For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
22.5 |
28.92 |
1.39 |
1.01 |
99 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
18.5 |
24.12 |
1.43 |
2.64 |
1 |
53 |
28 |
17 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248/v20rc2-32194 |
18.0 |
23.27 |
1.37 |
3.17 |
0 |
24 |
35 |
39 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Houdini 6.03 |
17.5 |
23.19 |
1.33 |
3.22 |
0 |
22 |
36 |
40 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00/2227.00 |
14.5 |
18.86 |
1.36 |
5.44 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
59 |
31 |
7 |
6 |
Fire 7.1 |
13.5 |
18.14 |
1.36 |
5.85 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
33 |
49 |
14 |
7 |
Andscacs 095 |
12.0 |
16.02 |
1.41 |
7.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
47 |
8 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
11.5 |
15.47 |
1.41 |
7.49 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
7 |
33 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.735% |
1.130% |
|
99.865% |
|
0.123% |
0.012% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.692% |
52.187% |
|
52.879% |
|
28.409% |
18.222% |
0.467% |
0.023% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.450% |
23.761% |
|
24.211% |
|
35.907% |
38.219% |
1.592% |
0.071% |
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.123% |
22.884% |
|
23.007% |
|
35.115% |
39.764% |
1.949% |
0.159% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.030% |
|
0.030% |
|
0.336% |
2.469% |
52.350% |
33.259% |
|
11.556% |
|
9.610% |
1.946% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.109% |
1.260% |
37.027% |
42.423% |
|
19.173% |
|
15.349% |
3.824% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.038% |
4.577% |
15.770% |
|
79.614% |
|
45.563% |
34.051% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
2.038% |
8.295% |
|
89.651% |
|
29.472% |
60.179% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.658% |
1.195% |
|
99.853% |
|
0.129% |
0.018% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.721% |
48.404% |
|
49.125% |
|
29.671% |
20.771% |
0.417% |
0.015% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.410% |
21.507% |
|
21.917% |
|
33.064% |
43.891% |
1.070% |
0.057% |
|
0.001% |
|
0.001% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.211% |
28.884% |
|
29.095% |
|
36.972% |
33.287% |
0.627% |
0.019% |
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.105% |
0.998% |
43.287% |
37.198% |
|
18.404% |
|
14.693% |
3.711% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.058% |
0.994% |
46.422% |
37.018% |
|
15.506% |
|
12.624% |
2.882% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.028% |
5.628% |
16.757% |
|
77.586% |
|
44.349% |
33.237% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.013% |
2.549% |
8.936% |
|
88.502% |
|
28.332% |
60.170% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.825% |
1.069% |
|
99.894% |
|
0.097% |
0.009% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.728% |
53.992% |
|
54.720% |
|
27.603% |
17.094% |
0.563% |
0.018% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.375% |
24.826% |
|
25.201% |
|
37.094% |
35.888% |
1.713% |
0.101% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.072% |
20.078% |
|
20.150% |
|
34.719% |
43.043% |
1.948% |
0.135% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.021% |
|
0.021% |
|
0.331% |
2.514% |
55.899% |
31.962% |
|
9.273% |
|
7.975% |
1.298% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.014% |
|
0.014% |
|
0.155% |
1.405% |
34.091% |
44.280% |
|
20.055% |
|
16.071% |
3.984% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.031% |
4.053% |
15.495% |
|
80.420% |
|
46.659% |
33.761% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.016% |
1.733% |
8.009% |
|
90.242% |
|
29.285% |
60.957% |
Speculate Houdini 6.03 – KomodoMCTS 2227.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Stockfish 181224 |
|
98.755% |
1.130% |
|
99.885% |
|
0.110% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Komodo 2227.00 |
|
0.772% |
58.144% |
|
58.916% |
|
26.658% |
13.599% |
0.785% |
0.042% |
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
|
0.445% |
27.158% |
|
27.603% |
|
41.259% |
28.600% |
2.423% |
0.110% |
|
0.005% |
|
0.005% |
|
4. |
Houdini 6.03 |
|
0.028% |
13.450% |
|
13.478% |
|
30.851% |
50.109% |
5.034% |
0.506% |
|
0.022% |
|
0.022% |
|
5. |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
|
|
0.104% |
|
0.104% |
|
0.927% |
5.774% |
62.247% |
25.949% |
|
4.999% |
|
4.445% |
0.554% |
6. |
Fire 7.1 |
|
|
0.014% |
|
0.014% |
|
0.191% |
1.834% |
25.636% |
51.297% |
|
21.028% |
|
16.976% |
4.052% |
7. |
Andscacs 095 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.050% |
2.705% |
14.519% |
|
82.724% |
|
48.061% |
34.663% |
8. |
Ethereal 11.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.029% |
1.170% |
7.577% |
|
91.222% |
|
30.491% |
60.731% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 3.08h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-01-11 15:51 |
130 |
Fire 7.1 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-11 18:55 |
131 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-11 22:00 |
132 |
Andscacs 095 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 01:04 |
133 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-12 04:09 |
134 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-12 07:13 |
135 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-12 10:18 |
136 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-12 13:22 |
137 |
Fire 7.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 16:27 |
138 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-12 19:32 |
139 |
Andscacs 095 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-12 22:36 |
140 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 01:41 |
141 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-13 04:45 |
142 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 07:50 |
143 |
Andscacs 095 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-13 10:54 |
144 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-13 13:59 |
145 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-13 17:03 |
146 |
Fire 7.1 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-13 20:08 |
147 |
Houdini 6.03 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-13 23:13 |
148 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 02:17 |
149 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 05:22 |
150 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-14 08:26 |
151 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-14 11:31 |
152 |
Andscacs 095 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-14 14:35 |
153 |
Andscacs 095 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-14 17:40 |
154 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
2019-01-14 20:44 |
155 |
Fire 7.1 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-14 23:49 |
156 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 02:54 |
157 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-15 05:58 |
158 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-15 09:03 |
159 |
Stockfish 181224 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-15 12:07 |
160 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-15 15:12 |
161 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
2019-01-15 18:16 |
162 |
Andscacs 095 |
Stockfish 181224 |
2019-01-15 21:21 |
163 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
2019-01-16 00:25 |
164 |
Fire 7.1 |
Houdini 6.03 |
2019-01-16 03:30 |
165 |
KomodoMCTS 2227.00 |
Fire 7.1 |
2019-01-16 06:35 |
166 |
Houdini 6.03 |
Ethereal 11.14 |
2019-01-16 09:39 |
167 |
Komodo 2227.00 |
Andscacs 095 |
2019-01-16 12:44 |
168 |
Stockfish 181224 |
LCZero v20rc2-32194 |