For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
3.0 |
16.41 |
2.34 |
2.72 |
24 |
29 |
21 |
13 |
7 |
4 |
2 |
2 |
Laser 181205 |
2.5 |
16.40 |
3.67 |
3.06 |
34 |
19 |
13 |
9 |
8 |
7 |
6 |
3 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
3.0 |
16.04 |
3.34 |
3.20 |
27 |
21 |
15 |
11 |
9 |
7 |
6 |
4 |
Fizbo 2 |
3.0 |
13.94 |
2.18 |
4.49 |
4 |
10 |
17 |
20 |
20 |
15 |
10 |
5 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
2.0 |
13.91 |
2.33 |
4.52 |
4 |
11 |
16 |
19 |
18 |
15 |
11 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
1.5 |
12.51 |
2.21 |
5.61 |
1 |
4 |
8 |
13 |
18 |
22 |
21 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
2.0 |
11.47 |
3.57 |
5.99 |
4 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
12 |
16 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
1.0 |
11.33 |
2.27 |
6.42 |
0 |
2 |
4 |
7 |
12 |
18 |
28 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
33.914% |
18.404% |
|
52.318% |
|
12.575% |
9.221% |
7.577% |
6.710% |
|
11.599% |
|
6.062% |
5.537% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
27.272% |
20.689% |
|
47.961% |
|
14.191% |
10.584% |
8.829% |
7.341% |
|
11.094% |
|
6.154% |
4.940% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
23.784% |
28.036% |
|
51.820% |
|
20.930% |
12.492% |
7.512% |
4.297% |
|
2.949% |
|
2.187% |
0.762% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
4.664% |
10.629% |
|
15.293% |
|
16.184% |
18.586% |
17.954% |
15.076% |
|
16.907% |
|
11.236% |
5.671% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
4.650% |
5.951% |
|
10.601% |
|
7.296% |
8.099% |
9.286% |
11.484% |
|
53.234% |
|
16.288% |
36.946% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.060% |
10.409% |
|
14.469% |
|
16.390% |
19.970% |
19.024% |
15.593% |
|
14.554% |
|
10.024% |
4.530% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.174% |
4.069% |
|
5.243% |
|
8.357% |
13.359% |
17.656% |
21.240% |
|
34.145% |
|
20.812% |
13.333% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.482% |
1.813% |
|
2.295% |
|
4.077% |
7.689% |
12.162% |
18.259% |
|
55.518% |
|
27.237% |
28.281% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Laser 181205 |
|
45.889% |
20.514% |
|
66.403% |
|
11.862% |
7.369% |
5.248% |
4.005% |
|
5.113% |
|
3.027% |
2.086% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
25.448% |
23.322% |
|
48.770% |
|
15.376% |
10.738% |
8.348% |
6.695% |
|
10.073% |
|
5.653% |
4.420% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
18.549% |
28.129% |
|
46.678% |
|
23.579% |
13.705% |
8.247% |
4.677% |
|
3.114% |
|
2.360% |
0.754% |
4. |
Chiron S14 |
|
3.762% |
5.860% |
|
9.622% |
|
7.176% |
8.323% |
9.298% |
11.397% |
|
54.184% |
|
16.288% |
37.896% |
5. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
3.105% |
9.862% |
|
12.967% |
|
16.624% |
20.456% |
19.322% |
15.689% |
|
14.942% |
|
10.335% |
4.607% |
6. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
1.986% |
6.937% |
|
8.923% |
|
13.057% |
17.827% |
19.584% |
18.058% |
|
22.551% |
|
14.422% |
8.129% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.918% |
3.764% |
|
4.682% |
|
8.378% |
13.775% |
17.766% |
21.217% |
|
34.182% |
|
20.706% |
13.476% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.343% |
1.612% |
|
1.955% |
|
3.948% |
7.807% |
12.187% |
18.262% |
|
55.841% |
|
27.209% |
28.632% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.167% |
19.282% |
|
47.449% |
|
13.926% |
10.390% |
8.932% |
7.529% |
|
11.774% |
|
6.450% |
5.324% |
2. |
Laser 181205 |
|
27.449% |
18.308% |
|
45.757% |
|
13.984% |
10.919% |
8.984% |
7.895% |
|
12.461% |
|
6.693% |
5.768% |
3. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
27.306% |
27.589% |
|
54.895% |
|
19.294% |
11.793% |
7.087% |
4.196% |
|
2.735% |
|
2.003% |
0.732% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
5.472% |
11.944% |
|
17.416% |
|
16.947% |
19.215% |
17.611% |
14.097% |
|
14.714% |
|
9.956% |
4.758% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.201% |
6.121% |
|
11.322% |
|
7.130% |
8.035% |
9.250% |
11.458% |
|
52.805% |
|
16.582% |
36.223% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
4.534% |
10.602% |
|
15.136% |
|
16.355% |
19.221% |
18.809% |
15.413% |
|
15.066% |
|
10.357% |
4.709% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.359% |
4.233% |
|
5.592% |
|
8.177% |
12.950% |
17.379% |
21.115% |
|
34.787% |
|
20.923% |
13.864% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.512% |
1.921% |
|
2.433% |
|
4.187% |
7.477% |
11.948% |
18.297% |
|
55.658% |
|
27.036% |
28.622% |
Speculate Laser 181205 – KomodoMCTS 2221.00 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
32.346% |
27.033% |
|
59.379% |
|
17.542% |
10.778% |
6.416% |
3.584% |
|
2.301% |
|
1.727% |
0.574% |
2. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
28.557% |
17.790% |
|
46.347% |
|
13.383% |
10.610% |
9.105% |
7.938% |
|
12.617% |
|
6.787% |
5.830% |
3. |
Laser 181205 |
|
16.247% |
13.389% |
|
29.636% |
|
12.417% |
11.413% |
11.257% |
11.125% |
|
24.152% |
|
11.607% |
12.545% |
4. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
9.847% |
17.309% |
|
27.156% |
|
20.382% |
18.684% |
14.890% |
10.212% |
|
8.676% |
|
6.176% |
2.500% |
5. |
Chiron S14 |
|
5.827% |
6.765% |
|
12.592% |
|
7.338% |
8.364% |
9.528% |
11.988% |
|
50.190% |
|
16.282% |
33.908% |
6. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.121% |
11.331% |
|
16.452% |
|
16.298% |
19.472% |
18.729% |
15.093% |
|
13.956% |
|
9.829% |
4.127% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
1.485% |
4.466% |
|
5.951% |
|
8.445% |
13.289% |
17.793% |
21.613% |
|
32.909% |
|
20.138% |
12.771% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.570% |
1.917% |
|
2.487% |
|
4.195% |
7.390% |
12.282% |
18.447% |
|
55.199% |
|
27.454% |
27.745% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.98h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-16 04:47 |
20 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 06:46 |
21 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-16 08:45 |
22 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-16 10:44 |
23 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-16 12:43 |
24 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-16 14:43 |
25 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-16 16:42 |
26 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-16 18:41 |
27 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-16 20:40 |
28 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-16 22:39 |
29 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 00:38 |
30 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 02:37 |
31 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 04:36 |
32 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 06:35 |
33 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-17 08:34 |
34 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-17 10:33 |
35 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-17 12:33 |
36 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-17 14:32 |
37 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-17 16:31 |
38 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-17 18:30 |
39 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-17 20:29 |
40 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-17 22:28 |
41 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 00:27 |
42 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-18 02:26 |
43 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 04:25 |
44 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 06:24 |
45 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 08:23 |
46 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-18 10:23 |
47 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-18 12:22 |
48 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-18 14:21 |
49 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-18 16:20 |
50 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-18 18:19 |
51 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-18 20:18 |
52 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-18 22:17 |
53 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 00:16 |
54 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 02:15 |
55 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 04:14 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 06:14 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 08:13 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 10:12 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-19 12:11 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 14:10 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-19 16:09 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-19 18:08 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-19 20:07 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-19 22:06 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 00:05 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 02:04 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 04:04 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 06:03 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 08:02 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 10:01 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 12:00 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 13:59 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 15:58 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 17:57 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 19:56 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 21:55 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 23:54 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 01:54 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 03:53 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 05:52 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 07:51 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 09:50 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 11:49 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 13:48 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 15:47 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 17:46 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 19:45 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 21:44 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 23:44 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 01:43 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 03:42 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 05:41 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 07:40 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 09:39 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 11:38 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-22 13:37 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 15:36 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 17:35 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 19:35 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 21:34 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 23:33 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 01:32 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 03:31 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 05:30 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 07:29 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 09:28 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 11:27 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 13:26 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 15:25 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 17:25 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-23 19:24 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |