For ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post
Output from BayesElo program
Rank |
Player name |
Points |
EPoints |
StdDev |
ERank |
1 |
2 |
3 |
4 |
5 |
6 |
7 |
1 |
LCZero v19-TP-11248/v19.1-RC2-11248/v19.1-11248 |
9.5 |
18.20 |
1.65 |
1.48 |
69 |
19 |
7 |
3 |
1 |
0 |
0 |
2 |
KomodoMCTS 2180.00/2210.00/2217.00/2221.00 |
8.0 |
16.17 |
1.72 |
2.81 |
15 |
33 |
24 |
15 |
8 |
3 |
1 |
3 |
Fizbo 2 |
8.5 |
15.28 |
1.62 |
3.54 |
6 |
19 |
26 |
24 |
16 |
7 |
2 |
4 |
Laser 181205 |
7.5 |
14.80 |
1.92 |
3.96 |
6 |
15 |
20 |
22 |
19 |
12 |
6 |
5 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
7.0 |
14.17 |
1.96 |
4.48 |
3 |
10 |
15 |
20 |
23 |
17 |
10 |
6 |
Chiron S14 |
6.0 |
12.31 |
1.96 |
5.92 |
0 |
2 |
5 |
9 |
16 |
26 |
34 |
7 |
Jonny 8.1 |
5.5 |
12.30 |
1.68 |
5.99 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
8 |
16 |
31 |
35 |
8 |
Fritz 16.10 |
3.0 |
8.77 |
1.64 |
7.81 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
0 |
1 |
3 |
12 |
Situation before game, simulation about most common position
100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2., then most >=3., etc.. Columns 1.-8. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
67.047% |
20.169% |
|
87.216% |
|
8.031% |
3.299% |
1.111% |
0.283% |
|
0.060% |
|
0.058% |
0.002% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
16.084% |
31.849% |
|
47.933% |
|
23.193% |
15.147% |
8.601% |
3.881% |
|
1.245% |
|
1.193% |
0.052% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
6.640% |
19.391% |
|
26.031% |
|
25.604% |
23.054% |
15.194% |
7.413% |
|
2.704% |
|
2.551% |
0.153% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.390% |
15.686% |
|
22.076% |
|
19.842% |
21.004% |
17.816% |
12.089% |
|
7.173% |
|
6.335% |
0.838% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.016% |
8.869% |
|
11.885% |
|
13.782% |
18.606% |
22.634% |
18.475% |
|
14.618% |
|
12.618% |
2.000% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.606% |
2.590% |
|
3.196% |
|
5.591% |
10.094% |
16.804% |
25.441% |
|
38.874% |
|
30.537% |
8.337% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.217% |
1.438% |
|
1.655% |
|
3.920% |
8.614% |
17.032% |
29.148% |
|
39.631% |
|
33.565% |
6.066% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.008% |
|
0.008% |
|
0.037% |
0.182% |
0.808% |
3.270% |
|
95.695% |
|
13.143% |
82.552% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Jonny 8.1 1-0
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
64.451% |
22.030% |
|
86.481% |
|
8.634% |
3.416% |
1.164% |
0.268% |
|
0.037% |
|
0.031% |
0.006% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
20.407% |
35.747% |
|
56.154% |
|
22.449% |
13.075% |
5.934% |
1.967% |
|
0.421% |
|
0.403% |
0.018% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
5.988% |
16.845% |
|
22.833% |
|
26.107% |
24.989% |
16.388% |
7.325% |
|
2.358% |
|
2.174% |
0.184% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
5.812% |
14.306% |
|
20.118% |
|
20.588% |
22.255% |
19.071% |
11.778% |
|
6.190% |
|
5.452% |
0.738% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
2.783% |
8.127% |
|
10.910% |
|
14.285% |
19.519% |
23.863% |
18.395% |
|
13.028% |
|
11.078% |
1.950% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.490% |
2.362% |
|
2.852% |
|
5.615% |
10.479% |
17.916% |
27.512% |
|
35.626% |
|
27.579% |
8.047% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.069% |
0.577% |
|
0.646% |
|
2.289% |
6.073% |
14.740% |
28.908% |
|
47.344% |
|
38.993% |
8.351% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.033% |
0.194% |
0.924% |
3.847% |
|
94.996% |
|
14.290% |
80.706% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Jonny 8.1 1/2-1/2
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
68.422% |
18.916% |
|
87.338% |
|
7.926% |
3.231% |
1.137% |
0.308% |
|
0.060% |
|
0.057% |
0.003% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
13.980% |
30.652% |
|
44.632% |
|
24.136% |
16.517% |
9.326% |
4.142% |
|
1.247% |
|
1.201% |
0.046% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.041% |
20.413% |
|
27.454% |
|
24.928% |
22.391% |
15.004% |
7.481% |
|
2.742% |
|
2.588% |
0.154% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
6.516% |
16.496% |
|
23.012% |
|
19.564% |
20.269% |
17.402% |
12.168% |
|
7.585% |
|
6.716% |
0.869% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.151% |
9.308% |
|
12.459% |
|
13.689% |
18.215% |
21.993% |
18.646% |
|
14.998% |
|
12.914% |
2.084% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.652% |
2.713% |
|
3.365% |
|
5.658% |
10.012% |
16.455% |
24.480% |
|
40.030% |
|
31.529% |
8.501% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.238% |
1.498% |
|
1.736% |
|
4.069% |
9.187% |
17.889% |
29.552% |
|
37.567% |
|
32.301% |
5.266% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.004% |
|
0.004% |
|
0.030% |
0.178% |
0.794% |
3.223% |
|
95.771% |
|
12.694% |
83.077% |
Speculate KomodoMCTS 2221.00 – Jonny 8.1 0-1
Pos |
Name |
|
1. |
2. |
|
1-2. |
|
3. |
4. |
5. |
6. |
|
7-8. |
|
7. |
8. |
1. |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
|
70.785% |
17.546% |
|
88.331% |
|
7.039% |
2.967% |
1.231% |
0.351% |
|
0.081% |
|
0.079% |
0.002% |
2. |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
|
9.671% |
24.995% |
|
34.666% |
|
23.346% |
18.727% |
12.835% |
7.349% |
|
3.077% |
|
2.924% |
0.153% |
3. |
Fizbo 2 |
|
7.921% |
22.554% |
|
30.475% |
|
23.869% |
20.020% |
14.346% |
8.084% |
|
3.206% |
|
3.038% |
0.168% |
4. |
Laser 181205 |
|
7.026% |
17.867% |
|
24.893% |
|
18.785% |
18.836% |
16.254% |
12.671% |
|
8.561% |
|
7.616% |
0.945% |
5. |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
|
3.336% |
10.423% |
|
13.759% |
|
13.646% |
16.873% |
19.786% |
18.985% |
|
16.951% |
|
14.571% |
2.380% |
6. |
Chiron S14 |
|
0.688% |
3.250% |
|
3.938% |
|
5.787% |
9.553% |
14.713% |
22.119% |
|
43.890% |
|
34.854% |
9.036% |
7. |
Jonny 8.1 |
|
0.573% |
3.359% |
|
3.932% |
|
7.496% |
12.829% |
20.165% |
27.586% |
|
27.992% |
|
24.818% |
3.174% |
8. |
Fritz 16.10 |
|
|
0.006% |
|
0.006% |
|
0.032% |
0.195% |
0.670% |
2.855% |
|
96.242% |
|
12.100% |
84.142% |
Expected start time based on estimate of 2.20h/game
Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.
UTC |
No |
White |
Black |
2018-12-19 18:26 |
57 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-19 20:38 |
58 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-19 22:50 |
59 |
Chiron S14 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 01:02 |
60 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 03:14 |
61 |
Fizbo 2 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-20 05:27 |
62 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-20 07:39 |
63 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-20 09:51 |
64 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-20 12:03 |
65 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-20 14:15 |
66 |
Chiron S14 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-20 16:28 |
67 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-20 18:40 |
68 |
Laser 181205 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 20:52 |
69 |
Fizbo 2 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-20 23:04 |
70 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 01:16 |
71 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 03:28 |
72 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-21 05:41 |
73 |
Chiron S14 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-21 07:53 |
74 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-21 10:05 |
75 |
Laser 181205 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-21 12:17 |
76 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 14:29 |
77 |
Fizbo 2 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-21 16:41 |
78 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-21 18:54 |
79 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-21 21:06 |
80 |
Chiron S14 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-21 23:18 |
81 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 01:30 |
82 |
Laser 181205 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 03:42 |
83 |
Fritz 16.10 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 05:54 |
84 |
Jonny 8.1 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 08:07 |
85 |
Fizbo 2 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-22 10:19 |
86 |
Jonny 8.1 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-22 12:31 |
87 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-22 14:43 |
88 |
Laser 181205 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-22 16:55 |
89 |
Laser 181205 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-22 19:07 |
90 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-22 21:20 |
91 |
Chiron S14 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-22 23:32 |
92 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 01:44 |
93 |
Fizbo 2 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 03:56 |
94 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 06:08 |
95 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 08:20 |
96 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-23 10:33 |
97 |
Fritz 16.10 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-23 12:45 |
98 |
Laser 181205 |
Jonny 8.1 |
2018-12-23 14:57 |
99 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-23 17:09 |
100 |
Chiron S14 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-23 19:21 |
101 |
Fizbo 2 |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-23 21:33 |
102 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-23 23:46 |
103 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 01:58 |
104 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 04:10 |
105 |
Jonny 8.1 |
Fizbo 2 |
2018-12-24 06:22 |
106 |
Fritz 16.10 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
2018-12-24 08:34 |
107 |
Laser 181205 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
2018-12-24 10:46 |
108 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
Chiron S14 |
2018-12-24 12:59 |
109 |
Fizbo 2 |
Ginkgo 2.18b |
2018-12-24 15:11 |
110 |
Chiron S14 |
Laser 181205 |
2018-12-24 17:23 |
111 |
LCZero v19.1-11248 |
Fritz 16.10 |
2018-12-24 19:35 |
112 |
KomodoMCTS 2221.00 |
Jonny 8.1 |