For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
94.941% |
4.459% |
|
99.400% |
|
0.600% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
2.457% |
53.429% |
|
55.886% |
|
41.697% |
2.417% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
2.602% |
41.456% |
|
44.058% |
|
53.702% |
2.019% |
0.221% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
0.656% |
|
0.656% |
|
3.609% |
38.686% |
20.933% |
16.814% |
13.819% |
5.483% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.238% |
34.229% |
22.069% |
14.814% |
3.650% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.207% |
20.488% |
17.980% |
22.559% |
16.395% |
22.371% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3.996% |
16.233% |
21.292% |
38.334% |
20.145% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.185% |
7.156% |
10.404% |
17.266% |
16.638% |
41.603% |
|
6.748% |
|
6.748% |
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.748% |
|
93.252% |
|
55.812% |
37.440% |
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
37.440% |
62.560% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.118% |
23.882% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.882% |
76.118% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate PeSTO 2.210 – Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
97.561% |
2.439% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
2.439% |
78.469% |
|
80.908% |
|
11.175% |
7.917% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
16.964% |
|
16.964% |
|
75.855% |
6.479% |
0.702% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
2.128% |
|
2.128% |
|
11.641% |
64.534% |
20.238% |
1.459% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.870% |
46.449% |
28.900% |
16.114% |
3.667% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.691% |
13.141% |
12.608% |
27.804% |
20.827% |
24.929% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
11.208% |
21.562% |
44.010% |
23.220% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.638% |
3.059% |
8.795% |
20.275% |
19.049% |
41.372% |
|
6.812% |
|
6.812% |
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.812% |
|
93.188% |
|
55.512% |
37.676% |
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
37.676% |
62.324% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.820% |
23.180% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.180% |
76.820% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate PeSTO 2.210 – Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
97.577% |
2.423% |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
2.423% |
56.027% |
|
58.450% |
|
41.550% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
|
41.550% |
|
41.550% |
|
58.450% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
41.715% |
24.256% |
22.615% |
10.128% |
1.286% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.576% |
32.256% |
22.620% |
15.851% |
3.697% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
21.765% |
19.194% |
18.879% |
16.284% |
23.878% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.098% |
15.827% |
20.162% |
37.835% |
22.078% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.846% |
8.467% |
15.724% |
19.902% |
42.279% |
|
6.782% |
|
6.782% |
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.782% |
|
93.218% |
|
55.568% |
37.650% |
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
37.650% |
62.350% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.322% |
23.678% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.678% |
76.322% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Speculate PeSTO 2.210 – Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
3. |
4. |
|
1-4. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
|
11-15. |
|
11. |
12. |
13. |
14. |
15. |
1. |
Fire 021819 |
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
3. |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
|
|
|
91.263% |
7.312% |
|
98.575% |
|
1.425% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4. |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
|
|
|
6.231% |
60.363% |
|
66.594% |
|
33.406% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
5. |
Pedone 2.0 |
|
|
|
2.506% |
32.325% |
|
34.831% |
|
65.169% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6. |
Nemorino 5.27 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
40.075% |
26.137% |
16.764% |
13.352% |
3.672% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
7. |
Winter 0.7.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
25.059% |
21.246% |
20.626% |
13.289% |
19.780% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
8. |
PeSTO 2.210 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
17.332% |
19.208% |
24.762% |
26.322% |
12.376% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
9. |
Gull 20170410_256th |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.748% |
20.385% |
22.178% |
34.256% |
16.433% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10. |
Texel 1.08a13 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
10.786% |
13.024% |
15.670% |
12.781% |
40.930% |
|
6.809% |
|
6.809% |
|
|
|
|
11. |
Demolito 20191229 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
6.809% |
|
93.191% |
|
55.773% |
37.418% |
|
|
|
12. |
Minic 1.32 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
37.418% |
62.582% |
|
|
|
13. |
iCE 4.0.853 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
76.019% |
23.981% |
|
14. |
Igel 2.3.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
23.981% |
76.019% |
|
15. |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
10 |
11 |
12 |
13 |
14 |
15 |
1 |
Fire 021819 |
20.5 |
23.16 |
0.83 |
1.04 |
96 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Defenchess 2.2_dev/2.3_dev |
19.5 |
21.49 |
0.70 |
1.97 |
4 |
95 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
RubiChess 1.7-dev2/1.6.1.1 |
16.5 |
18.64 |
0.87 |
3.25 |
0 |
0 |
79 |
17 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Pedone 1.9/2.0 |
15.0 |
17.21 |
0.87 |
4.56 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
45 |
35 |
11 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
14.5 |
16.85 |
0.86 |
4.95 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
27 |
46 |
19 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
Wasp 3.75/3.82 |
0.0 |
15.11 |
2.71 |
8.02 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
10 |
10 |
16 |
7 |
5 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
6 |
8 |
4 |
4 |
7 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
13.0 |
14.76 |
0.86 |
8.05 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
16 |
22 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Nemorino 5.26_256th/5.27 |
13.0 |
14.64 |
0.74 |
8.30 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
13 |
22 |
22 |
19 |
14 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
9 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
12.5 |
14.49 |
0.86 |
8.69 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
11 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
14 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
10 |
Gull 191130/20170410_256th |
13.0 |
14.42 |
0.75 |
8.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
15 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
12 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
11 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
12.5 |
14.21 |
0.83 |
9.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
12 |
14 |
17 |
21 |
21 |
7 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
Demolito 20191225/20191229 |
11.5 |
12.85 |
0.74 |
12.09 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
16 |
37 |
37 |
3 |
0 |
13 |
Minic 1.19_dev/1.22/1.24/1.25/1.26/1.32 |
11.5 |
12.85 |
0.74 |
12.08 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
15 |
36 |
38 |
3 |
0 |
14 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
10.0 |
11.15 |
0.72 |
14.11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
10 |
65 |
24 |
15 |
Igel 2.1.2 next.2_TCEC_TTFIX/2.2.2_dev1/2.3.0/2.3.1-c2/2.3.1 |
9.5 |
10.57 |
0.71 |
14.68 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
26 |
71 |
16 |
Pirarucu 3.0.7/3.2.4 |
6.5 |
7.60 |
0.72 |
16.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.03h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-01-24 14:47 |
229 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
Pedone 2.0 |
2020-01-24 15:49 |
230 |
Fire 021819 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
2020-01-24 16:51 |
231 |
Demolito 20191229 |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
2020-01-24 17:53 |
232 |
Gull 20170410_256th |
Wasp 3.82 |
2020-01-24 18:55 |
233 |
Minic 1.32 |
Gull 20170410_256th |
2020-01-24 19:57 |
234 |
Wasp 3.82 |
Demolito 20191229 |
2020-01-24 20:59 |
235 |
RubiChess 1.6.1.1 |
Fire 021819 |
2020-01-24 22:01 |
236 |
Texel 1.08a13 |
Winter 0.7.4 |
2020-01-24 23:03 |
237 |
Pedone 2.0 |
PeSTO 2.210 |
2020-01-25 00:05 |
238 |
Vajolet2 2.9.0-TCEC-S17 |
iCE 4.0.853 |
2020-01-25 01:07 |
239 |
Nemorino 5.27 |
Pirarucu 3.2.4 |
2020-01-25 02:09 |
240 |
Defenchess 2.3_dev |
Igel 2.3.1 |