For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
9.0 |
14.21 |
1.09 |
1.22 |
83 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
8.5 |
12.60 |
1.02 |
2.22 |
14 |
59 |
21 |
5 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
Winter 0.5 |
7.0 |
11.52 |
1.18 |
3.31 |
3 |
19 |
40 |
25 |
9 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
6.5 |
10.87 |
1.20 |
3.99 |
0 |
8 |
26 |
36 |
18 |
8 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.46 |
1.06 |
5.44 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
15 |
34 |
32 |
13 |
2 |
0 |
6 |
Cheese 2.0 |
5.5 |
9.44 |
1.25 |
5.41 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
15 |
29 |
31 |
14 |
4 |
0 |
7 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
5.0 |
7.82 |
1.21 |
7.03 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
6 |
16 |
41 |
34 |
1 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
7.29 |
1.20 |
7.42 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
10 |
29 |
56 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.99 |
1.06 |
9.14 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
81 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.78 |
1.00 |
9.83 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
16 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
82.598% |
12.999% |
|
95.597% |
|
3.587% |
0.671% |
|
0.145% |
|
0.130% |
0.013% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.241% |
55.613% |
|
69.854% |
|
21.793% |
6.710% |
|
1.643% |
|
1.353% |
0.243% |
0.043% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
2.599% |
17.569% |
|
20.168% |
|
41.219% |
24.970% |
|
13.643% |
|
9.627% |
3.059% |
0.812% |
0.145% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.497% |
11.513% |
|
12.010% |
|
23.213% |
35.149% |
|
29.628% |
|
17.710% |
8.071% |
3.093% |
0.748% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.052% |
1.899% |
|
1.951% |
|
6.585% |
15.508% |
|
75.956% |
|
27.815% |
28.189% |
14.426% |
5.396% |
0.128% |
0.002% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.008% |
0.271% |
|
0.279% |
|
2.891% |
13.760% |
|
83.070% |
|
32.906% |
32.537% |
14.139% |
3.432% |
0.056% |
|
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.005% |
0.108% |
|
0.113% |
|
0.490% |
2.020% |
|
97.377% |
|
5.981% |
15.449% |
37.791% |
36.071% |
2.075% |
0.010% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.028% |
|
0.028% |
|
0.222% |
1.210% |
|
98.540% |
|
4.470% |
12.341% |
29.138% |
50.098% |
2.383% |
0.110% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.002% |
|
99.998% |
|
0.008% |
0.093% |
0.529% |
3.536% |
74.971% |
20.861% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.005% |
0.027% |
0.570% |
20.381% |
79.017% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Topple 0.4.0 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
81.570% |
13.341% |
|
94.911% |
|
4.196% |
0.740% |
|
0.153% |
|
0.130% |
0.021% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.865% |
55.303% |
|
70.168% |
|
21.644% |
6.598% |
|
1.590% |
|
1.332% |
0.223% |
0.031% |
0.004% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
3.006% |
18.711% |
|
21.717% |
|
43.606% |
24.285% |
|
10.392% |
|
8.008% |
1.979% |
0.359% |
0.046% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.508% |
10.722% |
|
11.230% |
|
22.141% |
37.223% |
|
29.406% |
|
17.728% |
8.081% |
2.925% |
0.672% |
|
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.048% |
1.636% |
|
1.684% |
|
5.714% |
15.294% |
|
77.308% |
|
29.306% |
28.090% |
14.532% |
5.307% |
0.071% |
0.002% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.002% |
0.178% |
|
0.180% |
|
2.107% |
12.754% |
|
84.959% |
|
32.774% |
33.377% |
14.914% |
3.859% |
0.034% |
0.001% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.081% |
|
0.082% |
|
0.410% |
1.994% |
|
97.514% |
|
6.269% |
15.818% |
38.111% |
36.016% |
1.292% |
0.008% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.028% |
|
0.028% |
|
0.182% |
1.112% |
|
98.678% |
|
4.448% |
12.381% |
28.855% |
51.237% |
1.700% |
0.057% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.004% |
0.026% |
0.251% |
2.254% |
73.753% |
23.712% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.004% |
0.020% |
0.605% |
23.150% |
76.220% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Topple 0.4.0 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
83.924% |
13.102% |
|
97.026% |
|
2.389% |
0.470% |
|
0.115% |
|
0.103% |
0.011% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.598% |
60.770% |
|
75.368% |
|
18.390% |
4.901% |
|
1.341% |
|
1.109% |
0.189% |
0.040% |
0.003% |
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.832% |
9.675% |
|
10.507% |
|
36.726% |
31.065% |
|
21.702% |
|
14.640% |
5.316% |
1.500% |
0.246% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.571% |
13.627% |
|
14.198% |
|
29.477% |
29.585% |
|
26.740% |
|
15.722% |
7.471% |
2.830% |
0.709% |
0.007% |
0.001% |
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.055% |
2.285% |
|
2.340% |
|
8.403% |
16.691% |
|
72.566% |
|
26.390% |
25.856% |
14.438% |
5.659% |
0.221% |
0.002% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.017% |
0.345% |
|
0.362% |
|
3.455% |
13.301% |
|
82.882% |
|
30.223% |
32.276% |
15.812% |
4.446% |
0.124% |
0.001% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.002% |
0.154% |
|
0.156% |
|
0.784% |
2.404% |
|
96.656% |
|
6.796% |
15.764% |
35.961% |
34.746% |
3.367% |
0.022% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
0.001% |
0.042% |
|
0.043% |
|
0.376% |
1.583% |
|
97.998% |
|
5.004% |
12.965% |
28.455% |
48.022% |
3.396% |
0.156% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.013% |
0.142% |
0.932% |
5.580% |
79.182% |
14.151% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.010% |
0.031% |
0.589% |
13.703% |
85.667% |
Speculate Winter 0.5 – Topple 0.4.0 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.647% |
12.992% |
|
97.639% |
|
1.868% |
0.388% |
|
0.105% |
|
0.092% |
0.012% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.322% |
63.387% |
|
77.709% |
|
17.579% |
3.678% |
|
1.034% |
|
0.820% |
0.184% |
0.029% |
0.001% |
|
|
3. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.579% |
15.384% |
|
15.963% |
|
34.415% |
25.062% |
|
24.560% |
|
13.984% |
6.990% |
2.810% |
0.752% |
0.024% |
|
4. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.364% |
5.020% |
|
5.384% |
|
29.953% |
32.046% |
|
32.617% |
|
19.272% |
9.347% |
3.278% |
0.714% |
0.006% |
|
5. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
0.073% |
2.527% |
|
2.600% |
|
9.688% |
18.537% |
|
69.175% |
|
24.575% |
24.178% |
14.044% |
5.834% |
0.540% |
0.004% |
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.013% |
0.437% |
|
0.450% |
|
4.936% |
15.158% |
|
79.456% |
|
28.789% |
30.268% |
15.464% |
4.606% |
0.327% |
0.002% |
7. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.002% |
0.196% |
|
0.198% |
|
1.014% |
3.077% |
|
95.711% |
|
7.069% |
15.537% |
34.471% |
32.367% |
6.243% |
0.024% |
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
0.057% |
|
0.057% |
|
0.546% |
2.045% |
|
97.352% |
|
5.308% |
13.011% |
27.338% |
44.057% |
7.333% |
0.305% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.009% |
|
99.990% |
|
0.090% |
0.466% |
2.531% |
11.148% |
79.530% |
6.225% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.001% |
0.007% |
0.034% |
0.521% |
5.997% |
93.440% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.11h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 10:10 |
58 |
Minic 0.42 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 11:17 |
59 |
Igel 1.2 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 12:23 |
60 |
Cheese 2.0 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 13:30 |
61 |
Cheese 2.0 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-08 14:36 |
62 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-08 15:43 |
63 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-08 16:49 |
64 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-08 17:56 |
65 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-08 19:02 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 20:09 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 21:15 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 22:22 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 23:28 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:35 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:41 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:48 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:54 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 05:01 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 06:07 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 07:14 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 08:20 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 09:27 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 10:33 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 11:40 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:46 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:53 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:59 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 16:06 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 17:12 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 18:19 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 19:25 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 20:32 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 21:38 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |