Mar 09 2019
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For standings with all tiebreaks and ratings using all games in this season regardless of upgrades and also previous season(s) if same version see previous post

Output from BayesElo program

Rank Player name Points EPoints StdDev ERank 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9
1 Nemorino 5.08 15.0 15.00 0.00 1.00 100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
2 RubiChess 1.3.1 12.5 12.50 0.00 2.00 0100 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
3 Winter 0.5 11.5 12.32 0.33 3.00 0 0100 0 0 0 0 0 0
4 Rodent III 0.276 11.0 11.00 0.00 4.00 0 0 0100 0 0 0 0 0
5 The Baron 3.44.1 10.5 10.50 0.00 5.00 0 0 0 0100 0 0 0 0
6 Tucano 7.07 8.5 9.31 0.34 6.08 0 0 0 0 0 92 8 0 0
7 Cheese 2.0 8.0 8.74 0.38 6.92 0 0 0 0 0 8 92 0 0
8 Minic 0.42 5.0 5.18 0.33 8.00 0 0 0 0 0 0 0100 0
9 Topple 0.4.0 2.5 2.76 0.38 9.40 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 60
10 Igel 1.2 2.5 2.69 0.34 9.60 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 40

Situation before game, simulation about most common position

100k simulations, sorted by who has most 1., then who has most >=2. Columns 1.-2. are how often it ended in simulation at that position.

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5-10. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%
2. RubiChess 1.3.1 100.000% 100.000%
3. Winter 0.5 100.000%
4. Rodent III 0.276 100.000%
5. The Baron 3.44.1 100.000% 100.000%
6. Tucano 7.07 100.000% 92.800% 7.200%
7. Cheese 2.0 100.000% 7.200% 92.800%
8. Minic 0.42 100.000% 100.000%
9. Topple 0.4.0 100.000% 80.697% 19.303%
10. Igel 1.2 100.000% 19.303% 80.697%

Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Cheese 2.0 1-0

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5-10. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%
2. RubiChess 1.3.1 100.000% 100.000%
3. Winter 0.5 100.000%
4. Rodent III 0.276 100.000%
5. The Baron 3.44.1 100.000% 100.000%
6. Tucano 7.07 100.000% 100.000%
7. Cheese 2.0 100.000% 100.000%
8. Minic 0.42 100.000% 100.000%
9. Topple 0.4.0 100.000% 100.000%
10. Igel 1.2 100.000% 100.000%

Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Cheese 2.0 1/2-1/2

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5-10. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%
2. RubiChess 1.3.1 100.000% 100.000%
3. Winter 0.5 100.000%
4. Rodent III 0.276 100.000%
5. The Baron 3.44.1 100.000% 100.000%
6. Tucano 7.07 100.000% 100.000%
7. Cheese 2.0 100.000% 100.000%
8. Minic 0.42 100.000% 100.000%
9. Topple 0.4.0 100.000% 88.874% 11.126%
10. Igel 1.2 100.000% 11.126% 88.874%

Speculate Topple 0.4.0 – Cheese 2.0 0-1

Pos Name 1. 2. 1-2. 3. 4. 5-10. 5. 6. 7. 8. 9. 10.
1. Nemorino 5.08 100.000% 100.000%
2. RubiChess 1.3.1 100.000% 100.000%
3. Winter 0.5 100.000%
4. Rodent III 0.276 100.000%
5. The Baron 3.44.1 100.000% 100.000%
6. Tucano 7.07 100.000% 89.148% 10.852%
7. Cheese 2.0 100.000% 10.852% 89.148%
8. Minic 0.42 100.000% 100.000%
9. Topple 0.4.0 100.000% 73.898% 26.102%
10. Igel 1.2 100.000% 26.102% 73.898%

Expected start time based on estimate of 1.08h/game

Note that previous game can end 1-2h faster than predicted and later in the list even more uncertain.

UTC No White Black
2019-03-09 18:13 89 Tucano 7.07 Igel 1.2
2019-03-09 19:17 90 Winter 0.5 Minic 0.42
Posted inBayesElo