For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.066% |
21.364% |
|
85.430% |
|
8.327% |
3.816% |
1.585% |
0.663% |
0.179% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
19.801% |
27.158% |
|
46.959% |
|
22.067% |
14.534% |
9.230% |
5.188% |
2.021% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.587% |
27.929% |
|
36.516% |
|
29.378% |
17.083% |
9.451% |
5.294% |
2.278% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.839% |
8.377% |
|
11.216% |
|
13.560% |
22.208% |
22.881% |
17.907% |
12.201% |
0.026% |
0.001% |
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
1.951% |
6.006% |
|
7.957% |
|
11.038% |
18.624% |
21.244% |
20.150% |
20.901% |
0.086% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.248% |
7.276% |
|
9.524% |
|
11.462% |
16.234% |
21.383% |
25.264% |
16.115% |
0.017% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.508% |
1.890% |
|
2.398% |
|
4.168% |
7.501% |
14.225% |
25.519% |
46.040% |
0.149% |
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.013% |
0.192% |
61.833% |
37.714% |
0.247% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
0.073% |
37.845% |
61.436% |
0.644% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.043% |
0.848% |
99.109% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
24.911% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
21.335% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.941% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.563% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.639% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.387% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.349% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.064% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.209% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.231% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.276% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
27.975% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.714% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.570% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.558% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.370% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.777% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.525% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.453% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.397% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Counter 3.5dev 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
36.734% |
26.042% |
|
62.776% |
|
17.009% |
10.653% |
5.717% |
2.869% |
0.976% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
26.152% |
21.099% |
|
47.251% |
|
18.466% |
14.938% |
10.764% |
6.184% |
2.393% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
15.906% |
21.456% |
|
37.362% |
|
23.180% |
18.493% |
11.422% |
6.524% |
3.018% |
0.001% |
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
14.075% |
18.507% |
|
32.582% |
|
20.411% |
22.108% |
14.860% |
7.351% |
2.687% |
0.001% |
|
|
5. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.921% |
5.134% |
|
8.055% |
|
8.558% |
14.056% |
23.367% |
22.175% |
23.693% |
0.096% |
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.516% |
6.180% |
|
9.696% |
|
9.266% |
13.463% |
20.735% |
28.880% |
17.938% |
0.022% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.696% |
1.582% |
|
2.278% |
|
3.110% |
6.289% |
13.134% |
26.008% |
49.020% |
0.156% |
0.005% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.008% |
0.199% |
61.570% |
37.981% |
0.241% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.076% |
38.107% |
61.212% |
0.604% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.043% |
0.802% |
99.155% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
14.862% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
14.353% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.035% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.938% |
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.059% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.819% |
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.895% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.311% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.271% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.143% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.800% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
17.555% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
14.854% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.370% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.038% |
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.931% |
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.805% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
3.014% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2.247% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
2.118% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Counter 3.5dev 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
64.814% |
22.249% |
|
87.063% |
|
8.224% |
3.070% |
1.097% |
0.421% |
0.125% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
20.507% |
26.240% |
|
46.747% |
|
22.153% |
14.416% |
9.303% |
5.298% |
2.076% |
0.007% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.383% |
28.232% |
|
36.615% |
|
29.322% |
17.065% |
9.358% |
5.285% |
2.355% |
|
|
|
4. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.416% |
8.027% |
|
9.443% |
|
13.936% |
23.575% |
24.034% |
18.257% |
10.736% |
0.019% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.286% |
7.435% |
|
9.721% |
|
11.533% |
16.145% |
21.197% |
25.344% |
16.032% |
0.028% |
|
|
6. |
Monolith 2 |
|
2.050% |
5.964% |
|
8.014% |
|
10.920% |
18.356% |
21.219% |
19.875% |
21.541% |
0.075% |
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.544% |
1.853% |
|
2.397% |
|
3.912% |
7.373% |
13.792% |
25.505% |
46.861% |
0.159% |
0.001% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.012% |
0.207% |
61.895% |
37.667% |
0.219% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.067% |
37.778% |
61.525% |
0.627% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.039% |
0.807% |
99.154% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
25.479% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
20.847% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
16.004% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.020% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
5.893% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.403% |
7. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
3.352% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
3.264% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2.155% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.172% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
36.851% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
28.743% |
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
7.567% |
4. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
6.922% |
5. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.507% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.499% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.546% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.481% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
1.426% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
0.898% |
Speculate FabChess 1.14.2 – Counter 3.5dev 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
83.950% |
12.407% |
|
96.357% |
|
2.729% |
0.675% |
0.179% |
0.050% |
0.010% |
|
|
|
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
10.645% |
35.273% |
|
45.918% |
|
25.037% |
14.631% |
8.464% |
4.373% |
1.571% |
0.006% |
|
|
3. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
3.358% |
32.284% |
|
35.642% |
|
32.921% |
16.912% |
8.706% |
4.350% |
1.469% |
|
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
0.856% |
6.671% |
|
7.527% |
|
12.789% |
22.252% |
20.954% |
19.433% |
16.957% |
0.088% |
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
0.935% |
8.247% |
|
9.182% |
|
13.675% |
18.581% |
23.394% |
22.049% |
13.106% |
0.013% |
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
0.043% |
2.953% |
|
2.996% |
|
7.646% |
16.891% |
22.431% |
24.191% |
25.757% |
0.087% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.213% |
2.165% |
|
2.378% |
|
5.203% |
10.058% |
15.868% |
25.532% |
40.784% |
0.175% |
0.002% |
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.018% |
0.267% |
61.606% |
37.834% |
0.271% |
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.004% |
0.079% |
37.971% |
61.288% |
0.658% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.054% |
0.875% |
99.071% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
33.712% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
31.386% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.251% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
7.791% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.202% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.910% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Asymptote 0.8 |
1.949% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Counter 3.5dev |
1.871% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
1.055% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.756% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
42.963% |
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
33.257% |
3. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
8.334% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.778% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2.928% |
6. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2.097% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
1.811% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
0.493% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
0.462% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
0.265% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.5 |
12.49 |
1.33 |
1.95 |
56 |
19 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.0 |
11.33 |
1.16 |
3.23 |
15 |
24 |
22 |
16 |
11 |
7 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.5 |
11.26 |
1.24 |
3.38 |
15 |
23 |
19 |
16 |
12 |
9 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
6.0 |
10.71 |
1.35 |
4.15 |
8 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
14 |
13 |
1 |
0 |
5 |
Monolith 2 |
6.5 |
10.23 |
1.22 |
4.83 |
3 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
6.5 |
10.11 |
1.18 |
5.02 |
2 |
7 |
11 |
15 |
20 |
22 |
22 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
6.0 |
9.76 |
1.22 |
5.50 |
1 |
4 |
7 |
12 |
17 |
25 |
32 |
2 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
3.5 |
6.09 |
1.15 |
8.33 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
61 |
34 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
3.0 |
5.48 |
1.16 |
8.67 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
34 |
61 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
0.5 |
2.54 |
1.15 |
9.94 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.15h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-06 10:00 |
56 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 11:09 |
57 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 12:18 |
58 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 13:26 |
59 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-06 14:35 |
60 |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-06 15:44 |
61 |
Monolith 2 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-06 16:52 |
62 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-06 18:01 |
63 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-06 19:10 |
64 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-06 20:19 |
65 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-06 21:27 |
66 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-06 22:36 |
67 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-06 23:45 |
68 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 00:54 |
69 |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 02:02 |
70 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 03:11 |
71 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 04:20 |
72 |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
2020-05-07 05:29 |
73 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 06:37 |
74 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 07:46 |
75 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 08:55 |
76 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 10:04 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 11:12 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 12:21 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 13:30 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 14:38 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 15:47 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 16:56 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 18:05 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 19:13 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 20:22 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 21:31 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 22:40 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 23:48 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-08 00:57 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |