For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
22.0 |
29.19 |
1.46 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
18.0 |
24.17 |
1.52 |
2.63 |
1 |
54 |
27 |
18 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
18.0 |
23.25 |
1.37 |
3.17 |
0 |
23 |
39 |
37 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
17.0 |
23.13 |
1.41 |
3.23 |
0 |
22 |
34 |
42 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
14.5 |
18.87 |
1.36 |
5.38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
63 |
27 |
6 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.0 |
17.89 |
1.43 |
5.95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
29 |
49 |
17 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
12.0 |
16.03 |
1.41 |
7.15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
46 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
15.46 |
1.41 |
7.47 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
32 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.715% |
1.168% |
|
99.883% |
|
0.107% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.812% |
53.776% |
|
54.588% |
|
27.072% |
17.714% |
0.598% |
0.027% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.353% |
22.233% |
|
22.586% |
|
38.463% |
37.360% |
1.504% |
0.083% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.003% |
0.001% |
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.120% |
22.787% |
|
22.907% |
|
33.899% |
40.860% |
2.122% |
0.199% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.013% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.026% |
|
0.026% |
|
0.332% |
2.667% |
55.320% |
30.704% |
|
10.951% |
|
9.048% |
1.903% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.126% |
1.335% |
33.233% |
42.610% |
|
22.686% |
|
17.590% |
5.096% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.035% |
5.098% |
17.247% |
|
77.619% |
|
44.328% |
33.291% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.019% |
2.125% |
9.130% |
|
88.726% |
|
29.017% |
59.709% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
99.406% |
0.561% |
|
99.967% |
|
0.030% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.386% |
54.461% |
|
54.847% |
|
26.976% |
17.701% |
0.452% |
0.022% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.159% |
22.001% |
|
22.160% |
|
38.559% |
37.767% |
1.466% |
0.046% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.049% |
22.948% |
|
22.997% |
|
34.045% |
40.902% |
1.905% |
0.139% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.012% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.025% |
|
0.025% |
|
0.333% |
2.822% |
60.193% |
26.415% |
|
10.212% |
|
8.423% |
1.789% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.055% |
0.741% |
27.873% |
44.049% |
|
27.278% |
|
20.550% |
6.728% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.035% |
5.607% |
19.090% |
|
75.266% |
|
42.173% |
33.093% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.029% |
2.504% |
10.239% |
|
87.228% |
|
28.838% |
58.390% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.447% |
1.419% |
|
99.866% |
|
0.123% |
0.011% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
1.008% |
53.221% |
|
54.229% |
|
27.302% |
17.863% |
0.560% |
0.044% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.402% |
22.259% |
|
22.661% |
|
38.440% |
37.156% |
1.672% |
0.070% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.143% |
23.052% |
|
23.195% |
|
33.642% |
40.709% |
2.229% |
0.214% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.038% |
|
0.038% |
|
0.344% |
2.704% |
52.372% |
32.954% |
|
11.588% |
|
9.645% |
1.943% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.145% |
1.503% |
36.480% |
42.534% |
|
19.327% |
|
15.437% |
3.890% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.033% |
4.745% |
15.780% |
|
79.439% |
|
45.605% |
33.834% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.021% |
1.942% |
8.404% |
|
89.632% |
|
29.299% |
60.333% |
Speculate Stockfish 181224 – Fire 7.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
97.003% |
2.630% |
|
99.633% |
|
0.326% |
0.041% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
1.824% |
52.135% |
|
53.959% |
|
27.331% |
17.793% |
0.840% |
0.075% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.819% |
22.148% |
|
22.967% |
|
38.290% |
36.682% |
1.925% |
0.133% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.354% |
23.015% |
|
23.369% |
|
33.336% |
40.085% |
2.871% |
0.328% |
|
0.011% |
|
0.011% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.040% |
|
0.040% |
|
0.350% |
2.565% |
43.917% |
40.376% |
|
12.752% |
|
10.640% |
2.112% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.032% |
|
0.032% |
|
0.364% |
2.772% |
45.500% |
39.043% |
|
12.289% |
|
10.382% |
1.907% |
7. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.021% |
1.429% |
6.722% |
|
91.826% |
|
30.438% |
61.388% |
8. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.041% |
3.518% |
13.323% |
|
83.117% |
|
48.524% |
34.593% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-11 10:03 |
128 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-11 13:08 |
129 |
Houdini 6.03 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 16:12 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 19:17 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 22:22 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 01:26 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 04:31 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 07:36 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 10:41 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 13:45 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 16:50 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 19:55 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 22:59 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 02:04 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 05:09 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 08:14 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 11:18 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 14:23 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 17:28 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 20:33 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 23:37 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 02:42 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 05:47 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 08:51 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 11:56 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 15:01 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 18:06 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 21:10 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 00:15 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 03:20 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 06:24 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 09:29 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 12:34 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 15:39 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 18:43 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 21:48 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 00:53 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 03:58 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 07:02 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 10:07 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 13:12 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |