For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.219% |
21.525% |
|
83.744% |
|
9.461% |
4.084% |
1.750% |
0.738% |
0.223% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.455% |
25.702% |
|
44.157% |
|
22.859% |
15.644% |
9.781% |
5.425% |
2.133% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.068% |
30.615% |
|
42.683% |
|
27.527% |
15.312% |
8.275% |
4.295% |
1.907% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.536% |
7.774% |
|
10.310% |
|
14.095% |
22.500% |
22.467% |
18.445% |
12.152% |
0.031% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.704% |
5.304% |
|
7.008% |
|
10.579% |
18.374% |
22.392% |
22.341% |
19.218% |
0.087% |
0.001% |
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.264% |
6.482% |
|
8.746% |
|
10.402% |
15.179% |
19.895% |
24.474% |
21.256% |
0.048% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.754% |
2.598% |
|
3.352% |
|
5.077% |
8.906% |
15.435% |
24.266% |
42.775% |
0.186% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.005% |
0.012% |
0.232% |
55.806% |
43.432% |
0.512% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.104% |
43.766% |
55.496% |
0.630% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.074% |
1.068% |
98.858% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.211% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.066% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.478% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.726% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.866% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.809% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.314% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.649% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.491% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.701% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.544% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.020% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.805% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.720% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.830% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.514% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.116% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.596% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.538% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.359% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Combusken 1.1.1 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.196% |
21.420% |
|
83.616% |
|
9.314% |
4.244% |
1.808% |
0.803% |
0.215% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.982% |
26.983% |
|
45.965% |
|
23.745% |
14.908% |
8.267% |
4.594% |
2.520% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.841% |
30.032% |
|
41.873% |
|
27.140% |
15.533% |
8.698% |
4.583% |
2.172% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.543% |
8.183% |
|
10.726% |
|
14.609% |
23.782% |
20.174% |
16.725% |
13.956% |
0.028% |
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
2.432% |
6.793% |
|
9.225% |
|
12.139% |
18.363% |
25.792% |
22.196% |
12.272% |
0.013% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.614% |
4.891% |
|
6.505% |
|
9.338% |
16.374% |
23.387% |
28.420% |
15.911% |
0.065% |
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.392% |
1.698% |
|
2.090% |
|
3.715% |
6.796% |
11.874% |
22.664% |
52.712% |
0.146% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.013% |
0.129% |
55.402% |
43.953% |
0.503% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.113% |
44.257% |
54.951% |
0.677% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.087% |
1.093% |
98.820% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
26.496% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.558% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.416% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.113% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.721% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
4.496% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.465% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.293% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.623% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.435% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
33.974% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.217% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.088% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.062% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.855% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.123% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.845% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.619% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.566% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.385% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Combusken 1.1.1 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
62.498% |
21.657% |
|
84.155% |
|
9.293% |
3.921% |
1.712% |
0.700% |
0.219% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
18.383% |
25.708% |
|
44.091% |
|
23.063% |
15.356% |
9.935% |
5.411% |
2.141% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.297% |
30.941% |
|
43.238% |
|
27.919% |
14.765% |
7.979% |
4.126% |
1.972% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.617% |
7.782% |
|
10.399% |
|
14.035% |
22.868% |
22.840% |
17.831% |
11.992% |
0.035% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.775% |
5.572% |
|
7.347% |
|
10.906% |
18.993% |
21.447% |
20.169% |
21.065% |
0.073% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
1.949% |
6.542% |
|
8.491% |
|
10.956% |
16.540% |
21.975% |
25.806% |
16.209% |
0.023% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.481% |
1.798% |
|
2.279% |
|
3.828% |
7.557% |
14.110% |
25.937% |
46.128% |
0.158% |
0.003% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.018% |
0.198% |
55.794% |
43.509% |
0.479% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.076% |
43.846% |
55.459% |
0.617% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.067% |
1.029% |
98.904% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.535% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
19.173% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.546% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.745% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.011% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
4.993% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.441% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.879% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.541% |
10. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.208% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
32.719% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
32.546% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.982% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.824% |
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.841% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.816% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.559% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.551% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.409% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.229% |
Speculate Asymptote 0.8 – Combusken 1.1.1 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
60.483% |
21.594% |
|
82.077% |
|
10.035% |
4.881% |
2.119% |
0.738% |
0.150% |
|
|
|
2. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.650% |
27.745% |
|
39.395% |
|
26.826% |
18.139% |
9.677% |
4.558% |
1.404% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
16.588% |
22.461% |
|
39.049% |
|
21.501% |
18.257% |
13.266% |
6.735% |
1.191% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
7.170% |
15.815% |
|
22.985% |
|
19.057% |
20.254% |
19.366% |
16.284% |
2.054% |
|
|
|
5. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.308% |
6.890% |
|
9.198% |
|
11.827% |
19.340% |
26.681% |
25.550% |
7.372% |
0.032% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.754% |
5.251% |
|
7.005% |
|
9.970% |
17.167% |
23.327% |
27.365% |
15.092% |
0.074% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.047% |
0.244% |
|
0.291% |
|
0.784% |
1.962% |
5.559% |
18.741% |
71.977% |
0.665% |
0.021% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.024% |
0.529% |
56.229% |
42.778% |
0.435% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.005% |
0.231% |
42.920% |
56.205% |
0.639% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.078% |
0.996% |
98.926% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.171% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
15.486% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
12.159% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
11.992% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.954% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
4.427% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.692% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.574% |
9. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.381% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2.151% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.598% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
27.478% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.540% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
5.866% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.717% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.431% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.448% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.897% |
9. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.284% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.232% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.48 |
1.32 |
2.04 |
52 |
21 |
12 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.5 |
11.64 |
1.24 |
2.93 |
21 |
27 |
20 |
14 |
9 |
6 |
3 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.25 |
1.24 |
3.48 |
13 |
20 |
20 |
17 |
14 |
10 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.73 |
1.35 |
4.20 |
7 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
17 |
15 |
12 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.23 |
1.22 |
4.88 |
3 |
7 |
12 |
16 |
20 |
22 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.0 |
10.01 |
1.29 |
5.17 |
2 |
6 |
10 |
14 |
18 |
22 |
27 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
5.5 |
9.86 |
1.34 |
5.35 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
17 |
23 |
29 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.0 |
5.76 |
1.24 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
54 |
41 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.48 |
1.16 |
8.59 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
41 |
54 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.55 |
1.15 |
9.93 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 07:50 |
54 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 08:59 |
55 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 10:08 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:17 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:26 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:35 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:44 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:52 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 17:01 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:10 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:19 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:28 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:37 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:46 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:55 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 01:04 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:12 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:21 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:30 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:39 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:48 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:57 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 09:06 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:15 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:23 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:32 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:41 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:50 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:59 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 17:08 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:17 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:26 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:35 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:43 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:52 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-08 00:01 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 01:10 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |