For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.780% |
22.476% |
|
88.256% |
|
7.725% |
2.731% |
0.891% |
0.312% |
0.085% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.017% |
29.631% |
|
49.648% |
|
20.865% |
13.517% |
8.384% |
5.123% |
2.332% |
0.126% |
0.004% |
0.001% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.435% |
15.089% |
|
19.524% |
|
22.051% |
20.495% |
16.528% |
12.516% |
7.863% |
0.939% |
0.079% |
0.005% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.845% |
13.476% |
|
18.321% |
|
17.295% |
18.558% |
17.435% |
14.753% |
11.502% |
1.908% |
0.223% |
0.005% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.551% |
10.155% |
|
12.706% |
|
15.014% |
17.911% |
19.501% |
18.334% |
13.765% |
2.409% |
0.348% |
0.012% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.102% |
4.448% |
|
5.550% |
|
8.464% |
13.031% |
18.073% |
23.123% |
23.957% |
6.775% |
0.982% |
0.045% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.267% |
4.713% |
|
5.980% |
|
8.482% |
13.365% |
17.790% |
21.451% |
25.409% |
6.586% |
0.853% |
0.084% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.003% |
0.009% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.084% |
0.308% |
1.131% |
3.421% |
11.117% |
50.180% |
27.423% |
6.324% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.020% |
0.083% |
0.257% |
0.913% |
3.661% |
27.180% |
55.628% |
12.255% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.010% |
0.054% |
0.309% |
3.897% |
14.460% |
81.269% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.948% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.572% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.729% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.046% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.967% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.631% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.449% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.911% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.462% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.938% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.520% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.191% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.957% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.202% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.341% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.034% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.983% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.871% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.426% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.008% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.856% |
22.123% |
|
87.979% |
|
7.670% |
2.844% |
1.028% |
0.385% |
0.092% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.890% |
28.935% |
|
48.825% |
|
20.471% |
13.689% |
8.689% |
5.381% |
2.778% |
0.158% |
0.009% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.363% |
14.898% |
|
19.261% |
|
21.331% |
19.486% |
16.501% |
13.030% |
9.314% |
1.005% |
0.072% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.539% |
13.173% |
|
17.712% |
|
16.586% |
17.603% |
17.028% |
15.675% |
13.101% |
2.040% |
0.255% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.263% |
9.532% |
|
11.795% |
|
14.057% |
16.815% |
18.963% |
19.747% |
15.642% |
2.604% |
0.372% |
0.005% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.022% |
7.077% |
|
9.099% |
|
12.105% |
17.032% |
19.982% |
20.186% |
18.025% |
3.334% |
0.236% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.065% |
4.247% |
|
5.312% |
|
7.697% |
12.158% |
16.646% |
21.995% |
27.680% |
7.430% |
1.066% |
0.016% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.011% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.067% |
0.321% |
0.968% |
2.820% |
10.037% |
54.180% |
27.838% |
3.756% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.016% |
0.052% |
0.195% |
0.780% |
3.279% |
27.533% |
60.460% |
7.681% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.052% |
1.714% |
9.692% |
88.541% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.293% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.262% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.603% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
10.858% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.305% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.528% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.260% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.713% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.305% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.874% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.555% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.908% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.571% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.398% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.715% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.822% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.935% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.684% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.475% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.345% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.392% |
22.999% |
|
88.391% |
|
7.690% |
2.607% |
0.966% |
0.288% |
0.057% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.565% |
29.684% |
|
50.249% |
|
21.192% |
13.607% |
8.319% |
4.549% |
1.924% |
0.153% |
0.007% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.440% |
15.188% |
|
19.628% |
|
22.784% |
21.219% |
16.906% |
11.988% |
6.513% |
0.871% |
0.088% |
0.003% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.324% |
14.603% |
|
19.927% |
|
18.597% |
19.345% |
17.169% |
13.807% |
9.406% |
1.560% |
0.186% |
0.003% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.651% |
10.707% |
|
13.358% |
|
15.843% |
18.997% |
19.480% |
16.880% |
12.646% |
2.417% |
0.372% |
0.007% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.202% |
4.596% |
|
5.798% |
|
8.617% |
13.778% |
19.540% |
24.108% |
21.005% |
6.138% |
0.965% |
0.051% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.425% |
2.205% |
|
2.630% |
|
5.163% |
9.994% |
16.012% |
23.548% |
32.117% |
9.251% |
1.175% |
0.110% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.016% |
|
0.017% |
|
0.094% |
0.380% |
1.299% |
3.839% |
11.979% |
47.810% |
26.585% |
7.997% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.020% |
0.073% |
0.304% |
0.949% |
3.959% |
26.649% |
51.926% |
16.118% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.044% |
0.394% |
5.150% |
18.696% |
75.711% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.998% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.039% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.603% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.053% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
9.443% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.550% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.231% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.527% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.139% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.730% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.037% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.284% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.130% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.751% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.181% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.216% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.178% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.992% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.530% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.904% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Weiss 0.10-dev2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
64.690% |
23.297% |
|
87.987% |
|
8.040% |
2.757% |
0.913% |
0.259% |
0.041% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.796% |
29.674% |
|
50.470% |
|
21.703% |
13.818% |
8.241% |
4.280% |
1.370% |
0.109% |
0.009% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.566% |
15.233% |
|
19.799% |
|
23.215% |
21.562% |
17.978% |
12.278% |
4.430% |
0.643% |
0.087% |
0.008% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.769% |
15.374% |
|
21.143% |
|
19.029% |
20.370% |
17.872% |
13.197% |
6.797% |
1.380% |
0.192% |
0.020% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.759% |
11.080% |
|
13.839% |
|
16.767% |
20.853% |
21.208% |
15.448% |
9.411% |
2.071% |
0.367% |
0.036% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.311% |
4.523% |
|
5.834% |
|
8.912% |
14.700% |
21.543% |
27.430% |
15.714% |
4.788% |
0.966% |
0.113% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.107% |
0.805% |
|
0.912% |
|
2.199% |
5.435% |
10.355% |
20.163% |
39.340% |
15.977% |
4.446% |
1.173% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.010% |
|
0.012% |
|
0.103% |
0.383% |
1.429% |
5.208% |
14.833% |
39.160% |
25.120% |
13.752% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.029% |
0.109% |
0.381% |
1.320% |
5.310% |
24.146% |
42.386% |
26.315% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.013% |
0.080% |
0.417% |
2.754% |
11.723% |
26.427% |
58.583% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.790% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.171% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.648% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
12.560% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
9.625% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.426% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.412% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.546% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.139% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.810% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
40.961% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.972% |
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.194% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.990% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.159% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.516% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.266% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.687% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.903% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.721% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.0 |
13.40 |
1.61 |
1.68 |
62 |
21 |
10 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.5 |
11.62 |
1.84 |
3.14 |
18 |
25 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.5 |
10.60 |
1.80 |
4.12 |
6 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
13 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.0 |
10.56 |
1.96 |
4.19 |
7 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
10 |
4 |
1 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
3.5 |
10.06 |
1.89 |
4.66 |
4 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
13 |
5 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.0 |
9.60 |
1.83 |
5.15 |
2 |
7 |
12 |
16 |
19 |
19 |
16 |
7 |
2 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.5 |
8.92 |
1.76 |
5.82 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
11 |
16 |
21 |
26 |
12 |
3 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
1.5 |
6.50 |
1.75 |
7.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
15 |
40 |
24 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
1.5 |
5.24 |
1.68 |
8.73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
22 |
48 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.0 |
3.51 |
1.76 |
9.58 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
7 |
20 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 06:38 |
32 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 07:47 |
33 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 08:56 |
34 |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 10:05 |
35 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 11:14 |
36 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 12:23 |
37 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-05 13:32 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 14:41 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 15:50 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 16:59 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:08 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 19:17 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 20:26 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 21:35 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 22:44 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:53 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:02 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 02:11 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 03:20 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 04:29 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 05:38 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 06:47 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 07:56 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 09:05 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:14 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:23 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:32 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:41 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:50 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:59 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:08 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:17 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:26 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:35 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:44 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:53 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 00:02 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:11 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:20 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:29 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:38 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:47 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:56 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 08:05 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:14 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:23 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:32 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:41 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:50 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:59 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:08 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:17 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:26 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:35 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:44 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:53 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 23:02 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:11 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:20 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |