For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
69.150% |
20.147% |
|
89.297% |
|
6.705% |
2.546% |
0.983% |
0.380% |
0.087% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
18.230% |
31.041% |
|
49.271% |
|
21.108% |
13.424% |
8.644% |
5.079% |
2.391% |
0.081% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.100% |
16.159% |
|
20.259% |
|
23.174% |
20.327% |
16.160% |
12.067% |
7.575% |
0.407% |
0.031% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.313% |
11.417% |
|
14.730% |
|
15.184% |
17.980% |
18.374% |
17.485% |
14.401% |
1.656% |
0.189% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.901% |
8.967% |
|
10.868% |
|
14.350% |
17.462% |
20.128% |
20.623% |
14.757% |
1.619% |
0.191% |
0.002% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.168% |
7.857% |
|
10.025% |
|
11.966% |
16.657% |
19.318% |
20.099% |
19.083% |
2.633% |
0.216% |
0.003% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.138% |
4.406% |
|
5.544% |
|
7.481% |
11.423% |
15.710% |
21.835% |
30.697% |
6.187% |
1.106% |
0.017% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.025% |
0.137% |
0.494% |
1.733% |
7.900% |
54.098% |
31.396% |
4.213% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.007% |
0.044% |
0.189% |
0.695% |
3.063% |
31.406% |
58.673% |
5.921% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.046% |
1.911% |
8.196% |
89.843% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
27.869% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
13.916% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.153% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.621% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.864% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.373% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.502% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.206% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.993% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.868% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
41.022% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
16.122% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.614% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.767% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.676% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.091% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.757% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.924% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.450% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.319% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – chess22k 1.14 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
48.197% |
24.471% |
|
72.668% |
|
13.384% |
7.381% |
4.047% |
1.849% |
0.655% |
0.016% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
25.201% |
24.579% |
|
49.780% |
|
18.148% |
13.155% |
9.180% |
6.270% |
3.374% |
0.091% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
7.071% |
13.768% |
|
20.839% |
|
18.285% |
18.268% |
16.786% |
14.581% |
10.627% |
0.576% |
0.038% |
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
7.093% |
11.897% |
|
18.990% |
|
14.659% |
16.575% |
17.450% |
16.635% |
14.044% |
1.494% |
0.153% |
|
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.213% |
10.054% |
|
15.267% |
|
13.281% |
15.380% |
17.029% |
18.208% |
18.882% |
1.744% |
0.209% |
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.725% |
8.469% |
|
12.194% |
|
12.221% |
15.364% |
17.611% |
19.665% |
20.858% |
1.871% |
0.214% |
0.002% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.499% |
6.758% |
|
10.257% |
|
9.994% |
13.765% |
17.493% |
21.143% |
24.206% |
2.910% |
0.230% |
0.002% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.002% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.020% |
0.085% |
0.300% |
1.224% |
5.095% |
56.631% |
32.180% |
4.462% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.008% |
0.027% |
0.104% |
0.422% |
2.225% |
32.704% |
58.375% |
6.133% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.034% |
1.963% |
8.599% |
89.401% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.371% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.128% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
8.723% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.669% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.195% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
5.636% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.829% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.602% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.290% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.066% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.499% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.638% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.959% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.498% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.846% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.398% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.227% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.895% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.481% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2.803% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – chess22k 1.14 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
65.153% |
22.366% |
|
87.519% |
|
7.988% |
2.958% |
1.119% |
0.337% |
0.079% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.597% |
28.996% |
|
49.593% |
|
20.378% |
13.365% |
8.674% |
5.329% |
2.578% |
0.081% |
0.002% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.488% |
15.500% |
|
19.988% |
|
22.062% |
20.177% |
16.312% |
12.578% |
8.335% |
0.511% |
0.036% |
0.001% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
3.768% |
11.270% |
|
15.038% |
|
14.768% |
17.199% |
17.918% |
17.136% |
16.129% |
1.635% |
0.176% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.202% |
9.152% |
|
11.354% |
|
14.028% |
17.042% |
19.345% |
19.915% |
16.366% |
1.716% |
0.230% |
0.004% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.543% |
7.522% |
|
10.065% |
|
11.435% |
15.990% |
18.655% |
19.823% |
20.996% |
2.752% |
0.283% |
0.001% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.247% |
5.190% |
|
6.437% |
|
9.300% |
13.136% |
17.372% |
22.617% |
26.354% |
4.130% |
0.651% |
0.003% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.002% |
0.004% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.031% |
0.107% |
0.443% |
1.657% |
6.446% |
54.788% |
32.244% |
4.278% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
0.026% |
0.162% |
0.607% |
2.686% |
32.442% |
57.993% |
6.074% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.031% |
1.945% |
8.385% |
89.638% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
25.302% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.642% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.903% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.131% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.781% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.809% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.224% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.324% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.219% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.129% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
39.944% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.227% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.350% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.824% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.250% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.920% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.206% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.238% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.768% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.554% |
Speculate Combusken 1.1.1 – chess22k 1.14 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
81.406% |
14.389% |
|
95.795% |
|
3.223% |
0.753% |
0.196% |
0.030% |
0.003% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
12.017% |
36.063% |
|
48.080% |
|
23.074% |
14.117% |
8.354% |
4.510% |
1.791% |
0.071% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.435% |
17.561% |
|
19.996% |
|
25.064% |
21.421% |
16.341% |
10.968% |
5.781% |
0.407% |
0.022% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
1.887% |
12.541% |
|
14.428% |
|
16.826% |
19.190% |
19.421% |
17.365% |
11.259% |
1.339% |
0.171% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.996% |
9.417% |
|
10.413% |
|
14.755% |
18.433% |
21.791% |
22.030% |
10.974% |
1.393% |
0.211% |
|
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
1.200% |
8.339% |
|
9.539% |
|
13.134% |
18.640% |
20.736% |
20.185% |
14.996% |
2.546% |
0.222% |
0.002% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.059% |
1.683% |
|
1.742% |
|
3.867% |
7.213% |
12.363% |
21.842% |
39.836% |
10.782% |
2.324% |
0.031% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.044% |
0.182% |
0.600% |
2.250% |
11.240% |
50.463% |
31.146% |
4.071% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.013% |
0.051% |
0.198% |
0.818% |
4.052% |
31.180% |
57.779% |
5.906% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.068% |
1.819% |
8.122% |
89.989% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
34.659% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
16.629% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
11.784% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.992% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
8.961% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
7.735% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.632% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.579% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.329% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.840% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
44.651% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
18.208% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.113% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.579% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.575% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.663% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.306% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.870% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
0.653% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
0.556% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.0 |
13.46 |
1.59 |
1.62 |
66 |
18 |
8 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.0 |
11.57 |
1.69 |
3.16 |
16 |
26 |
21 |
15 |
10 |
7 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.5 |
10.72 |
1.77 |
4.06 |
7 |
18 |
18 |
17 |
16 |
13 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.0 |
10.46 |
1.65 |
4.31 |
4 |
14 |
18 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
9 |
2 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.0 |
10.13 |
1.72 |
4.66 |
3 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
19 |
18 |
13 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.99 |
1.73 |
4.81 |
3 |
10 |
13 |
17 |
19 |
19 |
14 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.5 |
8.92 |
1.76 |
5.89 |
1 |
4 |
6 |
9 |
14 |
21 |
31 |
11 |
3 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.27 |
1.61 |
8.11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
13 |
45 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.42 |
1.54 |
8.64 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
6 |
26 |
52 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.0 |
3.08 |
1.60 |
9.74 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
14 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 11:54 |
36 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-05 13:04 |
37 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-05 14:14 |
38 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-05 15:24 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 16:34 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:44 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:54 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 20:04 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 21:15 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:25 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:35 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:45 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:55 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 03:05 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 04:15 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:25 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:36 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:46 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:56 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 10:06 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 11:16 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:26 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:36 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:46 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:56 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 17:07 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 18:17 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:27 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:37 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:47 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 22:57 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 00:07 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 01:17 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:28 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:38 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:48 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 05:58 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 07:08 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 08:18 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:28 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:38 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:48 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 12:59 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 14:09 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 15:19 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 16:29 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:39 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:49 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 19:59 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 21:09 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 22:20 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 23:30 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:40 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:50 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 03:00 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |