For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.419% |
23.928% |
|
83.347% |
|
9.945% |
4.234% |
1.700% |
0.620% |
0.151% |
0.003% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.326% |
25.643% |
|
45.969% |
|
20.792% |
14.680% |
9.768% |
5.927% |
2.798% |
0.065% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
6.290% |
15.845% |
|
22.135% |
|
20.238% |
19.104% |
16.331% |
12.752% |
8.960% |
0.446% |
0.034% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.314% |
11.196% |
|
16.510% |
|
14.064% |
15.990% |
17.146% |
17.121% |
17.262% |
1.716% |
0.189% |
0.002% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
3.220% |
9.413% |
|
12.633% |
|
13.445% |
16.290% |
18.447% |
19.210% |
18.012% |
1.769% |
0.190% |
0.004% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.605% |
7.889% |
|
11.494% |
|
11.164% |
14.967% |
17.396% |
20.147% |
21.971% |
2.647% |
0.208% |
0.006% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.826% |
6.081% |
|
7.907% |
|
10.318% |
14.589% |
18.716% |
22.459% |
23.107% |
2.616% |
0.286% |
0.002% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.023% |
0.109% |
0.357% |
1.246% |
5.215% |
54.288% |
32.079% |
6.680% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.011% |
0.037% |
0.138% |
0.513% |
2.477% |
33.375% |
54.779% |
8.668% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.005% |
0.047% |
3.075% |
12.234% |
84.638% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.424% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.443% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
12.745% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.538% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.711% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.545% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.453% |
8. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.090% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.022% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.364% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.867% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
15.835% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.560% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.087% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.601% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.394% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.778% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.699% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.248% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.943% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Monolith 2 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
56.797% |
24.358% |
|
81.155% |
|
11.404% |
4.931% |
1.791% |
0.585% |
0.132% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.441% |
24.262% |
|
43.703% |
|
21.472% |
16.109% |
10.366% |
5.898% |
2.389% |
0.060% |
0.003% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
13.787% |
27.131% |
|
40.918% |
|
26.455% |
17.106% |
9.308% |
4.403% |
1.770% |
0.036% |
0.004% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
4.857% |
10.151% |
|
15.008% |
|
14.209% |
17.583% |
18.740% |
17.616% |
15.083% |
1.570% |
0.190% |
0.001% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.922% |
6.321% |
|
9.243% |
|
10.989% |
17.454% |
20.296% |
21.463% |
17.853% |
2.477% |
0.219% |
0.006% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.596% |
5.354% |
|
6.950% |
|
9.850% |
15.568% |
20.413% |
22.534% |
21.608% |
2.749% |
0.326% |
0.002% |
7. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.600% |
2.415% |
|
3.015% |
|
5.583% |
11.108% |
18.494% |
25.281% |
31.901% |
4.043% |
0.570% |
0.005% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.031% |
0.105% |
0.431% |
1.477% |
5.778% |
52.867% |
32.585% |
6.720% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.007% |
0.036% |
0.161% |
0.738% |
3.430% |
33.137% |
53.916% |
8.573% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.056% |
3.059% |
12.187% |
84.693% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
21.875% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.250% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.109% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.129% |
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.778% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.360% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.966% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.825% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.335% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.695% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
30.359% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.653% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.824% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.695% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.646% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.660% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.426% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.073% |
9. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.008% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.641% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Monolith 2 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
60.545% |
23.605% |
|
84.150% |
|
9.583% |
3.890% |
1.644% |
0.580% |
0.152% |
0.001% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
20.678% |
26.644% |
|
47.322% |
|
20.329% |
14.185% |
9.357% |
5.831% |
2.909% |
0.066% |
0.001% |
|
3. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
4.786% |
14.239% |
|
19.025% |
|
20.248% |
20.255% |
17.570% |
13.641% |
8.827% |
0.416% |
0.018% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.500% |
11.719% |
|
17.219% |
|
13.903% |
15.423% |
16.508% |
17.070% |
18.014% |
1.696% |
0.166% |
0.001% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.866% |
9.538% |
|
12.404% |
|
14.483% |
17.363% |
19.470% |
19.078% |
15.843% |
1.249% |
0.109% |
0.001% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.725% |
8.016% |
|
11.741% |
|
10.985% |
14.486% |
16.994% |
19.525% |
23.216% |
2.777% |
0.270% |
0.006% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.899% |
6.231% |
|
8.130% |
|
10.433% |
14.265% |
18.021% |
22.631% |
23.581% |
2.632% |
0.303% |
0.004% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
0.001% |
0.006% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.029% |
0.089% |
0.318% |
1.200% |
5.155% |
54.683% |
31.928% |
6.591% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.007% |
0.044% |
0.118% |
0.443% |
2.262% |
33.394% |
54.921% |
8.809% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.041% |
3.086% |
12.284% |
84.588% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
21.729% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.885% |
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
11.497% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.041% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
7.771% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.823% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.677% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.145% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.241% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.102% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
35.614% |
2. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.738% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
12.186% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.038% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.925% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.641% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.096% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.958% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.284% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
1.902% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Monolith 2 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
59.110% |
23.767% |
|
82.877% |
|
10.181% |
4.435% |
1.770% |
0.589% |
0.146% |
0.002% |
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.571% |
24.018% |
|
43.589% |
|
22.032% |
15.748% |
10.122% |
5.887% |
2.559% |
0.063% |
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
9.414% |
22.257% |
|
31.671% |
|
23.103% |
19.020% |
13.350% |
8.362% |
4.201% |
0.265% |
0.028% |
|
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
5.288% |
11.163% |
|
16.451% |
|
13.834% |
16.032% |
16.925% |
17.904% |
17.063% |
1.600% |
0.188% |
0.003% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.769% |
5.575% |
|
7.344% |
|
10.312% |
15.747% |
20.057% |
22.394% |
21.476% |
2.430% |
0.240% |
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.192% |
4.688% |
|
5.880% |
|
9.327% |
15.469% |
20.845% |
23.402% |
23.289% |
1.641% |
0.144% |
0.003% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
3.656% |
8.530% |
|
12.186% |
|
11.170% |
13.416% |
16.419% |
19.851% |
23.941% |
2.784% |
0.227% |
0.006% |
8. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.034% |
0.114% |
0.387% |
1.226% |
5.252% |
54.994% |
31.458% |
6.533% |
9. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.019% |
0.123% |
0.380% |
2.036% |
33.036% |
55.274% |
9.125% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.005% |
0.037% |
3.185% |
12.441% |
84.330% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
18.814% |
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
18.349% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
13.114% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
8.323% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.168% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.190% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.877% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.577% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.953% |
10. |
Monolith 2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.824% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.463% |
2. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
23.004% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.276% |
4. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
8.205% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.130% |
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.811% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.116% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.626% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.192% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.523% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.0 |
12.59 |
1.44 |
1.97 |
52 |
22 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.5 |
11.28 |
1.56 |
3.30 |
18 |
21 |
20 |
16 |
12 |
8 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.5 |
10.64 |
1.79 |
4.07 |
11 |
16 |
16 |
15 |
14 |
13 |
12 |
3 |
0 |
4 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.0 |
10.44 |
1.66 |
4.29 |
7 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
16 |
15 |
12 |
3 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
4.0 |
10.13 |
1.73 |
4.63 |
6 |
11 |
14 |
16 |
17 |
17 |
15 |
4 |
1 |
6 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.0 |
9.96 |
1.73 |
4.84 |
5 |
10 |
13 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
5 |
1 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.5 |
9.56 |
1.52 |
5.32 |
2 |
6 |
9 |
13 |
18 |
22 |
24 |
5 |
1 |
8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2.0 |
6.16 |
1.62 |
8.27 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
44 |
29 |
9 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
2.0 |
5.42 |
1.55 |
8.73 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
27 |
46 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
3.82 |
1.55 |
9.59 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
21 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.17h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-05 15:26 |
39 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-05 16:36 |
40 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-05 17:46 |
41 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-05 18:56 |
42 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-05 20:06 |
43 |
Monolith 2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-05 21:16 |
44 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-05 22:27 |
45 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-05 23:37 |
46 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 00:47 |
47 |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 01:57 |
48 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 03:07 |
49 |
Monolith 2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 04:17 |
50 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 05:28 |
51 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 06:38 |
52 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-06 07:48 |
53 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 08:58 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 10:08 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 11:18 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 12:28 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 13:39 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 14:49 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 15:59 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 17:09 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 18:19 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 19:29 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 20:40 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 21:50 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 23:00 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 00:10 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 01:20 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 02:30 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 03:41 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 04:51 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 06:01 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 07:11 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 08:21 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 09:31 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 10:42 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 11:52 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 13:02 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 14:12 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 15:22 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 16:32 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 17:42 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 18:53 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 20:03 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 21:13 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 22:23 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 23:33 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-08 00:43 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 01:54 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 03:04 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |