For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
8.5 |
17.85 |
1.71 |
1.62 |
63 |
21 |
9 |
4 |
2 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
8.0 |
16.14 |
1.72 |
2.79 |
18 |
31 |
23 |
15 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
15.29 |
1.63 |
3.50 |
7 |
20 |
26 |
23 |
15 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.5 |
14.79 |
1.92 |
3.94 |
7 |
15 |
19 |
21 |
19 |
12 |
6 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.16 |
1.95 |
4.47 |
4 |
10 |
15 |
20 |
23 |
17 |
10 |
6 |
Jonny 8.1 |
5.5 |
12.33 |
1.68 |
6.00 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
17 |
31 |
34 |
7 |
Chiron S14 |
6.0 |
12.33 |
1.97 |
5.93 |
1 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
26 |
33 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
9.12 |
1.69 |
7.75 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
4 |
14 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
61.276% |
21.683% |
|
82.959% |
|
9.866% |
4.607% |
1.876% |
0.565% |
|
0.127% |
|
0.117% |
0.010% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
18.420% |
29.848% |
|
48.268% |
|
22.634% |
15.426% |
8.434% |
3.884% |
|
1.354% |
|
1.266% |
0.088% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
8.076% |
19.473% |
|
27.549% |
|
24.735% |
22.215% |
15.322% |
7.366% |
|
2.813% |
|
2.575% |
0.238% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.497% |
15.592% |
|
23.089% |
|
19.220% |
20.505% |
17.795% |
11.956% |
|
7.435% |
|
6.386% |
1.049% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.700% |
9.057% |
|
12.757% |
|
13.643% |
18.252% |
21.889% |
18.298% |
|
15.161% |
|
12.542% |
2.619% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.716% |
2.806% |
|
3.522% |
|
5.718% |
9.973% |
16.593% |
24.865% |
|
39.329% |
|
29.152% |
10.177% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.314% |
1.529% |
|
1.843% |
|
4.103% |
8.672% |
16.767% |
28.577% |
|
40.038% |
|
32.426% |
7.612% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.001% |
0.012% |
|
0.013% |
|
0.081% |
0.350% |
1.324% |
4.489% |
|
93.743% |
|
15.536% |
78.207% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fritz 16.10 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
67.123% |
19.925% |
|
87.048% |
|
8.103% |
3.298% |
1.185% |
0.311% |
|
0.055% |
|
0.053% |
0.002% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.078% |
31.671% |
|
47.749% |
|
23.178% |
15.393% |
8.548% |
3.837% |
|
1.295% |
|
1.244% |
0.051% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.811% |
19.293% |
|
26.104% |
|
25.215% |
23.006% |
15.513% |
7.430% |
|
2.732% |
|
2.565% |
0.167% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.220% |
15.946% |
|
22.166% |
|
20.034% |
20.849% |
17.869% |
12.047% |
|
7.035% |
|
6.246% |
0.789% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.995% |
9.072% |
|
12.067% |
|
13.833% |
18.562% |
22.418% |
18.399% |
|
14.721% |
|
12.656% |
2.065% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.544% |
2.574% |
|
3.118% |
|
5.578% |
10.107% |
16.683% |
25.447% |
|
39.067% |
|
30.462% |
8.605% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.229% |
1.512% |
|
1.741% |
|
4.025% |
8.615% |
16.949% |
29.212% |
|
39.458% |
|
33.346% |
6.112% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.007% |
|
0.007% |
|
0.034% |
0.170% |
0.835% |
3.317% |
|
95.637% |
|
13.428% |
82.209% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fritz 16.10 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
56.673% |
23.422% |
|
80.095% |
|
11.291% |
5.395% |
2.371% |
0.700% |
|
0.148% |
|
0.142% |
0.006% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
20.330% |
28.577% |
|
48.907% |
|
21.984% |
15.188% |
8.562% |
3.992% |
|
1.367% |
|
1.277% |
0.090% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
9.367% |
19.281% |
|
28.648% |
|
24.583% |
22.137% |
14.677% |
7.200% |
|
2.755% |
|
2.482% |
0.273% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
8.432% |
15.455% |
|
23.887% |
|
18.984% |
20.186% |
17.563% |
11.773% |
|
7.607% |
|
6.385% |
1.222% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.979% |
8.890% |
|
12.869% |
|
13.374% |
18.083% |
21.905% |
18.258% |
|
15.511% |
|
12.452% |
3.059% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.849% |
2.720% |
|
3.569% |
|
5.542% |
9.818% |
16.361% |
24.596% |
|
40.114% |
|
28.602% |
11.512% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.368% |
1.640% |
|
2.008% |
|
4.152% |
8.803% |
17.030% |
28.174% |
|
39.833% |
|
31.348% |
8.485% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.002% |
0.015% |
|
0.017% |
|
0.090% |
0.390% |
1.531% |
5.307% |
|
92.665% |
|
17.312% |
75.353% |
Speculate LCZero v19.1-11248 – Fritz 16.10 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
47.197% |
24.849% |
|
72.046% |
|
14.382% |
8.078% |
3.727% |
1.379% |
|
0.388% |
|
0.346% |
0.042% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
23.806% |
26.338% |
|
50.144% |
|
20.859% |
14.715% |
8.599% |
4.076% |
|
1.607% |
|
1.432% |
0.175% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
11.781% |
19.847% |
|
31.628% |
|
23.397% |
20.907% |
14.057% |
7.208% |
|
2.803% |
|
2.441% |
0.362% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
10.331% |
15.108% |
|
25.439% |
|
18.170% |
19.618% |
17.144% |
11.568% |
|
8.061% |
|
6.364% |
1.697% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
5.198% |
9.022% |
|
14.220% |
|
13.033% |
17.315% |
21.265% |
17.595% |
|
16.572% |
|
12.238% |
4.334% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
1.131% |
2.858% |
|
3.989% |
|
5.531% |
9.758% |
16.092% |
23.523% |
|
41.107% |
|
26.500% |
14.607% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.546% |
1.929% |
|
2.475% |
|
4.407% |
8.827% |
16.398% |
26.913% |
|
40.980% |
|
29.675% |
11.305% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
0.010% |
0.049% |
|
0.059% |
|
0.221% |
0.782% |
2.718% |
7.738% |
|
88.482% |
|
21.004% |
67.478% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.20h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 16:10 |
56 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 18:23 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 20:35 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 22:47 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 00:59 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 03:11 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:23 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:35 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:47 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 11:59 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:12 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:24 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:36 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 20:48 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 23:00 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 01:12 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 03:24 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:36 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 07:48 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 10:01 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 12:13 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:25 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 16:37 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 18:49 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 21:01 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 23:13 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 01:25 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:37 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 05:50 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:02 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 10:14 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:26 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:38 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 16:50 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 19:02 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 21:14 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:27 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:39 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 03:51 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:03 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:15 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:27 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:39 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 14:51 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 17:03 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 19:16 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 21:28 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 23:40 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 01:52 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 04:04 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 06:16 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 08:28 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 10:40 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 12:52 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 15:05 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 17:17 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 19:29 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |