For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
92.695% |
7.305% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
7.305% |
92.257% |
0.438% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
0.438% |
86.408% |
10.925% |
|
97.771% |
|
2.229% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
8.896% |
56.997% |
|
65.893% |
|
30.761% |
3.102% |
0.239% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
4.258% |
31.069% |
|
35.327% |
|
56.706% |
5.377% |
1.787% |
0.633% |
0.153% |
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
0.398% |
|
0.398% |
|
5.022% |
51.702% |
21.803% |
12.523% |
5.782% |
2.265% |
|
0.505% |
|
0.451% |
0.054% |
|
|
|
7. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
0.491% |
|
0.491% |
|
2.909% |
24.072% |
21.020% |
21.454% |
15.434% |
11.454% |
|
3.166% |
|
2.867% |
0.299% |
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.110% |
|
0.110% |
|
1.803% |
8.037% |
25.573% |
20.395% |
17.837% |
17.928% |
|
8.317% |
|
7.009% |
1.308% |
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.114% |
2.661% |
11.472% |
22.791% |
29.628% |
21.463% |
|
11.871% |
|
11.152% |
0.719% |
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.456% |
5.044% |
17.514% |
17.946% |
19.530% |
22.833% |
|
16.667% |
|
10.469% |
6.198% |
|
|
|
11. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.540% |
3.542% |
8.329% |
13.743% |
|
73.841% |
|
43.286% |
29.953% |
0.602% |
|
|
12. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.052% |
0.711% |
3.307% |
10.297% |
|
85.633% |
|
24.527% |
59.520% |
1.562% |
0.024% |
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.239% |
1.461% |
63.470% |
34.830% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.488% |
34.366% |
64.872% |
0.274% |
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.274% |
99.726% |
Speculate Minic 1.32 – Wasp 3.82 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
92.568% |
7.432% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
7.432% |
92.131% |
0.437% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
0.437% |
86.244% |
11.017% |
|
97.698% |
|
2.302% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
9.136% |
57.318% |
|
66.454% |
|
30.231% |
3.036% |
0.274% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
4.183% |
30.688% |
|
34.871% |
|
57.125% |
5.466% |
1.718% |
0.595% |
0.208% |
0.017% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
0.358% |
|
0.358% |
|
5.163% |
51.609% |
21.686% |
12.703% |
5.667% |
2.314% |
|
0.500% |
|
0.448% |
0.052% |
|
|
|
7. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
0.481% |
|
0.481% |
|
2.733% |
24.145% |
21.166% |
21.313% |
15.447% |
11.502% |
|
3.213% |
|
2.892% |
0.321% |
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.128% |
|
0.128% |
|
1.862% |
8.061% |
25.440% |
20.486% |
17.838% |
17.587% |
|
8.598% |
|
7.232% |
1.366% |
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.107% |
2.602% |
11.386% |
22.683% |
29.370% |
21.568% |
|
12.284% |
|
11.524% |
0.760% |
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.477% |
5.076% |
17.703% |
17.864% |
19.436% |
22.601% |
|
16.833% |
|
10.554% |
6.279% |
|
|
|
11. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.566% |
3.633% |
8.738% |
13.956% |
|
73.102% |
|
43.183% |
29.297% |
0.622% |
|
|
12. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.061% |
0.718% |
3.296% |
10.455% |
|
85.470% |
|
23.926% |
59.968% |
1.560% |
0.016% |
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.241% |
1.451% |
63.530% |
34.778% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.506% |
34.288% |
64.954% |
0.252% |
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.252% |
99.748% |
Speculate Minic 1.32 – Wasp 3.82 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
92.478% |
7.522% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
7.522% |
92.042% |
0.436% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
0.436% |
86.002% |
11.186% |
|
97.624% |
|
2.376% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
9.237% |
56.924% |
|
66.161% |
|
30.469% |
3.061% |
0.304% |
0.005% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
4.325% |
30.875% |
|
35.200% |
|
56.855% |
5.368% |
1.783% |
0.582% |
0.191% |
0.021% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
0.358% |
|
0.358% |
|
5.172% |
51.604% |
21.823% |
12.442% |
5.721% |
2.326% |
|
0.554% |
|
0.501% |
0.053% |
|
|
|
7. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
0.532% |
|
0.532% |
|
2.842% |
24.322% |
21.010% |
21.430% |
15.472% |
11.275% |
|
3.117% |
|
2.846% |
0.271% |
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.116% |
|
0.116% |
|
1.700% |
8.106% |
25.296% |
20.377% |
17.983% |
17.940% |
|
8.482% |
|
7.171% |
1.311% |
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.109% |
2.583% |
11.578% |
22.859% |
29.273% |
21.500% |
|
12.098% |
|
11.306% |
0.792% |
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
|
0.009% |
|
0.477% |
4.947% |
17.605% |
17.962% |
19.639% |
22.779% |
|
16.582% |
|
10.410% |
6.172% |
|
|
|
11. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.009% |
0.539% |
3.601% |
8.446% |
13.947% |
|
73.458% |
|
43.254% |
29.613% |
0.591% |
|
|
12. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.062% |
0.742% |
3.275% |
10.212% |
|
85.709% |
|
24.286% |
59.958% |
1.446% |
0.019% |
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.226% |
1.354% |
63.514% |
34.906% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.476% |
34.449% |
64.803% |
0.272% |
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.272% |
99.728% |
Speculate Minic 1.32 – Wasp 3.82 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
92.882% |
7.118% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
7.118% |
92.477% |
0.405% |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
0.405% |
86.349% |
11.027% |
|
97.781% |
|
2.219% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
9.025% |
57.139% |
|
66.164% |
|
30.590% |
2.990% |
0.253% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
4.221% |
30.878% |
|
35.099% |
|
57.063% |
5.377% |
1.698% |
0.567% |
0.178% |
0.018% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
0.358% |
|
0.358% |
|
5.026% |
51.709% |
21.791% |
12.630% |
5.644% |
2.349% |
|
0.493% |
|
0.444% |
0.049% |
|
|
|
7. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
0.482% |
|
0.482% |
|
2.762% |
24.262% |
21.034% |
21.408% |
15.506% |
11.500% |
|
3.046% |
|
2.798% |
0.248% |
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
0.106% |
|
0.106% |
|
1.743% |
8.061% |
25.600% |
20.396% |
17.715% |
17.898% |
|
8.481% |
|
7.141% |
1.340% |
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.089% |
2.620% |
11.548% |
22.980% |
29.612% |
21.267% |
|
11.884% |
|
11.114% |
0.770% |
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
|
0.010% |
|
0.508% |
4.977% |
17.459% |
17.858% |
19.578% |
22.854% |
|
16.756% |
|
10.686% |
6.070% |
|
|
|
11. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.564% |
3.406% |
8.350% |
13.712% |
|
73.964% |
|
43.226% |
30.073% |
0.665% |
|
|
12. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.053% |
0.752% |
3.417% |
10.402% |
|
85.376% |
|
24.347% |
59.543% |
1.466% |
0.020% |
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.244% |
1.415% |
63.162% |
35.179% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.492% |
34.707% |
64.528% |
0.273% |
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.273% |
99.727% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
1 |
Fire 021819 |
19.5 |
22.70 |
0.95 |
1.15 |
86 |
14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Defenchess 2.2_dev/2.3_dev |
18.0 |
21.45 |
0.90 |
1.89 |
14 |
83 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
RubiChess 1.7-dev2/1.6.1.1 |
16.0 |
18.81 |
0.97 |
3.33 |
0 |
1 |
71 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Pedone 1.9/2.0 |
15.0 |
17.65 |
0.97 |
4.38 |
0 |
0 |
14 |
47 |
29 |
9 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
14.0 |
16.97 |
0.96 |
5.11 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
22 |
45 |
21 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Nemorino 5.26_256th/5.27 |
12.5 |
15.31 |
0.97 |
7.32 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
28 |
28 |
16 |
10 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Wasp 3.75/3.82 |
0.0 |
15.18 |
2.74 |
8.06 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
14 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
10 |
4 |
3 |
8 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
12.5 |
14.66 |
0.97 |
8.51 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
11 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
12.0 |
14.36 |
0.96 |
9.15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
6 |
14 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
8 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
12.0 |
14.28 |
0.94 |
9.38 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
12 |
17 |
18 |
18 |
16 |
9 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Gull 191130/20170410_256th |
12.5 |
14.25 |
0.86 |
9.45 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
10 |
16 |
20 |
20 |
16 |
10 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
Minic 1.19_dev/1.22/1.24/1.25/1.26/1.32 |
11.5 |
13.33 |
0.86 |
11.28 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
21 |
32 |
20 |
1 |
0 |
13 |
Demolito 20191225/20191229 |
11.0 |
12.79 |
0.86 |
12.18 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
6 |
12 |
26 |
47 |
4 |
0 |
14 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
9.0 |
10.84 |
0.93 |
14.15 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
63 |
27 |
15 |
Igel 2.1.2 next.2_TCEC_TTFIX/2.2.2_dev1/2.3.0/2.3.1-c2/2.3.1 |
8.0 |
10.16 |
0.94 |
14.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
68 |
16 |
Pirarucu 3.0.7/3.2.4 |
5.5 |
7.28 |
0.93 |
15.98 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-01-24 02:56 |
218 |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
Gull 20170410_256th |
2020-01-24 03:58 |
219 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
Demolito 20191229 |
2020-01-24 05:00 |
220 |
Pedone 2.0 |
Fire 021819 |
2020-01-24 06:02 |
221 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
2020-01-24 07:04 |
222 |
Nemorino 5.27 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
2020-01-24 08:06 |
223 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
iCE 4.0.853 |
2020-01-24 09:08 |
224 |
Igel 2.3.1 |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
2020-01-24 10:09 |
225 |
Igel 2.3.1 |
Minic 1.32 |
2020-01-24 11:11 |
226 |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
2020-01-24 12:13 |
227 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
Nemorino 5.27 |
2020-01-24 13:15 |
228 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
2020-01-24 14:17 |
229 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
Pedone 2.0 |
2020-01-24 15:19 |
230 |
Fire 021819 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
2020-01-24 16:21 |
231 |
Demolito 20191229 |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
2020-01-24 17:23 |
232 |
Gull 20170410_256th |
Wasp 3.82 |
2020-01-24 18:25 |
233 |
Minic 1.32 |
Gull 20170410_256th |
2020-01-24 19:27 |
234 |
Wasp 3.82 |
Demolito 20191229 |
2020-01-24 20:29 |
235 |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
Fire 021819 |
2020-01-24 21:31 |
236 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
2020-01-24 22:33 |
237 |
Pedone 2.0 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
2020-01-24 23:34 |
238 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
2020-01-25 00:36 |
239 |
Nemorino 5.27 |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
2020-01-25 01:38 |
240 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
Igel 2.3.1 |