For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
8 |
9 |
1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
11.0 |
14.53 |
0.93 |
1.16 |
85 |
15 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
9.5 |
13.16 |
0.87 |
1.92 |
15 |
78 |
6 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
8.0 |
11.08 |
0.99 |
3.69 |
0 |
4 |
47 |
32 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
4 |
Winter 0.5 |
8.0 |
10.97 |
0.97 |
3.76 |
0 |
3 |
41 |
38 |
12 |
4 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
5 |
Tucano 7.07 |
6.0 |
9.35 |
1.07 |
5.66 |
0 |
0 |
3 |
13 |
30 |
25 |
28 |
1 |
0 |
6 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
7.0 |
9.17 |
0.95 |
5.88 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
8 |
24 |
33 |
32 |
1 |
0 |
7 |
Cheese 2.0 |
6.0 |
9.06 |
0.98 |
5.99 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
8 |
22 |
33 |
33 |
3 |
0 |
8 |
Minic 0.42 |
4.5 |
6.44 |
0.96 |
7.95 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
5 |
92 |
2 |
9 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2.5 |
3.72 |
0.94 |
9.11 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
85 |
10 |
Igel 1.2 |
1.5 |
2.52 |
0.85 |
9.87 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
13 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.902% |
14.206% |
|
99.108% |
|
0.821% |
0.064% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.960% |
75.099% |
|
90.059% |
|
8.699% |
1.072% |
|
0.170% |
|
0.153% |
0.015% |
0.002% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.087% |
3.382% |
|
3.469% |
|
44.915% |
32.812% |
|
18.804% |
|
12.486% |
4.999% |
1.263% |
0.056% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.050% |
6.904% |
|
6.954% |
|
38.341% |
33.652% |
|
21.053% |
|
14.079% |
5.485% |
1.442% |
0.047% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.310% |
|
0.311% |
|
2.643% |
9.361% |
|
87.685% |
|
20.785% |
30.923% |
34.903% |
1.070% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.092% |
|
0.092% |
|
3.205% |
12.953% |
|
83.750% |
|
29.146% |
25.594% |
26.311% |
2.677% |
0.022% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
1.375% |
10.059% |
|
88.559% |
|
23.066% |
31.387% |
28.223% |
5.837% |
0.046% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.027% |
|
99.972% |
|
0.278% |
1.592% |
7.764% |
87.306% |
2.979% |
0.053% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.005% |
0.091% |
2.555% |
79.006% |
18.343% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.001% |
0.452% |
17.943% |
81.604% |
Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Tucano 7.07 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
85.435% |
13.696% |
|
99.131% |
|
0.814% |
0.055% |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.396% |
74.605% |
|
89.001% |
|
9.626% |
1.193% |
|
0.180% |
|
0.173% |
0.007% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.103% |
3.670% |
|
3.773% |
|
45.626% |
34.966% |
|
15.635% |
|
11.073% |
4.026% |
0.503% |
0.033% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.065% |
7.661% |
|
7.726% |
|
39.010% |
36.518% |
|
16.746% |
|
12.112% |
3.805% |
0.781% |
0.048% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.363% |
|
0.364% |
|
3.028% |
11.702% |
|
84.906% |
|
27.627% |
31.457% |
24.571% |
1.236% |
0.015% |
|
6. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
1.510% |
11.039% |
|
87.448% |
|
28.719% |
32.417% |
20.548% |
5.539% |
0.225% |
|
7. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.002% |
|
0.002% |
|
0.383% |
4.472% |
|
95.143% |
|
19.769% |
25.597% |
41.298% |
8.324% |
0.155% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.003% |
0.055% |
|
99.942% |
|
0.521% |
2.637% |
11.839% |
75.879% |
8.842% |
0.224% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
0.006% |
0.054% |
0.453% |
8.499% |
85.911% |
5.077% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.007% |
0.442% |
4.852% |
94.699% |
Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Tucano 7.07 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
85.186% |
13.959% |
|
99.145% |
|
0.797% |
0.055% |
|
0.003% |
|
0.003% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
14.699% |
74.496% |
|
89.195% |
|
9.513% |
1.114% |
|
0.178% |
|
0.170% |
0.007% |
0.001% |
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.080% |
3.524% |
|
3.604% |
|
45.163% |
34.175% |
|
17.058% |
|
11.653% |
4.451% |
0.898% |
0.056% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.034% |
7.664% |
|
7.698% |
|
38.857% |
35.393% |
|
18.052% |
|
12.415% |
4.485% |
1.089% |
0.063% |
|
|
5. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
0.001% |
0.327% |
|
0.328% |
|
2.928% |
10.370% |
|
86.374% |
|
23.380% |
30.809% |
31.090% |
1.091% |
0.004% |
|
6. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
|
0.022% |
|
0.022% |
|
1.288% |
8.233% |
|
90.457% |
|
26.428% |
27.596% |
32.950% |
3.483% |
|
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
1.454% |
10.620% |
|
87.918% |
|
25.610% |
30.776% |
25.424% |
6.062% |
0.046% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.040% |
|
99.960% |
|
0.341% |
1.871% |
8.492% |
86.185% |
2.985% |
0.086% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
0.005% |
0.056% |
2.540% |
84.087% |
13.312% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.520% |
12.878% |
86.602% |
Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Tucano 7.07 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
|
5-10. |
|
5. |
6. |
7. |
8. |
9. |
10. |
1. |
Nemorino 5.08 |
|
84.686% |
14.443% |
|
99.129% |
|
0.768% |
0.097% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
|
|
|
|
2. |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
|
15.192% |
74.983% |
|
90.175% |
|
8.651% |
1.000% |
|
0.174% |
|
0.159% |
0.015% |
|
|
|
|
3. |
Winter 0.5 |
|
0.078% |
3.195% |
|
3.273% |
|
44.451% |
32.300% |
|
19.976% |
|
12.991% |
5.430% |
1.482% |
0.073% |
|
|
4. |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
|
0.043% |
6.995% |
|
7.038% |
|
37.639% |
32.646% |
|
22.677% |
|
14.976% |
5.982% |
1.666% |
0.053% |
|
|
5. |
Tucano 7.07 |
|
0.001% |
0.128% |
|
0.129% |
|
4.426% |
16.141% |
|
79.304% |
|
32.506% |
24.974% |
20.775% |
1.049% |
|
|
6. |
Rodent III 0.276 |
|
|
0.250% |
|
0.250% |
|
2.596% |
8.548% |
|
88.606% |
|
18.577% |
31.066% |
37.917% |
1.045% |
0.001% |
|
7. |
Cheese 2.0 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
1.469% |
9.243% |
|
89.282% |
|
20.577% |
31.260% |
31.404% |
6.026% |
0.015% |
|
8. |
Minic 0.42 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
0.025% |
|
99.975% |
|
0.208% |
1.273% |
6.748% |
90.277% |
1.431% |
0.038% |
9. |
Topple 0.4.0 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
0.008% |
0.981% |
75.517% |
23.494% |
10. |
Igel 1.2 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100.000% |
|
|
|
|
0.496% |
23.036% |
76.468% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 1.10h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2019-03-08 18:31 |
66 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-08 19:37 |
67 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-08 20:43 |
68 |
Winter 0.5 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-08 21:49 |
69 |
Minic 0.42 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-08 22:55 |
70 |
Igel 1.2 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 00:01 |
71 |
Igel 1.2 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 01:07 |
72 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Minic 0.42 |
2019-03-09 02:13 |
73 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 03:19 |
74 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 04:25 |
75 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 05:31 |
76 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 06:37 |
77 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 07:44 |
78 |
Tucano 7.07 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 08:50 |
79 |
Winter 0.5 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 09:56 |
80 |
Minic 0.42 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 11:02 |
81 |
Minic 0.42 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
2019-03-09 12:08 |
82 |
Igel 1.2 |
Winter 0.5 |
2019-03-09 13:14 |
83 |
Cheese 2.0 |
Tucano 7.07 |
2019-03-09 14:20 |
84 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
2019-03-09 15:26 |
85 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
2019-03-09 16:32 |
86 |
RubiChess 1.3.1 |
Nemorino 5.08 |
2019-03-09 17:38 |
87 |
Rodent III 0.276 |
The Baron 3.44.1 |
2019-03-09 18:44 |
88 |
Topple 0.4.0 |
Cheese 2.0 |
2019-03-09 19:50 |
89 |
Tucano 7.07 |
Igel 1.2 |
2019-03-09 20:56 |
90 |
Winter 0.5 |
Minic 0.42 |