For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then remainder again sorted by who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
36.757% |
21.688% |
|
58.445% |
|
14.395% |
9.103% |
6.623% |
5.388% |
6.046% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
19.540% |
20.317% |
|
39.857% |
|
18.942% |
16.571% |
14.058% |
7.101% |
3.471% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
15.238% |
20.918% |
|
36.156% |
|
22.372% |
18.912% |
12.876% |
7.476% |
2.208% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
11.094% |
13.162% |
|
24.256% |
|
16.250% |
21.533% |
17.788% |
12.801% |
7.372% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
12.131% |
13.859% |
|
25.990% |
|
13.958% |
13.208% |
16.774% |
18.154% |
11.916% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.378% |
4.489% |
|
6.867% |
|
7.514% |
8.384% |
13.447% |
29.793% |
33.995% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.862% |
5.567% |
|
8.429% |
|
6.569% |
12.289% |
18.434% |
19.287% |
34.992% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.398% |
4.602% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.602% |
95.398% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
12.734% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
10.815% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
8.142% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
6.671% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.734% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.386% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.233% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.756% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
4.130% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.732% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.967% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
17.486% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.973% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.118% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.911% |
6. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.727% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.317% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.939% |
9. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
3.844% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.077% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Asymptote 0.8 1-0
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.898% |
21.937% |
|
60.835% |
|
14.144% |
10.000% |
6.111% |
5.454% |
3.456% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
24.203% |
21.989% |
|
46.192% |
|
22.070% |
18.742% |
6.451% |
4.149% |
2.396% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
18.341% |
27.412% |
|
45.753% |
|
29.509% |
13.465% |
6.158% |
3.464% |
1.651% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.497% |
15.705% |
|
28.202% |
|
16.047% |
28.594% |
14.609% |
6.161% |
6.387% |
|
|
|
5. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.372% |
5.286% |
|
7.658% |
|
8.344% |
12.922% |
29.811% |
28.552% |
12.713% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.922% |
6.532% |
|
9.454% |
|
8.157% |
10.770% |
25.996% |
25.113% |
20.510% |
|
|
|
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
0.767% |
1.139% |
|
1.906% |
|
1.729% |
5.507% |
10.864% |
27.107% |
52.887% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.522% |
4.478% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.478% |
95.512% |
0.010% |
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.010% |
99.990% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
17.233% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
14.881% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.821% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
7.431% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.286% |
6. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.991% |
7. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.582% |
8. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.353% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
4.401% |
10. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.785% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
22.702% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
22.586% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
11.573% |
4. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
10.184% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
7.633% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.824% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
4.685% |
8. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.702% |
9. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
1.937% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
1.823% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Asymptote 0.8 1/2-1/2
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
38.452% |
21.857% |
|
60.309% |
|
14.183% |
9.493% |
6.336% |
4.738% |
4.941% |
|
|
|
2. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
21.543% |
20.876% |
|
42.419% |
|
20.539% |
16.125% |
10.579% |
6.765% |
3.573% |
|
|
|
3. |
Monolith 2 |
|
16.694% |
23.374% |
|
40.068% |
|
24.720% |
15.044% |
10.070% |
7.846% |
2.252% |
|
|
|
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
12.002% |
13.977% |
|
25.979% |
|
16.194% |
22.409% |
15.182% |
12.530% |
7.706% |
|
|
|
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
5.861% |
8.967% |
|
14.828% |
|
9.290% |
12.862% |
22.571% |
25.231% |
15.218% |
|
|
|
6. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
2.725% |
5.624% |
|
8.349% |
|
7.112% |
15.542% |
21.438% |
15.271% |
32.288% |
|
|
|
7. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
2.723% |
5.325% |
|
8.048% |
|
7.962% |
8.525% |
13.824% |
27.619% |
34.022% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.551% |
4.449% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.449% |
95.551% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
15.260% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
13.280% |
3. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
7.105% |
4. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.852% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.336% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.195% |
7. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
5.020% |
8. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
4.774% |
9. |
chess22k 1.14 |
Monolith 2 |
3.861% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
3.767% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
20.596% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
20.385% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
10.626% |
4. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.639% |
5. |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
6.479% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.474% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
5.306% |
8. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.710% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
3.544% |
10. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Monolith 2 |
3.455% |
Speculate Weiss 0.10-dev2 – Asymptote 0.8 0-1
eloAdvantage = 44.955 and eloDraw = 366.384 by Exa used
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
|
35.583% |
21.523% |
|
57.106% |
|
14.266% |
8.132% |
6.906% |
6.156% |
7.434% |
|
|
|
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
|
23.695% |
24.375% |
|
48.070% |
|
24.706% |
14.153% |
7.431% |
3.947% |
1.693% |
|
|
|
3. |
Counter 3.5dev |
|
14.896% |
18.864% |
|
33.760% |
|
16.037% |
17.305% |
21.139% |
8.302% |
3.457% |
|
|
|
4. |
Monolith 2 |
|
11.969% |
15.929% |
|
27.898% |
|
17.490% |
26.889% |
18.350% |
7.315% |
2.058% |
|
|
|
5. |
chess22k 1.14 |
|
8.863% |
11.237% |
|
20.100% |
|
15.204% |
18.911% |
23.675% |
14.596% |
7.514% |
|
|
|
6. |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
|
1.961% |
2.629% |
|
4.590% |
|
7.125% |
8.000% |
11.012% |
33.798% |
35.475% |
|
|
|
7. |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
|
3.033% |
5.443% |
|
8.476% |
|
5.172% |
6.610% |
11.487% |
25.886% |
42.369% |
|
|
|
8. |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
95.512% |
4.488% |
|
9. |
Bagatur 2.1 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
4.488% |
95.512% |
|
10. |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
Top promotions
Pos |
1. |
2. |
|
1. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
17.611% |
2. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
10.419% |
3. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
7.968% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
6.705% |
5. |
Monolith 2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.717% |
6. |
Counter 3.5dev |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
5.233% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
4.888% |
8. |
chess22k 1.14 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
4.536% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.550% |
10. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.520% |
Top promotions, relative order normalized to alphabetical
1. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
21.043% |
2. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
13.201% |
3. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Counter 3.5dev |
12.568% |
4. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Monolith 2 |
12.422% |
5. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
Monolith 2 |
6.804% |
6. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
chess22k 1.14 |
6.367% |
7. |
Asymptote 0.8 |
chess22k 1.14 |
5.013% |
8. |
Monolith 2 |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.780% |
9. |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |
3.576% |
10. |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
3.128% |
Output from BayesElo program (this does not take into account tiebreaks)
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
9.5 |
11.18 |
0.74 |
3.22 |
23 |
20 |
16 |
13 |
13 |
10 |
4 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Monolith 2 |
9.5 |
11.13 |
0.76 |
3.34 |
22 |
18 |
17 |
14 |
13 |
11 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Counter 3.5dev |
9.5 |
11.11 |
0.77 |
3.42 |
23 |
17 |
15 |
13 |
13 |
11 |
8 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
9.0 |
10.96 |
0.72 |
3.71 |
13 |
17 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
13 |
6 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
chess22k 1.14 |
9.0 |
10.92 |
0.69 |
3.89 |
11 |
15 |
17 |
18 |
16 |
13 |
9 |
0 |
0 |
6 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
9.0 |
10.52 |
0.77 |
4.92 |
6 |
8 |
11 |
13 |
15 |
21 |
26 |
0 |
0 |
7 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
9.0 |
10.30 |
0.75 |
5.49 |
3 |
5 |
7 |
11 |
14 |
20 |
40 |
0 |
0 |
8 |
Tucano 8.17_dev/8.07_dev2 |
5.5 |
6.72 |
0.73 |
8.12 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
88 |
12 |
9 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
4.0 |
5.35 |
0.75 |
8.88 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
12 |
88 |
10 |
Weiss 0.10-dev/0.10-dev2 |
1.0 |
1.80 |
0.67 |
10.00 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.12h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2020-05-07 07:52 |
77 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 08:59 |
78 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 10:07 |
79 |
Counter 3.5dev |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 11:14 |
80 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 12:21 |
81 |
chess22k 1.14 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
2020-05-07 13:28 |
82 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
Counter 3.5dev |
2020-05-07 14:35 |
83 |
Monolith 2 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
2020-05-07 15:42 |
84 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
2020-05-07 16:49 |
85 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
2020-05-07 17:56 |
86 |
Weiss 0.10-dev2 |
Bagatur 2.1 |
2020-05-07 19:03 |
87 |
Asymptote 0.8 |
ChessFighter 3.3 |
2020-05-07 20:10 |
88 |
Tucano 8.07_dev2 |
Monolith 2 |
2020-05-07 21:17 |
89 |
FabChess 1.14.2 |
Combusken 1.1.1 |
2020-05-07 22:24 |
90 |
Counter 3.5dev |
chess22k 1.14 |