
15.25 |
1.49 |
7.50 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
31 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.579% |
1.293% |
|
99.872% |
|
0.119% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.803% |
51.186% |
|
51.989% |
|
28.214% |
19.106% |
0.663% |
0.028% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.504% |
25.504% |
|
26.008% |
|
38.006% |
34.359% |
1.549% |
0.073% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.114% |
21.970% |
|
22.084% |
|
33.127% |
42.143% |
2.432% |
0.201% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.012% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.038% |
|
0.038% |
|
0.419% |
3.089% |
56.145% |
29.419% |
|
10.890% |
|
9.058% |
1.832% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.114% |
1.219% |
31.669% |
45.239% |
|
21.750% |
|
17.170% |
4.580% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.026% |
1.991% |
8.274% |
|
89.708% |
|
28.637% |
61.071% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.049% |
5.551% |
16.766% |
|
77.634% |
|
45.118% |
32.516% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Andscacs 095 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.574% |
1.279% |
|
99.853% |
|
0.138% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.795% |
51.520% |
|
52.315% |
|
27.922% |
18.795% |
0.915% |
0.053% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.507% |
25.624% |
|
26.131% |
|
38.276% |
33.259% |
2.225% |
0.106% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.124% |
21.497% |
|
21.621% |
|
32.805% |
42.022% |
3.283% |
0.258% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.072% |
|
0.072% |
|
0.740% |
4.740% |
64.498% |
25.687% |
|
4.263% |
|
3.814% |
0.449% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.116% |
1.139% |
26.113% |
53.831% |
|
18.793% |
|
15.309% |
3.484% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.027% |
1.438% |
8.710% |
|
89.822% |
|
35.667% |
54.155% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
1.528% |
11.355% |
|
87.108% |
|
45.196% |
41.912% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Andscacs 095 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.596% |
1.267% |
|
99.863% |
|
0.122% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.805% |
51.467% |
|
52.272% |
|
28.101% |
19.008% |
0.582% |
0.035% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.468% |
25.276% |
|
25.744% |
|
38.290% |
34.482% |
1.406% |
0.074% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.003% |
0.001% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.131% |
21.950% |
|
22.081% |
|
33.086% |
42.544% |
2.122% |
0.160% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.030% |
|
0.030% |
|
0.302% |
2.706% |
56.103% |
30.588% |
|
10.271% |
|
8.696% |
1.575% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.095% |
1.197% |
32.836% |
43.149% |
|
22.713% |
|
17.852% |
4.861% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.015% |
2.043% |
8.508% |
|
89.431% |
|
27.080% |
62.351% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.033% |
4.908% |
17.486% |
|
77.572% |
|
46.360% |
31.212% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2227.00 – Andscacs 095 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.552% |
1.308% |
|
99.860% |
|
0.129% |
0.011% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.820% |
51.549% |
|
52.369% |
|
28.145% |
19.062% |
0.398% |
0.026% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.507% |
25.506% |
|
26.013% |
|
38.300% |
34.671% |
0.952% |
0.059% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.121% |
21.614% |
|
21.735% |
|
33.169% |
43.264% |
1.692% |
0.135% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.004% |
0.001% |
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.127% |
1.498% |
44.205% |
33.129% |
|
21.029% |
|
16.667% |
4.362% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.126% |
1.316% |
38.331% |
34.198% |
|
26.018% |
|
20.238% |
5.780% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.034% |
2.546% |
7.849% |
|
89.568% |
|
20.502% |
69.066% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.144% |
11.876% |
24.604% |
|
63.375% |
|
42.584% |
20.791% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.07h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-11 02:35 |
126 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-11 05:39 |
127 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-11 08:43 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 11:47 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 14:51 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 17:55 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 20:59 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 00:04 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 03:08 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 06:12 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 09:16 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 12:20 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 15:24 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 18:28 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 21:32 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 00:36 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 03:40 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 06:44 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 09:49 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 12:53 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 15:57 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 19:01 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 22:05 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 01:09 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 04:13 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 07:17 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 10:21 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 13:25 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 16:30 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 19:34 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 22:38 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 01:42 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 04:46 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 07:50 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 10:54 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 13:58 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 17:02 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 20:06 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 23:10 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 02:15 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 05:19 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 08:23 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 11:27 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |