For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
4.5 |
13.76 |
1.95 |
1.85 |
53 |
26 |
12 |
6 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
4.5 |
12.83 |
2.05 |
2.43 |
31 |
31 |
19 |
10 |
5 |
2 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Tucano 7.07 |
3.5 |
11.48 |
2.07 |
3.39 |
11 |
22 |
25 |
19 |
11 |
6 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
4 |
Winter 0.5 |
2.5 |
9.95 |
2.08 |
4.68 |
2 |
8 |
17 |
22 |
20 |
14 |
9 |
5 |
2 |
5 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2.0 |
9.52 |
2.33 |
5.04 |
2 |
8 |
14 |
17 |
18 |
15 |
12 |
8 |
4 |
6 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2.5 |
8.13 |
2.06 |
6.25 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
10 |
16 |
21 |
21 |
15 |
8 |
7 |
Minic 0.42 |
1.5 |
7.81 |
2.31 |
6.51 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
13 |
17 |
19 |
17 |
11 |
8 |
Cheese 2.0 |
0.5 |
6.51 |
2.36 |
7.55 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
8 |
12 |
16 |
21 |
19 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
1.0 |
5.37 |
2.08 |
8.43 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
7 |
11 |
19 |
30 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
0.5 |
4.64 |
2.16 |
8.87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
2 |
4 |
8 |
14 |
25 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
51.396% |
25.753% |
|
77.149% |
|
12.193% |
5.848% |
2.837% |
1.237% |
0.503% |
0.188% |
|
0.045% |
|
0.043% |
0.002% |
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
30.793% |
29.264% |
|
60.057% |
|
19.073% |
10.772% |
5.635% |
2.718% |
1.211% |
0.401% |
|
0.133% |
|
0.118% |
0.015% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
10.918% |
22.256% |
|
33.174% |
|
24.093% |
18.680% |
11.889% |
6.606% |
3.457% |
1.472% |
|
0.629% |
|
0.510% |
0.119% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
2.880% |
8.097% |
|
10.977% |
|
13.537% |
16.863% |
17.727% |
15.063% |
11.928% |
8.144% |
|
5.761% |
|
4.281% |
1.480% |
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.400% |
8.648% |
|
11.048% |
|
16.671% |
21.113% |
19.000% |
14.133% |
9.487% |
5.518% |
|
3.030% |
|
2.295% |
0.735% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.719% |
2.358% |
|
3.077% |
|
5.241% |
9.598% |
15.403% |
20.096% |
20.068% |
15.392% |
|
11.125% |
|
8.393% |
2.732% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.694% |
2.344% |
|
3.038% |
|
5.436% |
9.405% |
13.360% |
16.791% |
17.961% |
16.416% |
|
17.593% |
|
11.548% |
6.045% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.140% |
0.958% |
|
1.098% |
|
2.558% |
4.824% |
8.026% |
11.747% |
15.813% |
19.868% |
|
36.066% |
|
19.171% |
16.895% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.032% |
0.187% |
|
0.219% |
|
0.676% |
1.718% |
3.691% |
7.113% |
11.626% |
18.775% |
|
56.182% |
|
29.380% |
26.802% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.028% |
0.135% |
|
0.163% |
|
0.522% |
1.179% |
2.432% |
4.496% |
7.946% |
13.826% |
|
69.436% |
|
24.261% |
45.175% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Minic 0.42 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
52.437% |
25.800% |
|
78.237% |
|
11.899% |
5.628% |
2.627% |
1.060% |
0.386% |
0.129% |
|
0.034% |
|
0.028% |
0.006% |
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
30.949% |
29.873% |
|
60.822% |
|
18.985% |
10.670% |
5.425% |
2.586% |
1.073% |
0.332% |
|
0.107% |
|
0.095% |
0.012% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
9.511% |
20.786% |
|
30.297% |
|
23.690% |
19.760% |
13.210% |
7.317% |
3.556% |
1.534% |
|
0.636% |
|
0.536% |
0.100% |
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
3.985% |
11.678% |
|
15.663% |
|
19.110% |
20.907% |
18.797% |
12.547% |
7.530% |
3.690% |
|
1.756% |
|
1.399% |
0.357% |
5. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.200% |
8.027% |
|
10.227% |
|
16.024% |
21.397% |
20.586% |
14.449% |
9.225% |
5.155% |
|
2.937% |
|
2.217% |
0.720% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.580% |
1.956% |
|
2.536% |
|
4.525% |
8.705% |
14.898% |
21.178% |
20.984% |
15.327% |
|
11.847% |
|
8.780% |
3.067% |
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.177% |
0.950% |
|
1.127% |
|
2.720% |
5.328% |
8.985% |
13.164% |
16.702% |
19.280% |
|
32.694% |
|
17.600% |
15.094% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.120% |
0.645% |
|
0.765% |
|
1.969% |
4.946% |
9.465% |
15.856% |
20.274% |
21.445% |
|
25.280% |
|
16.055% |
9.225% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.021% |
0.149% |
|
0.170% |
|
0.582% |
1.453% |
3.338% |
6.773% |
11.576% |
18.394% |
|
57.714% |
|
29.178% |
28.536% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.020% |
0.136% |
|
0.156% |
|
0.496% |
1.206% |
2.669% |
5.070% |
8.694% |
14.714% |
|
66.995% |
|
24.112% |
42.883% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Minic 0.42 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
50.822% |
26.388% |
|
77.210% |
|
12.059% |
5.835% |
2.761% |
1.357% |
0.548% |
0.186% |
|
0.044% |
|
0.037% |
0.007% |
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
31.777% |
29.325% |
|
61.102% |
|
18.949% |
10.388% |
5.185% |
2.622% |
1.237% |
0.392% |
|
0.125% |
|
0.109% |
0.016% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
12.039% |
23.984% |
|
36.023% |
|
25.260% |
17.399% |
10.370% |
5.799% |
3.088% |
1.430% |
|
0.631% |
|
0.528% |
0.103% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.624% |
9.201% |
|
11.825% |
|
17.809% |
21.802% |
17.560% |
13.313% |
9.072% |
5.618% |
|
3.001% |
|
2.315% |
0.686% |
5. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
1.251% |
4.983% |
|
6.234% |
|
10.879% |
15.832% |
18.839% |
17.338% |
14.869% |
9.884% |
|
6.125% |
|
4.748% |
1.377% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.766% |
2.681% |
|
3.447% |
|
5.740% |
10.385% |
15.842% |
18.949% |
19.642% |
15.059% |
|
10.936% |
|
8.375% |
2.561% |
7. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.536% |
2.235% |
|
2.771% |
|
5.662% |
10.811% |
16.097% |
19.099% |
18.497% |
15.180% |
|
11.883% |
|
8.514% |
3.369% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.138% |
0.838% |
|
0.976% |
|
2.429% |
4.647% |
7.256% |
10.728% |
14.840% |
20.633% |
|
38.491% |
|
20.594% |
17.897% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.029% |
0.223% |
|
0.252% |
|
0.737% |
1.822% |
3.997% |
6.919% |
11.323% |
18.874% |
|
56.076% |
|
30.498% |
25.578% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.018% |
0.142% |
|
0.160% |
|
0.476% |
1.079% |
2.093% |
3.876% |
6.884% |
12.744% |
|
72.688% |
|
24.282% |
48.406% |
Speculate The Baron 3.44.1 – Minic 0.42 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
|
9-10. |
|
9. |
10. |
1. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
48.465% |
25.849% |
|
74.314% |
|
12.901% |
6.688% |
3.536% |
1.613% |
0.670% |
0.225% |
|
0.053% |
|
0.045% |
0.008% |
2. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
31.125% |
27.845% |
|
58.970% |
|
19.243% |
11.073% |
5.797% |
2.961% |
1.324% |
0.487% |
|
0.145% |
|
0.129% |
0.016% |
3. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
14.248% |
25.470% |
|
39.718% |
|
24.831% |
16.275% |
9.555% |
5.255% |
2.764% |
1.145% |
|
0.457% |
|
0.376% |
0.081% |
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.715% |
9.281% |
|
11.996% |
|
17.326% |
21.817% |
18.153% |
13.749% |
9.124% |
5.053% |
|
2.782% |
|
2.165% |
0.617% |
5. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
1.852% |
5.561% |
|
7.413% |
|
11.143% |
17.271% |
20.156% |
17.936% |
13.053% |
8.040% |
|
4.988% |
|
3.756% |
1.232% |
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.939% |
2.837% |
|
3.776% |
|
6.206% |
10.900% |
16.519% |
20.002% |
19.169% |
14.018% |
|
9.410% |
|
7.343% |
2.067% |
7. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.469% |
2.036% |
|
2.505% |
|
5.211% |
9.196% |
13.851% |
17.907% |
20.016% |
17.234% |
|
14.080% |
|
10.359% |
3.721% |
8. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.127% |
0.780% |
|
0.907% |
|
1.962% |
3.951% |
6.471% |
9.625% |
14.453% |
21.226% |
|
41.405% |
|
22.167% |
19.238% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
0.037% |
0.230% |
|
0.267% |
|
0.795% |
1.962% |
4.213% |
7.633% |
13.014% |
20.100% |
|
52.016% |
|
29.500% |
22.516% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
0.023% |
0.111% |
|
0.134% |
|
0.382% |
0.867% |
1.749% |
3.319% |
6.413% |
12.472% |
|
74.664% |
|
24.160% |
50.504% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-06 21:29 |
25 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-06 22:36 |
26 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-06 23:42 |
27 |
Minic 0.42 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-07 00:48 |
28 |
Winter 0.5 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-07 01:54 |
29 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-07 03:01 |
30 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-07 04:07 |
31 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-07 05:13 |
32 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 06:19 |
33 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 07:25 |
34 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 08:32 |
35 |
Igel 1.2 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 09:38 |
36 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-07 10:44 |
37 |
Winter 0.5 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-07 11:50 |
38 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-07 12:56 |
39 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-07 14:03 |
40 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-07 15:09 |
41 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-07 16:15 |
42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-07 17:21 |
43 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 18:28 |
44 |
Igel 1.2 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 19:34 |
45 |
Minic 0.42 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 20:40 |
46 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-07 21:46 |
47 |
Minic 0.42 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-07 22:52 |
48 |
Igel 1.2 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-07 23:59 |
49 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 01:05 |
50 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 02:11 |
51 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 03:17 |
52 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-08 04:24 |
53 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 05:30 |
54 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 06:36 |
55 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 07:42 |
56 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 08:48 |
57 |
Winter 0.5 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 09:55 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 11:01 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 12:07 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 13:13 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:19 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:26 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:32 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:38 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 18:44 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:51 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:57 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 22:03 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 23:09 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:15 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:22 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:28 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:34 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:40 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:47 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:53 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:59 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 09:05 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 10:11 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 11:18 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:24 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:30 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:36 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:43 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:49 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:55 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 19:01 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 20:07 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 21:14 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |